How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of June 15?75-99

ResolvedOutcome: YesVol$17KResolvedas of

Odds now

This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .

YES100¢
NO0¢

24has of

What moved the odds?

22 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .

YESzerohedge99%match97¢+3%
72 Ships Transited Hormuz In A Day: US Energy Secretary Says 'Taking Away' Iran's Key Leverage
NOnikkei99%match3¢-100%
Two routes for the evacuation of 10,000 people from the Strait of Hormuz; "First, wait" to avoid mines and collisions
NOUS Energy Secretary99%match3¢-100%
In the last 24 hours, 72 ships and 20 million barrels of oil have transited through the Strait of Hormuz — fully restoring pre-conflict flows. • • Thank you President Trump and the U.S. military!
NOalarabiya99%match3¢-100%
US Energy Secretary: Approximately 72 ships crossed the Strait of Hormuz in 24 hours #AlArabiya_Business
NOalarabiya_bn99%match3¢-100%
US Energy Secretary: Approximately 72 ships crossed the Strait of Hormuz in 24 hours #AlArabiya_Business
NOalarabytv99%match3¢-100%
#Breaking | US Energy Secretary: Approximately 72 ships left the Strait of Hormuz in the last 24 hours, carrying about 20 million barrels of oil.
NOAsharq99%match3¢-100%
US Energy Secretary: Oil flows delayed due to Iranian mines in the Strait of Hormuz
NOSky News Arabia99%match3¢-100%
US Energy Secretary: Oil flows delayed due to Iranian mines in the Strait of Hormuz
YESAl Arabiya99%match97¢+3%
US Energy Secretary: Approximately 72 ships crossed the Strait of Hormuz in the past 24 hours
NOReuters99%match3¢-100%
Reuters Next-Wright Says Return to Normal Oil Flows Delayed Due to Iranian Mines in Strait of Hormuz
NOReuters99%match3¢-100%
Reuters Next-US Energy Secretary Wright Says Roughly 72 Ships Have Exited Strait of Hormuz in Last 24 Hours, Amounting to 20 Mln Barrels of Oil
NOiranintl99%match3¢-100%
The evacuation of more than 11,000 sailors stranded in the Persian Gulf following the US-Iranian war will take "several weeks," Arsenio Dominguez, secretary-general of the International Maritime Organization, said, AFP reported. "It will take several weeks to complete the evacuation process," he told AFP. Dominguez said about 600 ships have been stranded in the region since the fighting began.
NOiranintlbrk99%match3¢-100%
Arsenio Dominguez, secretary-general of the International Maritime Organization, told AFP that the evacuation of more than 11,000 sailors stranded in the Persian Gulf due to the Iran war will take "several weeks."
NOtelegraph.co.uk99%match3¢-100%
Live: Evacuation under way for thousands of stranded seafarers in Strait of Hormuz
NOalarabytv99%match3¢-100%
Secretary-General of the International Maritime Organization: Implementation begins of a plan to evacuate 11,000 seafarers and 600 ships stranded in the Strait of Hormuz @Mohamadgamloush
NOmarinetraffic99%match3¢-100%
Strait of Hormuz traffic remains active, but recovery stays cautious • • Confirmed vessel activity through the Strait of Hormuz remained steady on 23 June, with 31 verified crossings recorded across commercial and energy-linked vessels. According to #MarineTraffic data, west-to-east movements dominated, while vessels continued to use a mix of Iranian, Omani, and IMO route patterns through the chokepoint. The Strait appears to remain operational under the US-Iran MoU framework, but continued dark-route activity and uncertainty beyond the current 60-day window suggest operators are still moving cautiously rather than returning to fully normal traffic patterns.
NOapnews.com99%match3¢-100%
Iran says it’s closing Strait of Hormuz again as Israel and Hezbollah keep fighting in Lebanon
NOMaritime analytics99%match3¢-100%
Traffic in the Strait of Hormuz is picking up to 35-40 vessels a day, a threefold jump from recent lows, but still just a fraction of pre-conflict levels (~130+). • • Windward CEO Ami Daniel (@AmiDaniel1) joined @BBCNews to discuss the fragile ceasefire posture and whether global shipping is truly ready to rebound.
NOtvalmasirah99%match3¢-100%
UN: Plan underway to evacuate more than 11,000 sailors stranded in the Strait of Hormuz #News
NOalarabiya_bn99%match3¢-100%
UN plan launched to evacuate thousands of sailors stranded in the Strait of Hormuz #AlArabiya_Business
NOFrench Media99%match3¢-100%
"More significant consequences than many could have imagined": the closure of the Strait of Hormuz has stranded 1,150 ships carrying $125 billion worth of goods.
NOalarabiya_bn99%match53¢-100%
Zenith Enterprise CEO Amr Kataya tells Al Arabiya Business: Shipping companies remain concerned about crossing the Strait of Hormuz, and ship traffic is still weak. Clearing the Strait of Hormuz of mines and restoring normal navigation will take approximately eight months.

Where does the news lean?

81YES49NO56neutraltrailing 24h

Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.

How did this market resolve?

This market will resolve according to the finalized total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Strait of Hormuz for all days from June 15, 2026, through June 21, 2026, inclusive. Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered. Data for a specific date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next date's data point is available, the previous one is finalized). This market will resolve as soon as data has been finalized for the final date in the specified period. If the data for the final date of the specified period has not been finalized by the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the day on which such data is released, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point. Additionally, if not all relevant data has been released and finalized within 14 calendar days of the end of the specified period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point. In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections. Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where IMF Portwatch differs from alternative sources. Only revisions to previously published data points made before the applicable resolution time will be considered. The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.

Sourcegamma-backfill

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