How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of June 15?100+
ResolvedOutcome: No$24Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
as of
What moved the odds?
38 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
Shipping traffic doubles in Strait of Hormuz
US Energy Secretary: 72 ships left the Strait of Hormuz in the past 24 hours carrying approximately 20 million barrels of oil.
Two routes for the evacuation of 10,000 people from the Strait of Hormuz; "First, wait" to avoid mines and collisions
US Energy Secretary: We will not allow the world to be deprived of energy, and Iran has achieved some success in intimidating ships to keep them away from the Strait of Hormuz.
In the last 24 hours, 72 ships and 20 million barrels of oil have transited through the Strait of Hormuz — fully restoring pre-conflict flows. • • Thank you President Trump and the U.S. military!
US Energy Secretary: Approximately 72 ships crossed the Strait of Hormuz in 24 hours
#AlArabiya_Business
US Energy Secretary: Approximately 72 ships crossed the Strait of Hormuz in 24 hours
#AlArabiya_Business
#Breaking | US Energy Secretary: Approximately 72 ships left the Strait of Hormuz in the last 24 hours, carrying about 20 million barrels of oil.
US Energy Secretary: Oil flows delayed due to Iranian mines in the Strait of Hormuz
US Energy Secretary: Oil flows delayed due to Iranian mines in the Strait of Hormuz
US Energy Secretary: Approximately 72 ships crossed the Strait of Hormuz in the past 24 hours
US Energy Secretary: Approximately 72 ships departed through the Strait of Hormuz in the past 24 hours, carrying up to 20 million barrels of oil.
WRIGHT SAYS RETURN TO NORMAL OIL FLOWS DELAYED DUE TO IRANIAN MINES IN STRAIT OF HORMUZ
NOReuters99%match97¢+3%
Reuters Next-Wright Says Return to Normal Oil Flows Delayed Due to Iranian Mines in Strait of Hormuz
YESReuters99%match3¢-100%
Reuters Next-US Energy Secretary Wright Says Roughly 72 Ships Have Exited Strait of Hormuz in Last 24 Hours, Amounting to 20 Mln Barrels of Oil
Iran, Oman will start large-scale evacuation of ships through Strait of Hormuz, says IMO
The evacuation of more than 11,000 sailors stranded in the Persian Gulf following the US-Iranian war will take "several weeks," Arsenio Dominguez, secretary-general of the International Maritime Organization, said, AFP reported. "It will take several weeks to complete the evacuation process," he told AFP. Dominguez said about 600 ships have been stranded in the region since the fighting began.
Dozens of commercial ships passed through or were heading toward the route Wednesday after the International Maritime Organization and Oman announced a temporary passage to evacuate ships and sailors stranded in the Persian Gulf, CBS News reported. At least 24 vessels with their navigation systems on passed through or were heading toward the Omani route Wednesday, according to tracking data. Another 15 ships also used the northern passage near the coast of Iran, likely in coordination with Iranian authorities.
Arsenio Dominguez, secretary-general of the International Maritime Organization, told AFP that the evacuation of more than 11,000 sailors stranded in the Persian Gulf due to the Iran war will take "several weeks."
Live: Evacuation under way for thousands of stranded seafarers in Strait of Hormuz
Secretary-General of the International Maritime Organization: Implementation begins of a plan to evacuate 11,000 seafarers and 600 ships stranded in the Strait of Hormuz
@Mohamadgamloush
Strait of Hormuz traffic remains active, but recovery stays cautious • • Confirmed vessel activity through the Strait of Hormuz remained steady on 23 June, with 31 verified crossings recorded across commercial and energy-linked vessels. According to #MarineTraffic data, west-to-east movements dominated, while vessels continued to use a mix of Iranian, Omani, and IMO route patterns through the chokepoint. The Strait appears to remain operational under the US-Iran MoU framework, but continued dark-route activity and uncertainty beyond the current 60-day window suggest operators are still moving cautiously rather than returning to fully normal traffic patterns.
Iran says it’s closing Strait of Hormuz again as Israel and Hezbollah keep fighting in Lebanon
Reuters: US crude futures fall below $70 a barrel as more tankers pass through the Strait of Hormuz
WTI CRUDE FUTURES FALL BELOW $70 A BARREL AS SUPPLY CONCERNS EASE WITH MORE OIL TANKERS EXITING STRAIT OF HORMUZ
Traffic in the Strait of Hormuz is picking up to 35-40 vessels a day, a threefold jump from recent lows, but still just a fraction of pre-conflict levels (~130+). • • Windward CEO Ami Daniel (@AmiDaniel1) joined @BBCNews to discuss the fragile ceasefire posture and whether global shipping is truly ready to rebound.
UN: Plan underway to evacuate more than 11,000 sailors stranded in the Strait of Hormuz #News
OIL FALLS AS HORMUZ TRAFFIC RECOVERS • • Oil prices dropped to their lowest levels since the start of the conflict as more ships resumed transits through the Strait of Hormuz under the U.S.-Iran agreement. • • Trump said Iran is not charging tolls or other fees on vessels using the route. • • Rising supply, softer demand, and a stronger dollar are adding pressure to crude prices, though supply risks remain.
UN plan launched to evacuate thousands of sailors stranded in the Strait of Hormuz
#AlArabiya_Business
Brent Crude Falls To Lowest Level Since The Day Before The Iran War Began. • Oil prices continue to drop as shipping through the Strait of Hormuz resumes.
"More significant consequences than many could have imagined": the closure of the Strait of Hormuz has stranded 1,150 ships carrying $125 billion worth of goods.
Associated Press, citing data from shipping tracker Kpler: 71 confirmed transits through the Strait of Hormuz over the weekend
Oil falls below $75 for the first time since March as Hormuz traffic begins to recover • •
The US Treasury Secretary announces Iran's agreement not to possess nuclear weapons and to reopen the Strait of Hormuz for the sake of regional security and stability. Details reported by Al-Hadath correspondent Nadia Al-Balbisi.
Windward Co-Founder & CEO @AmiDaniel1 joined @CNBC's @MorganLBrennan live to break down tanker traffic in the Strait of Hormuz as the situation turns volatile again. • • Watch the full interview:
Zenith Enterprise CEO Amr Kataya tells Al Arabiya Business: Shipping companies remain concerned about crossing the Strait of Hormuz, and ship traffic is still weak. Clearing the Strait of Hormuz of mines and restoring normal navigation will take approximately eight months.
Windward CEO & Co-Founder @AmiDaniel1 joined @CNBC's @MorganLBrennan live to break down tanker traffic in the Strait of Hormuz as the situation turns volatile again. • • Watch the full interview:
US Treasury Secretary: Iran has committed to freedom of navigation in the Strait of Hormuz and has allowed IAEA inspectors to enter its territory.
Where does the news lean?
99YES78NO24neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.
How did this market resolve?
This market will resolve according to the finalized total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Strait of Hormuz for all days from June 15, 2026, through June 21, 2026, inclusive.
Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
Data for a specific date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next date's data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market will resolve as soon as data has been finalized for the final date in the specified period. If the data for the final date of the specified period has not been finalized by the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the day on which such data is released, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point. Additionally, if not all relevant data has been released and finalized within 14 calendar days of the end of the specified period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.
In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections. Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where IMF Portwatch differs from alternative sources.
Only revisions to previously published data points made before the applicable resolution time will be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.
gamma-backfill
Related markets
See all outcomes for How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of June 15? — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.