How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of June 15?

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This hub tracks 5 outcomes of this event, with the news signals that move them.

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What moved the odds?

30 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s final price as of .

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72 Ships Transited Hormuz In A Day: US Energy Secretary Says 'Taking Away' Iran's Key Leverage
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72 Ships Transited Hormuz In A Day: US Energy Secretary Says 'Taking Away' Iran's Key Leverage
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Shipping traffic doubles in Strait of Hormuz
US Energy Secretary: 72 ships passed through the Strait of Hormuz in the past 24 hours
US Energy Secretary: 72 ships passed through the Strait of Hormuz in the past 24 hours
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Brent crude futures fell more than 5% in post-settlement trading as more tankers left the Strait of Hormuz.
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Brent crude futures fell more than 5% in post-settlement trading as more tankers left the Strait of Hormuz.
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Brent crude futures fell more than 5% in post-settlement trading as more tankers left the Strait of Hormuz.
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Brent crude futures fell more than 5% in post-settlement trading as more tankers left the Strait of Hormuz.
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Brent Crude Futures Fall More Than 5% in Extended Trading as Supply Concerns Ease with More Oil Tankers Exiting Strait of Hormuz
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Brent Crude Futures Fall More Than 5% in Extended Trading as Supply Concerns Ease with More Oil Tankers Exiting Strait of Hormuz
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Brent Crude Futures Fall More Than 5% in Extended Trading as Supply Concerns Ease with More Oil Tankers Exiting Strait of Hormuz
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US Energy Secretary: 72 ships left the Strait of Hormuz in the past 24 hours carrying approximately 20 million barrels of oil.
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US Energy Secretary: 72 ships left the Strait of Hormuz in the past 24 hours carrying approximately 20 million barrels of oil.
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US Energy Secretary: 72 ships left the Strait of Hormuz in the past 24 hours carrying approximately 20 million barrels of oil.
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US Energy Secretary: 72 ships left the Strait of Hormuz in the past 24 hours carrying approximately 20 million barrels of oil.
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US Energy Secretary: 72 ships left the Strait of Hormuz in the past 24 hours carrying approximately 20 million barrels of oil.
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Two routes for the evacuation of 10,000 people from the Strait of Hormuz; "First, wait" to avoid mines and collisions
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Two routes for the evacuation of 10,000 people from the Strait of Hormuz; "First, wait" to avoid mines and collisions
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Two routes for the evacuation of 10,000 people from the Strait of Hormuz; "First, wait" to avoid mines and collisions
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Two routes for the evacuation of 10,000 people from the Strait of Hormuz; "First, wait" to avoid mines and collisions
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Two routes for the evacuation of 10,000 people from the Strait of Hormuz; "First, wait" to avoid mines and collisions
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US energy secretary says 20 million barrels of oil exited Hormuz in last 24 hours
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US energy secretary says 20 million barrels of oil exited Hormuz in last 24 hours
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US energy secretary says 20 million barrels of oil exited Hormuz in last 24 hours
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US energy secretary says 20 million barrels of oil exited Hormuz in last 24 hours
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US Energy Secretary: We will not allow the world to be deprived of energy, and Iran has achieved some success in intimidating ships to keep them away from the Strait of Hormuz.
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US Energy Secretary: We will not allow the world to be deprived of energy, and Iran has achieved some success in intimidating ships to keep them away from the Strait of Hormuz.
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US Energy Secretary: We will not allow the world to be deprived of energy, and Iran has achieved some success in intimidating ships to keep them away from the Strait of Hormuz.
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US Energy Secretary: We will not allow the world to be deprived of energy, and Iran has achieved some success in intimidating ships to keep them away from the Strait of Hormuz.

What is this event about?

This market will resolve according to the finalized total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Strait of Hormuz for all days from June 15, 2026, through June 21, 2026, inclusive. Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered. Data for a specific date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next date's data point is available, the previous one is finalized). This market will resolve as soon as data has been finalized for the final date in the specified period. If the data for the final date of the specified period has not been finalized by the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the day on which such data is released, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point. Additionally, if not all relevant data has been released and finalized within 14 calendar days of the end of the specified period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point. In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections. Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where IMF Portwatch differs from alternative sources. Only revisions to previously published data points made before the applicable resolution time will be considered. The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.

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