Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?Taiwan
Open$34Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 12% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES12¢
NO88¢
as of
What moved the odds?
15 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
Reuters Report: A senior Taiwanese intelligence official told Reuters that Taipei is watching for any signs Trump could reframe U.S. policy on Taiwan in exchange for Chinese concessions on trade, including purchases of American aircraft and agricultural products.
NOThe New York Times98%match78¢+13%
RT @ewong: NEW from @nytimes: The Trump administration has delayed arms sales to Taiwan valued at $13 billion that had been approved by law…
YESBenzinga98%match19¢-37%
US, Taiwan Seal Trade Pact With $84 Billion Purchase Commitment, Lower Tariffs.
YESFirst Squawk98%match16¢-25%
TAIWAN AND THE U.S. TO SIGN A RECIPROCAL TRADE AGREEMENT ON FEB 13 – C TIMES
NOSolid Intel 📡98%match84¢+5%
INTEL: Trump and Xi Expected to Extend Trade Truce at Summit
NOFirst Squawk98%match84¢+5%
TRUMP AND XI EXPECTED TO EXTEND TRADE TRUCE AT SUMMIT – SCMP
NOFinancialJuice98%match84¢+5%
Trump and Xi expected to extend trade truce in summit - SCMP.
YESFirst Squawk98%match17¢-29%
TAIWAN GOVT - TRADE NEGOTIATORS HAVE LEFT FOR US TO HOLD FINAL MEETING ON TRADE DEAL
YESFinancialJuice99%match17¢-29%
Trade negotiators have left for the US to hold the final meeting on the trade deal - Taiwan government
NOBloomberg98%match81¢+9%
Trump and Modi announced a trade deal, ending months of tense negotiations
YESFirst Squawk99%match19¢-37%
US-Taiwan Trade Agreement Supports Banking Sector Performance, Fitch Notes
YESReuters99%match19¢-37%
The US and Taiwan clinched a trade deal that cuts tariffs on many of the semiconductor powerhouse's exports, directs new investments in the US technology industry and risks infuriating China
YESReuters Business98%match19¢-37%
WATCH: The US and Taiwan clinched a trade deal that cuts tariffs on many of the semiconductor powerhouse's exports, directs new investments in the US technology industry and risks infuriating China
YESReuters99%match20¢-40%
US and Taiwan reach trade deal, with semiconductor chips and China in focus
YESCNBC99%match50¢-76%
Taiwan will invest $250 billion in U.S. chipmaking under new trade deal
Where does the news lean?
10YES8NO6neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 98%.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
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