Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?Australia
Open$6Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 13% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES13¢
NO87¢
as of
What moved the odds?
11 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
Trump: • • I am not happy with Australia because they were not there for us at the Hormuz Strait.
Trump says he is not happy with Australia over lack of Hormuz support
TRUMP: I'M DISPLEASED WITH AUSTRALIA; THEY WEREN'T THERE WHEN WE NEEDED THEM ON HORMUZ ...
TRUMP: NOT HAPPY WITH AUSTRALIA; WEREN'T THERE WHEN WE NEEDED THEM WITH HORMUZ ...
TRUMP: I'M NOT HAPPY WITH AUSTRALIA. THEY WEREN'T THERE WHEN WE NEEDED THEM WITH HORMUZ. ...
TRUMP: I'M DISPLEASED WITH AUSTRALIA; THEY WEREN'T THERE WHEN WE NEEDED THEM ON HORMUZ
TRUMP: NOT HAPPY WITH AUSTRALIA; WEREN'T THERE WHEN WE NEEDED THEM WITH HORMUZ
Trump: I'm not happy with Australia. They weren't there when we needed them with Hormuz.
TRUMP: NOT HAPPY WITH AUSTRALIA; WEREN'T THERE WHEN WE NEEDED THEM WITH HORMUZ
NOReuters99%match86¢+1%
Trump: Not Happy with Australia; Weren’t There When We Needed Them with Hormuz
NOBloomberg98%match84¢+4%
Trump and Modi announced a trade deal, ending months of tense negotiations
Where does the news lean?
0YES12NO1neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
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