Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?Brazil

OpenVol$5KDeadlineas of

Odds now

The market prices a 11% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .

YES11¢
NO89¢

24has of

What moved the odds?

20 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .

NOalarabiya_bn94%match91¢-2%
Brazil has initiated dispute settlement proceedings with the United States at the World Trade Organization (WTO), after formally requesting consultations regarding US tariffs on several Brazilian products, which it considers to be in violation of international trade rules. The Brazilian Foreign Ministry stated that Brazil had requested consultations with the United States under the WTO's dispute settlement mechanism, describing the US tariffs as "unjustified" and contrary to international trade rules. The request for consultations represents the first step in the WTO's dispute settlement process and aims to give both parties an opportunity to reach an amicable solution before resorting to a panel of judges to consider the case if an agreement cannot be reached. In July, the administration of US President Donald Trump imposed tariffs of 25% on some Brazilian products, citing unfair trade practices, in addition to other tariffs of 12.5% ​​based on allegations of forced labor. Brazilian President Lula da Silva accused the US administration of trying to The impact of these tariffs on Brazil's domestic politics comes ahead of the presidential elections scheduled for October, in which he is seeking a new term. Brazil previously opened a similar dispute with the World Trade Organization in 2025, after Washington imposed tariffs of 50% in protest against the prosecution of former Brazilian President Jair Bolsonaro, before a large portion of those tariffs were later lifted. #Arabic_Business
NOVenezuela State-Backed TV91%match93¢-4%
The US imposes tariffs of up to 12.5% ​​on more than 60 countries. Argentina, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, and Peru are among the hardest hit. Mexico and Ecuador face a 10% tariff. The measure escalates Trump's trade war. #teleSUR #LatinAmerica #Tariffs
NOafp.com92%match92¢-3%
Brazil to pursue other markets after US tariff announcement
NOafp.com92%match93¢-4%
US tariffs on Brazil take effect as Trump readies fresh flurry
NOwashingtonpost.com96%match93¢-4%
Trump hits Brazil with new tariffs in sign of what’s ahead
NOVenezuela State-Backed TV92%match92¢-3%
The Brazilian government, in response to the United States' decision to impose a 25% tariff on Brazilian goods, has announced that it will immediately activate the mechanisms provided for in the Law of Economic Reciprocity. In an official statement, the measure was described as a "regrettable milestone" in relations with the U.S., and it was affirmed that "there is no justification for unilateral measures against our country," and therefore Brazil will resort to the dispute settlement mechanism of the World Trade Organization (WTO). #16Jul #USA
NOft.com92%match92¢-3%
US targets Brazil with tariffs as relations deteriorate
NORussian Media96%match91¢-2%
Donald Trump has directed the U.S. Trade Representative (USTR) to impose tariffs of 25% on most imports from Brazil, Secretary of State Marco Rubio said in X. He said the measures were due to the fact that President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva and his government did not negotiate with the United States "in good faith." According to USTR, some of the Brazilian government's policies related to digital commerce and electronic payment services, ethanol market access, and interference in the fight against corruption and illegal logging "are unjustified and burden or restrict the trade of American farmers, workers, innovators, and exporters." Brazil will be the first country to be subject to Trump's new tariff strategy, based on Section 301 of the U.S. Trade Code. It allows for investigations into suspected unfair trade practices. RBC Channel on Max RBC App for iOS and Android
NOSemi-Official YJC News Agency95%match91¢-2%
Trump imposes 25% tariff on imports from Brazil US Secretary of State Marco Rubio announced in a speech that Trump has ordered the United States Trade Representative to impose a 25% tariff on most imports from Brazil. Rubio wrote on his personal page on X: Brazilian President Lula and his government have not negotiated in good faith with the United States. @YjcNewsChannel
NOlesechos.fr92%match91¢-2%
Trade war: The United States will impose 25% tariffs on Brazil
NOIran Semi-Official SNN95%match91¢-2%
Trump imposes 25% tariff on imports from Brazil US Secretary of State Marco Rubio announced in a speech that Trump has ordered the United States Trade Representative to impose a 25% tariff on most imports from Brazil. Rubio wrote on his personal page on X: Brazilian President Lula and his government have not negotiated in good faith with the United States. Get the latest news: Site | Ita | Yes | Rubica | Soroush Plus @snntv
NOIran Semi-Official Tasnim95%match91¢-2%
Trump imposes 25% tariff on imports from Brazil US Secretary of State Marco Rubio announced in a speech that Trump has ordered the United States Trade Representative to impose a 25% tariff on most imports from Brazil. Rubio wrote on his personal page on X: Brazilian President Lula and his government have not negotiated in good faith with the United States. @TasnimNews
NOKan91%match91¢-2%
Trump imposed a 25% tariff on most imports from Brazil. Foreign Minister Rubio: "Lula and his government did not conduct the negotiations in good faith" @RamEliBrandts
NOReuters99%match92¢-3%
U.S. Trade Representative Greer: There is Still a Lot of Distance Between US and Brazil
NOafp.com99%match92¢-3%
Brazil official warns of US threat after terrorist designations
NOstaunovo99%match82¢+9%
Brazil rejects calls for state-run critical minerals firm, questions state deal with US
YESBloomberg99%match23¢-52%
Brazil has gone from one of the biggest losers in Trump’s trade war to a winner
NOCGTN America99%match77¢+16%
Brazil is ramping up efforts to boost its position in global trade. Following the imposition of steep U.S. tariffs, the country is broadening its strategy by signing new mining and critical minerals agreements with India and deepening trade with South Korea.
NOFirst Squawk98%match77¢+16%
GREER: WE HAVE OPEN SECTION 301 PROBES OF BRAZIL AND CHINA
NOFirst Squawk98%match77¢+16%
US will investigate unfair trade practices by Brazil and China

Where does the news lean?

5YES27NO9neutraltrailing 24h

Average match confidence across the listed signals: 95%.

What would make this resolve YES?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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