Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?Indonesia
Open$20Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 14% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES14¢
NO87¢
as of
What moved the odds?
15 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
NOReuters99%match84¢+2%
No Final Agreement Has Been Reached Between Indonesia, U.S. - Indonesian Defence Ministry
YESThe White House99%match22¢-36%
RT @USTradeRep: President Trump’s trade deal with Indonesia unlocks American exporters' access to the world’s fourth most populous country,…
YESFirst Squawk98%match26¢-46%
INDONESIA TO GIVE EQUAL OPPORTUNITIES TO THE U.S. AND OTHER COUNTRIES ON CRITICAL MINERAL INVESTMENT FOLLOWING TRADE DEAL -ENERGY MINISTER
YESReuters99%match27¢-48%
Indonesia says get 19% tariff on most goods in US trade deal, may get exemption for palm oil
YESReuters Business99%match25¢-44%
Indonesia and the US finalized a trade deal to cut US levies to 19% from 32% on goods shipped from Southeast Asia's biggest economy, with Jakarta securing tariff exemptions for its top export, palm oil, and several other commodities
YESReuters99%match26¢-46%
Indonesia says get 19% tariff on most goods in US trade deal, may get exemption for palm oil
YESFirst Squawk99%match28¢-50%
Indonesia minister: Trade deal with U.S. excludes third countries, dismissing China transshipment worries.
YESFirst Squawk99%match28¢-50%
Indonesia minister: U.S. drops nuclear reactor and South China Sea articles from trade agreement.
YESFirst Squawk99%match28¢-50%
Indonesia gov’t: Textile products to get preferential U.S. tariff rate under trade deal quota.
YESFirst Squawk99%match25¢-44%
Indonesia and the United States have signed a reciprocal trade agreement, according to the economic ministry.
YESRapid Response 4798%match27¢-48%
President Trump has now secured trade agreements with major U.S. trading partners covering more than half of global GDP: Argentina Bangladesh Cambodia China Ecuador El Salvador European Union Guatemala India Indonesia Israel Japan
…
NOBloomberg99%match73¢+18%
The saga of a contested gold mine shows how President Prabowo Subianto is putting Indonesia on a collision course with global markets
NOBloomberg99%match77¢+12%
Trump and Modi announced a trade deal, ending months of tense negotiations
NOCGTN America98%match76¢+13%
TRUMP: EFFECTIVE IMMEDIATELY, WE AGREED TO A TRADE DEAL BETWEEN UNITED STATES AND INDIA
YESBloomberg99%match27¢-48%
Indonesia said it has resolved all substantive issues in trade talks with the US and is on course to ink an agreement in late January
Where does the news lean?
19YES6NO8neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
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