Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?Argentina
Open$23Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 12% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES12¢
NO89¢
as of
What moved the odds?
8 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
The US imposes tariffs of up to 12.5% on more than 60 countries. Argentina, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, and Peru are among the hardest hit. Mexico and Ecuador face a 10% tariff. The measure escalates Trump's trade war. #teleSUR #LatinAmerica #Tariffs
NOCGTN Europe98%match73¢+21%
The European Union will implement a mammoth trade deal with the South American Mercosur bloc while waiting for a top court's ruling on its legality, EU chief Ursula von der Leyen said Friday. The European Commission's move, announced after Argentina and Uruguay ratified the…
NOCGTN America99%match67¢+31%
Argentina on Thursday ratified a massive trade deal between the European Union and four South American countries, hours after Uruguay approved the accord. Argentine senators voted 69-3 in favor of the pact to create one of the world's biggest free trade zones, sealing its…
YESRapid Response 4799%match28¢-57%
President Trump has now secured trade agreements with major U.S. trading partners covering more than half of global GDP: Argentina Bangladesh Cambodia China Ecuador El Salvador European Union Guatemala India Indonesia Israel Japan
…
YESReuters99%match27¢-56%
Trump signs proclamation increasing Argentine beef imports
YESReuters99%match30¢-60%
Argentina will give preferential market access to US goods exports as part of a new trade and investment agreement that prohibits barriers to digital trade and enhances cooperation on economic and national security issues, the US Trade Representative's office said…
YESBloomberg99%match46¢-74%
Argentina said it signed a trade and investment agreement with the Trump administration, delivering on President Javier Milei’s commitment to open up the South American economy
YESAcyn98%match39¢-69%
Trump: But we have made historic trade deals with the United Kingdom, China, Vietnam, Japan, the EU, Cambodia, El Salvador, Argentina, Ecuador, Guatemala, Liechtenstein
Where does the news lean?
7YES4NO0neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 98%.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
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