Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?Russia
Open$2Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 10% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES10¢
NO90¢
as of
What moved the odds?
3 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
Trump announces new sanctions on Russia; 100% tariff awaits Moscow's oil buyers By signing a new Russian sanctions law, the US president has gained broad authority to impose tariffs on the country's major oil and gas buyers; a move that could also affect China and India. @ilnair
The Trump administration and the U.S. Congress have agreed to strengthen sanctions against Russia, imposing tariffs on importing Russian crude oil and gas; the move was spearheaded by bipartisan lawmakers.
NOThe Economist98%match79¢+14%
Donald Trump has signed a flurry of trade deals setting new terms of access to America’s market. Who came out ahead?
Where does the news lean?
6YES4NO5neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 96%.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
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