Russia x Ukraine peace talksSeptember 30

ResolvedOutcome: NoVol$413KResolvedas of

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This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .

YES0¢
NO100¢

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24 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .

YESRussian Media92%match11¢-100%
Trump's son-in-law, Kushner, expects that new ideas on Ukraine will be discussed in a trilateral format. "I hope that in the next couple of weeks we will be able to announce what the next steps are. And I hope that will move us forward," he noted. He stated that the most difficult issue to resolve is territorial. Vladimir Putin, according to Kushner, has outlined a line acceptable to Russia. "If Ukraine wanted to retreat to this line, the rest of the deal has already been developed and agreed upon. But Kyiv does not want to," Kushner said. On September 5, Vladimir Putin held talks in the Kremlin with Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner. On September 6, they arrived in Kyiv. US Secretary of State Marco Rubio called the contacts meaningful. More IZ RU news in MAX
YESRussian news outlet Agentstvo93%match14¢-100%
The Kremlin has abandoned its conditions for resuming trilateral talks with Ukraine. The Kremlin no longer makes the withdrawal of Ukrainian troops from Donbas a condition for resuming trilateral talks between Russia, the United States, and Ukraine. In May, Vladimir Putin's aide Yuri Ushakov said that without this step, a new round was meaningless, while Dmitry Peskov called it a condition for moving to full-fledged negotiations. On Friday, Peskov stated that "we are not setting conditions for the negotiations themselves." Quote: "We are not setting any conditions for the negotiations themselves. We remain open to negotiations. We hope that, as discussed with the American negotiators, in the foreseeable future we will be able to meet again as a three-person group and continue the dialogue," Peskov said. The president's press secretary presented his position as a continuation of the Kremlin line: "We remain open to negotiations." In fact, this is not the case. Peskov's statement indicates a rejection of the Kremlin's hardline negotiating stance it adopted in May. On May 7, Ushakov said that another trilateral round was pointless until Kyiv withdrew its troops from Donbas: until then, "convincing each other is largely a waste of time." On May 13, Peskov reiterated this position, stating that only after the withdrawal of Ukrainian troops will “a corridor for full-scale peace negotiations open.” Why did Russia harden its stance in the spring? Back in late February, Bloomberg reported, citing sources familiar with the negotiations, that Russian officials were increasingly seeing less and less point in continuing negotiations without Kyiv's consent to territorial concessions and were considering withdrawing from the process. In May, the Financial Times reported that Putin had cooled toward American-mediated negotiations, hoping to improve Russia's position on the battlefield: Moscow hoped to seize the remaining part of Donbas and then increase its demands on Ukraine. On March 31, Zelenskyy stated that Moscow had conveyed to Washington a warning about tightening peace terms if Ukraine did not withdraw from Donbas within two months. The following day, Peskov did not confirm the two-month deadline, but stated that Volodymyr Zelenskyy should have made the decision to withdraw troops "yesterday." Pause. Over the summer, Kremlin representatives confirmed several times that the negotiation process was on hold. By autumn, Moscow had still not made any serious progress on the front. And already at the end of August, the first signs of a change in the Kremlin's position on the negotiations appeared. On August 27, Peskov declared "openness to continuing peace negotiations." Following Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner's visit to Moscow and Kyiv on September 5, the language became even clearer. On September 7, Peskov said the Kremlin "does not rule out" resuming the trilateral format; on September 8, he said Moscow "hopes" for it; and on September 9, he said there is a "shared political desire" to resume negotiations and an understanding that the parties "will meet." Following the trip, American negotiators stated that they were encouraged by the "new ideas" discussed and expressed hope for a new trilateral round to be announced soon. The Élysée Palace, citing the Americans, reported that Moscow had demonstrated a "new readiness" for negotiations following the State Duma elections. Subscribe to "Agency" on Telegram / email newsletter
NOUkraine President Zelenskiy94%match86¢+16%
I don't think we will have talks before the end of the parliamentary "elections" in Russia. But at the end of September we will be able to meet with the American team in New York. In the meantime, our teams remain in touch. And I hope that after the meeting with President Trump we will be able to talk more openly about all this. When we talk about the possible outcome of the trilateral meeting, our partners are now raising the issue of grain exports and other agricultural products that Russia is blocking in the Black Sea. We responded and did the same. We have to respond, otherwise Russia will never stop this war, because it will never feel it. The same with energy. Last month I had important conversations with Egypt, India, the UAE, Saudi Arabia and the United States. Everyone understands that blocking food for the world, for people, is a big challenge. Not only for Ukraine and Russia, but also on a global scale. It all depends on Russia. I'm not sure they are able to show flexibility on these issues. But strong world leaders can force them to take the right position, even if they don't like it. From a media interview with Mark Carney.
NOlivesquawk92%match82¢+22%
Ukraine’s Zelenskiy Rules Out Trilateral Talks Before Elections In Russia • - Planning To Meet US Team At The End Of September In New York
YESRussian Media95%match22¢-100%
US Secretary of State Marco Rubio said a roadmap for resuming peace talks in Ukraine could be developed in the coming weeks. "I don't want to be overly optimistic, but I'm not pessimistic either: I believe that in the coming weeks there is an opportunity to develop a roadmap for resuming negotiations and, perhaps, reaching a solution that suits both sides, because that's what's needed to end the conflict," he told reporters in Colombia. On September 5, American negotiators Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner arrived in Moscow and met with President Vladimir Putin. The following day, they visited Kyiv, where they held talks with the Ukrainian side. RBK app for iOS and Android RBK channel on "Max"
YESRussian Media93%match22¢-100%
US Secretary of State Marco Rubio called the talks on Ukraine in Moscow and Kyiv meaningful. New ideas for resolving the Ukrainian conflict were discussed during the talks, he added. Rubio also stated that in the coming weeks, it will be possible to develop a roadmap for resuming trilateral talks on Ukraine. On September 5, Vladimir Putin held talks with Witkoff and Kushner in the Kremlin. On September 6, US Special Envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner arrived in Kyiv for talks. More IZ RU news in MAX
YESUkrainska Pravda news outlet97%match25¢-100%
Putin will be ready for a new start to the peace negotiation process in Ukraine after the parliamentary elections in Russia are over on September 18-20. According to the interlocutor of "European Truth", American negotiators Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner, after a visit to Moscow and a meeting with Putin on September 5, during a meeting in Kyiv on September 6 conveyed the Russian president's new position on the possibility of negotiations to negotiators from Ukraine and security advisors from France, Germany and Britain (E3 countries) subscribe
YESbbc.co.uk91%match31¢-100%
Peace talks rich in symbolism but fundamental differences between Russia and Ukraine remain
YESnikkei95%match31¢-100%
Ukraine peace talks "restart," but are expected to be difficult with no good solution in sight; Russia is aiming for practical gains.
YESnikkei.com95%match31¢-100%
Ukraine peace talks "restart," but are expected to be difficult due to a lack of a clear solution; Russia is aiming for its own gain.
YESiranintl95%match25¢-100%
US special envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner met with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky in Kiev on Sunday, September 5. They had held three-hour talks with Vladimir Putin in Moscow the day before. Zelensky said in the meeting that the goal was to end the war with a "just peace" and prevent a repeat of the aggression against Ukraine. Kushner called the negotiations "very difficult and complicated" and said the goal was to create conditions for a long-term and lasting peace. The trip was part of the Donald Trump administration's renewed efforts to advance peace talks and end the Russia-Ukraine war.
YESRussian Media94%match20¢-100%
"US sanctions against Russia became part of the discussions." Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner met with Russian President Vladimir Putin in Moscow. They then traveled to Kyiv for talks with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy. The blitz diplomacy by US President Donald Trump's envoys attracted considerable attention from many international media outlets, which expressed hope that it would help achieve a peace agreement between Russia and Ukraine. Axios (Arlington, USA): "Witkoff and Kushner want to resume direct talks between Russia and Ukraine after they were suspended six months ago and fighting escalated in the lead-up to winter. In recent days, Russia has increased drone and missile strikes in Ukraine, including Kyiv and other major cities. The Trump envoys' trip to Kyiv will be the highest-level visit since the start of President Trump's second term. Gene Lang, the Treasury Department's acting head of sanctions, joined Whitkoff and Kushner on the trip. Lang participated in a preparatory meeting with Putin's envoy, Kirill Dmitriev, but did not attend the meeting with Putin. Lang's participation suggests that US sanctions against Russia were part of the discussions. The Wall Street Journal (New York, USA): "This visit marks the most significant attempt this year to restart peace talks between the warring neighbors. It comes just over a week after CIA Director John Ratcliffe spent several hours in Moscow negotiating with his Russian counterpart. According to sources, Ratcliffe warned Russia against escalation and called for a resumption of the stalled peace process. The diplomatic push coincides with a new, more deadly phase of the war, in which drones and missiles from both sides are increasingly hitting civilian targets. For much of this year, resolving the conflict in Ukraine took a back seat to the war in Iran as Washington focused on efforts to unblock the Strait of Hormuz. Al Jazeera (Doha, Qatar): Some analysts argue that the Kremlin's expectations for this particular visit by American envoys are actually less pessimistic. Previous trips by Witkoff and Kushner failed to produce any progress, yet Putin believes Russia has a military advantage on the battlefield. According to Al Jazeera's Kyiv correspondent Audrey McAlpine, many in Ukraine believe that "foreign diplomats need to come here to fully understand the scale of the war, so it's crucial for Ukrainian officials to have U.S. representatives here." BBC (London, UK): Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner arrived in Kyiv on September 6, "discussing substantive plans for further action with Putin on Saturday," the White House press service reported. It's unclear what those plans are, but an announcement is expected in the coming weeks as efforts to end the war in Ukraine gain momentum. This is the first trip of US President Donald Trump's chief negotiators to the Ukrainian capital. According to Russian state media, Saturday's talks in Moscow lasted three hours and took place behind closed doors at Putin's official residence in the center of the Russian capital. Details are still being finalized, but both sides expressed generally positive views without going into detail. Paris Match (Paris, France): For John Sawers, the former head of MI6, peace talks between Russia and Ukraine are possible, but have little chance of success. The damage accumulated on both sides could pave the way for peace talks only by the end of 2027. He stated that an agreement between the two countries was not possible until next spring. A return to "a level of hostility comparable to the post-2014 level" might be "the best we can hope for" in the current circumstances, he added. Press Service of the President of the Russian Federation Follow Kommersant on MAX | Telegram
YESUkrainska Pravda news outlet95%match20¢-100%
Putin, at a meeting with representatives of the US President Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner, stated that since midnight on September 5, no strikes have been launched on Kyiv, but the Russian Federation has never agreed with Ukraine on a broader ceasefire. Witkoff thanked Putin for agreeing to a three-day ceasefire, during which no strikes will be launched on either Kyiv or Moscow subscribe
YESRussian Foreign Ministry91%match21¢-100%
Russian President Vladimir Putin received in the Kremlin Special Envoy of the President of the United States of America Steven Witkoff and entrepreneur, investor, and founder of Affinity Partners Jared Kushner (September 5, 2026) V.V. Putin: Dear colleagues, I cordially welcome you to Moscow. The situation, of course, is difficult, which we will have to deal with today. But before we begin to do this, I would like to ask you to convey my best wishes and words of gratitude to the President of the United States Donald Trump. Understanding that, in general, he is entering a difficult situation, nevertheless, he does not stop his attempts to resolve, to make his contribution to the settlement of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict. Today we will discuss all its components, all aspects, and we, for our part, are also ready to inform you of how we see the situation. As you informed us, I know that after Moscow you are planning to go to Kyiv. In any case, of course, no matter what happens there next, contacts of this kind are certainly always beneficial. And here, of course, the quality of mediation is very important, as is trust in those who are doing this. I want to tell you that we are comfortable working with you, and, of course, the level of trust in this work on our part is quite high. We are glad to see you. Welcome. *** We received a request [for a ceasefire] through official channels - both through the channels of the special services and through the channels of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs - to stop the strikes on Kyiv. I gave the corresponding command, and from midnight today, these strikes on Kyiv have not been carried out. I would like to note that the Ukrainian side has also significantly reduced, an order of magnitude, reduced strikes on the territory of the Russian Federation, including Moscow. The Ukrainian authorities have published their call for a broader three-day ceasefire, but we never agreed on this with them. We will do everything in our power to ensure the security of the negotiation process and the mediators in your person and, perhaps, in the person of those accompanying you. #RussiaUSA
YESRussian Media94%match21¢-100%
Russia did not agree with Ukraine on the broader three-day ceasefire announced in Kyiv, Vladimir Putin said at a meeting with Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner. More news from IZ RU in MAX [in reply to: The Russian Armed Forces have not launched strikes on Kyiv since 00:00 on September 5, Vladimir Putin said at a meeting with Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner. The President noted that the Ukrainian side has significantly reduced the number of attacks on Russian territory, including Moscow, and information about the ceasefire came from Kyiv through official Foreign Ministry channels. "We will do everything in our power to ensure the security of the negotiation process and the mediators in the person of the American delegation," Putin emphasized. More news from IZ RU in MAX]
YESRussian Media93%match21¢-100%
At a meeting in the Kremlin, Steve Witkoff thanked Vladimir Putin for halting strikes on Kyiv for three days to hold talks. The Russian military has not struck Kyiv since midnight on September 5, Putin emphasized. He also noted that the Ukrainian Armed Forces have also reduced attacks on Russia. RBK Channel on "Max" RBK app for iOS and Android [in reply to: Vladimir Putin's meeting with American negotiators Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner has begun, the Kremlin reports. The footage also shows Russian presidential aide Yuri Ushakov and presidential special representative Kirill Dmitriev in attendance. "The situation is certainly difficult, and we'll have to deal with it today," Putin said as the meeting participants sat down at the negotiating table. If the video isn't loading for you, you can watch it on Max.
YESRussian Media93%match21¢-100%
The Russian Armed Forces have not launched strikes on Kyiv since 00:00 on September 5, Vladimir Putin announced at a meeting with Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner. The Ukrainian Armed Forces have also significantly reduced the number of attacks on Russia, including Moscow, the president noted. Subscribe to Kommersant on MAX | on Telegram [in reply to: Steve Witkoff thanked Vladimir Putin for a three-day ceasefire in Kyiv to hold talks. Subscribe to Kommersant on MAX | on Telegram]
YESRussian Media94%match20¢-100%
Volodymyr Zelenskyy stated on his Telegram channel that Ukraine, following Russia, will "observe the ceasefire on cities involved in the peace process." According to him, this restriction will remain in effect until Monday. He said he had contacted US Presidential Special Envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner, who are in Moscow. They, he said, have already begun working with the Russian side. The Ukrainian side is expecting Witkoff and Kushner in Kyiv on September 6 and is ready for substantive talks, he added. Vladimir Putin had earlier ordered a three-day suspension of airstrikes on Kyiv in preparation for the arrival of an American delegation. The Americans arrived in Moscow on September 5, and the Russian leader will meet with them on the same day, the Kremlin confirmed. RBK channel on "Max" RBK app for iOS and Android
YESUkrainian Public Broadcaster93%match22¢-100%
Zelensky had a conversation with Trump's representatives. He confirmed that Ukraine is ready to refrain from striking Moscow by the end of Saturday, as well as on Sunday and Monday, if the Russian Federation does not strike Kyiv. The American team is already working with the Russians. Tomorrow, Vitkoff and Kushner are expected in Kyiv, and a plan of diplomatic measures has been approved. The president also heard reports from Defense Minister Khmara and Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine Drapaty - the situation at the front is under control, the Armed Forces are conducting active defensive operations. [in reply to: Putin has ordered not to strike Kyiv for three days, starting at midnight on September 6, his spokesman Peskov told the Russian state agency TASS. According to him, this is due to the visit of US special representatives Vitkoff and Kushner to Kyiv.]
YESRussian Media94%match20¢-100%
Putin ordered no strikes on Kyiv for three days starting midnight today, Russian presidential press secretary Dmitry Peskov said. His words were reported by TASS. The suspension of strikes is related to the preparation and conduct of meetings there between Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner. Peskov noted that the Russian president will receive American negotiators today. Witkoff and Kushner arrived in Moscow this afternoon. They will stay in the Russian capital on September 5 and 6. Max | Telegram | Newsletter | iOS App | Android
YESUkrainian Public Broadcaster92%match20¢-100%
US President's special representatives Witkoff and Kushner arrived in Moscow to hold talks on ending Russia's war against Ukraine. Reuters reports. They are expected to visit Kyiv on September 6. [in reply to: US representatives Witkoff and Kushner will visit Kyiv on Sunday, and before that they will visit Moscow. President Zelensky reported this. "We will ensure the normal functioning of Russian airspace so that the negotiators can arrive safely. We care about them, not Russia. There will be no air strikes from our side, and Russia must mirror this by ensuring silence without its air strikes for the time needed to hold these talks and resolve logistical issues related to this American visit," Zelensky wrote.]
YESUkrainian Media91%match20¢-100%
The Defense Forces units were ordered to observe a regime of silence at the front for four days According to UP sources in several brigades in different directions, the regime of silence will be in effect from 00:00 on September 5 to 23:59 on September 8. The information was also confirmed by a high-ranking interlocutor in the power unit. There are currently no official statements from the military leadership. This weekend, Trump representatives Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner will visit Moscow and Kyiv for negotiations on ending the war. Earlier, Zelensky said that during their visits, Ukraine would not launch air strikes on Russia and expects "mirror silence" from Moscow. Recall that US President Donald Trump, in a comment to journalists, informed that Witkoff and Kushner would bring a proposal to Kyiv and Moscow to end the war. Add News.LIVE as a reliable news source on Google
NOfarsnews_agency93%match88¢+14%
Bloomberg: Ukraine talks have reached a deadlock Bloomberg reported, citing three sources, that Russia is preparing to intensify attacks on Ukraine because it has concluded that talks to reach a peace agreement have reached a deadlock.

Where does the news lean?

48YES6NO28neutraltrailing 24h

Average match confidence across the listed signals: 93%.

Past moves on this market

Material odds moves (≥8 points within an hour of a matched news signal), newest first — each links to a dated brief on what moved the price.

How did this market resolve?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine aimed at discussing a ceasefire, peace agreement, or other substantive de-escalation of the ongoing conflict by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify. Meetings or talks limited to humanitarian issues will not qualify unless they also include substantive negotiation regarding broader Russia-Ukraine peace terms, such as a ceasefire, peace agreement, territorial issues, security guarantees, or similar. Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count. The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.

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