Russia x Ukraine peace talks
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Market pricing makes December 31 the favorite at 52% across 3 tracked outcomes, as of .
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7 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .
Russia says it has not received a proposal to resume talks on Ukraine in September.
Ukrainian officials say Ukrainian and Russian negotiators may meet in September.
Zelenskiy’s top aide says Ukraine-Russia talks may be possible in September
Russia-Ukraine peace talks have reached a dead end! Rumors circulate that Russia is preparing to escalate attacks; tactical nuclear weapons may become Putin's last resort.
Bloomberg: Ukraine talks have reached a deadlock Bloomberg reported, citing three sources, that Russia is preparing to intensify attacks on Ukraine because it has concluded that talks to reach a peace agreement have reached a deadlock.
The United States and Ukraine discussed a ceasefire in the skies, Reuters reports, citing sources. According to the agency, the proposal will be presented to Russian authorities at a new round of peace talks. A meeting between US President Donald Trump and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky is scheduled to take place in Washington soon. Subscribe to Kommersant on MAX | on Telegram [in reply to: Given Kyiv's position, a "freezing" of the Ukrainian conflict is impossible, Dmitry Peskov said. "For us, there is a main condition: we must achieve our goals," the Kremlin spokesman emphasized. Subscribe to Kommersant on MAX | on Telegram]
The United States and Ukraine discussed a ceasefire in the skies, Reuters reports, citing sources. According to the agency, the proposal will be presented to Russian authorities at a new round of peace talks. A meeting between US President Donald Trump and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky is scheduled to take place in Washington soon. Subscribe to Kommersant on MAX | on Telegram [in reply to: Given Kyiv's position, a "freezing" of the Ukrainian conflict is impossible, Dmitry Peskov said. "For us, there is a main condition: we must achieve our goals," the Kremlin spokesman emphasized. Subscribe to Kommersant on MAX | on Telegram]
What is this event about?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine aimed at discussing a ceasefire, peace agreement, or other substantive de-escalation of the ongoing conflict by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Meetings or talks limited to humanitarian issues will not qualify unless they also include substantive negotiation regarding broader Russia-Ukraine peace terms, such as a ceasefire, peace agreement, territorial issues, security guarantees, or similar.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.