Russia x Ukraine peace talks

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Market pricing makes December 31 the favorite at 45% across 6 tracked outcomes, as of .

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December 31Al Jazeera91%match55¢-18%
The Kremlin: Contacts regarding an energy truce with Ukraine are ongoing, and Russia wants not just a truce but a long-term peace.
October 31cbsnews.com91%match19¢-26%
[UPDATE] Trump announces Russia-Ukraine "energy ceasefire" after criticizing Zelenskyy (first reported at 2026-10-11T13:27:31.840592300Z)
October 31Russian state TV92%match16¢-12%
Top news by morning, October 11, 2026. The Russian Cabinet partially lifted the ban on diesel fuel exports in order to send 500 thousand tons to the world market as part of the agreements between Putin and Trump Yandex's data center in Vladimir completely stopped working after a drone attack EU Foreign Minister Kaja Kallas announced the 22nd package of sanctions against Russia Trump announced the need to hold presidential elections in Ukraine and called on Kyiv to change its leader NYT: The US offered Russia three "lucrative incentives" in exchange for a partial ceasefire in Ukraine Burnham and Zelensky agreed to meet in the coming days after an emergency phone call Two people were killed in the attack on the Riyadh airport 12 people, the number of victims reached 309, the Saudi Arabian authorities reported Putin congratulated workers in agriculture and the processing industry on their professional holiday The owner of the Telegram channel "Rybar" Mikhail Zvinchuk and his team returned to Russia after being detained in Montenegro To not miss the most important news: Website | MAX | Telegram
Tomorrow, the Ukrainian negotiating team will meet with Witkoff and Kushner in the United States. In particular, the organization of trilateral talks with the Russian Federation in Abu Dhabi at the end of October will be discussed.
Moscow and Washington have acknowledged their refusal to hold negotiations on Ukraine expected in October. There are currently no current plans for US-mediated negotiations between Russia and Ukraine, Russian Deputy Foreign Minister Sergei Ryabkov stated on Wednesday. US Secretary of State Marco Rubio also stated in an interview published on Thursday that there are no prospects for ending the war in Ukraine through negotiations. Before the State Duma elections, Kyiv, Washington, and Moscow considered the possibility of resuming trilateral contacts in October. Details. Ryabkov stated that "contacts in this format existed in the past; they were interrupted by Kiev." Quote: "There are currently no current plans to hold contacts in this format. What happens next doesn't depend on us," Ryabkov said. The Deputy Foreign Minister added that "the leadership has repeatedly stated that we are open to such contacts." On Thursday, the Greek newspaper Kathimerini published an interview with Rubio. The US Secretary of State stated that "at this point, there appears to be no prospect of a negotiated settlement." "We have tried in the past, but so far this goal remains elusive, as Russia is conditioned on full control of the Donetsk region, which is unacceptable for Ukraine. We remain ready to play a constructive role in achieving a diplomatic solution," Rubio stated. How the negotiations were discussed. In an interview with The New York Times in early September, Kirill Budanov, the head of the Ukrainian presidential office, stated that negotiations mediated by the Donald Trump administration were expected to resume by the end of September, a few days after the parliamentary elections in Russia and a few weeks before the midterm elections in the United States. On September 7, the Elysée Palace, citing a White House statement, stated that Moscow had expressed its readiness to resume negotiations after the elections. On September 12, Budanov announced that the next round of trilateral talks between Russia, Ukraine, and the United States could take place in October. The day after Budanov's second statement, the Kremlin confirmed the White House and Kyiv's announcements of a resumption of negotiations after the State Duma elections. Russian presidential press secretary Dmitry Peskov stated that trilateral talks on Ukraine could resume in October, while Vladimir Putin's aide Yuri Ushakov stated that Moscow considers Abu Dhabi a "completely acceptable" venue for them. However, after the elections, the Russian authorities' rhetoric changed. On September 25, Putin indicated that the negotiations expected in October might not begin. He cited Ukrainian attacks during the vote and stated that Ukraine must "feel the blows in return." Meanwhile, a representative of the Ukrainian negotiating team who participated in a meeting with Trump's envoys in Kyiv in September told The Atlantic that American negotiators intend to organize a meeting of US, Russian, and Ukrainian representatives by the end of October, most likely in Abu Dhabi (the publication was published on September 29). According to Ukrainian negotiators, the UAE planned to discuss the terms of a limited ceasefire, including an end to attacks on energy infrastructure and cargo ships in the Black Sea. Ukrainian officials told The Atlantic they don't believe serious negotiations with Russia are possible before spring, citing Moscow's expectation of a long-range strike campaign against Ukraine this coming winter. "Putin isn't stockpiling missiles for no reason; he intends to use them this winter," said one official in Volodymyr Zelenskyy's administration. Subscribe to "Agency" on Telegram / email newsletter
Moscow and Washington have acknowledged their refusal to hold negotiations on Ukraine expected in October. There are currently no current plans for US-mediated negotiations between Russia and Ukraine, Russian Deputy Foreign Minister Sergei Ryabkov stated on Wednesday. US Secretary of State Marco Rubio also stated in an interview published on Thursday that there are no prospects for ending the war in Ukraine through negotiations. Before the State Duma elections, Kyiv, Washington, and Moscow considered the possibility of resuming trilateral contacts in October. Details. Ryabkov stated that "contacts in this format existed in the past; they were interrupted by Kiev." Quote: "There are currently no current plans to hold contacts in this format. What happens next doesn't depend on us," Ryabkov said. The Deputy Foreign Minister added that "the leadership has repeatedly stated that we are open to such contacts." On Thursday, the Greek newspaper Kathimerini published an interview with Rubio. The US Secretary of State stated that "at this point, there appears to be no prospect of a negotiated settlement." "We have tried in the past, but so far this goal remains elusive, as Russia is conditioned on full control of the Donetsk region, which is unacceptable for Ukraine. We remain ready to play a constructive role in achieving a diplomatic solution," Rubio stated. How the negotiations were discussed. In an interview with The New York Times in early September, Kirill Budanov, the head of the Ukrainian presidential office, stated that negotiations mediated by the Donald Trump administration were expected to resume by the end of September, a few days after the parliamentary elections in Russia and a few weeks before the midterm elections in the United States. On September 7, the Elysée Palace, citing a White House statement, stated that Moscow had expressed its readiness to resume negotiations after the elections. On September 12, Budanov announced that the next round of trilateral talks between Russia, Ukraine, and the United States could take place in October. The day after Budanov's second statement, the Kremlin confirmed the White House and Kyiv's announcements of a resumption of negotiations after the State Duma elections. Russian presidential press secretary Dmitry Peskov stated that trilateral talks on Ukraine could resume in October, while Vladimir Putin's aide Yuri Ushakov stated that Moscow considers Abu Dhabi a "completely acceptable" venue for them. However, after the elections, the Russian authorities' rhetoric changed. On September 25, Putin indicated that the negotiations expected in October might not begin. He cited Ukrainian attacks during the vote and stated that Ukraine must "feel the blows in return." Meanwhile, a representative of the Ukrainian negotiating team who participated in a meeting with Trump's envoys in Kyiv in September told The Atlantic that American negotiators intend to organize a meeting of US, Russian, and Ukrainian representatives by the end of October, most likely in Abu Dhabi (the publication was published on September 29). According to Ukrainian negotiators, the UAE planned to discuss the terms of a limited ceasefire, including an end to attacks on energy infrastructure and cargo ships in the Black Sea. Ukrainian officials told The Atlantic they don't believe serious negotiations with Russia are possible before spring, citing Moscow's expectation of a long-range strike campaign against Ukraine this coming winter. "Putin isn't stockpiling missiles for no reason; he intends to use them this winter," said one official in Volodymyr Zelenskyy's administration. Subscribe to "Agency" on Telegram / email newsletter
October 31dpa.com93%match27¢-48%
Zelenskyy expects negotiations to take place in October
Ukraine agrees to trilateral meeting with Russia The President of Ukraine announced that he has agreed to the US proposal to hold trilateral technical talks in the UAE. This proposal has also been presented to the Russians and they are waiting for Russia's response to this proposal. These talks are scheduled to be held by the end of October (this month). He emphasized that he is ready to hold these talks in the UAE or any other country that the US suggests. @YjcNewsChannel
October 31RFE/RL Reporter93%match37¢-62%
NEW!! U.S. officials are proposing a trilateral technical-level meeting with Ukraine and Russia by the end of October, Zelenskyy says. • • Kyiv says it is ready to participate and is open to the UAE or another venue proposed by Washington
Ukraine ready to participate in trilateral talks with the US and Russia The Ukrainian president said on Sunday that the US plans to hold a new round of trilateral talks with Kiev and Moscow by the end of October to end the four-and-a-half-year war. #IRNA_World @IRNA_1313
October 31chosun.com94%match39¢-64%
Zelenskyy: “U.S. Proposes Holding Trilateral Peace Talks with Russia and Ukraine in October”
October 15chosun.com94%match14¢-93%
Zelenskyy: “U.S. Proposes Holding Trilateral Peace Talks with Russia and Ukraine in October”
Ukrainian President Zelensky: US wants to hold trilateral talks with Russia and Ukraine by the end of October @YjcNewsChannel
October 31Russian Media95%match39¢-64%
The American negotiating team proposed holding a trilateral meeting "at the technical level" with Russia and Ukraine, Ukrainian leader Volodymyr Zelenskyy said. "Yesterday I spoke with the American negotiating team. The American side is contacting Ukraine and Russia today and is proposing to hold a meeting by the end of October at the technical level in a trilateral format," he said. Zelenskyy confirmed Kyiv's readiness for negotiations. Moscow has previously repeatedly stated its readiness for dialogue. On October 1, Vladimir Putin noted that it would be better to end the Ukrainian conflict on terms acceptable to Russia in order to avoid further losses on both sides.
October 31Russian Media95%match39¢-64%
The American negotiating team proposed holding a trilateral meeting "at the technical level" with Russia and Ukraine, Ukrainian leader Volodymyr Zelenskyy said. "Yesterday I spoke with the American negotiating team. The American side is contacting Ukraine and Russia today and is proposing to hold a meeting before the end of October at the technical level in a trilateral format," he said. Zelenskyy said he confirmed Kyiv's readiness for negotiations. Moscow has previously repeatedly stated its readiness for dialogue. On October 1, Vladimir Putin noted that it would be better to end the Ukrainian conflict on terms acceptable to Russia in order to avoid new losses on both sides. RBC Channel on "Max"
October 31joongang.co.kr94%match39¢-64%
Zelenskyy: “U.S. Proposes Holding Trilateral Peace Talks with Russia and Ukraine in October”
October 15joongang.co.kr94%match14¢-93%
Zelenskyy: “U.S. Proposes Holding Trilateral Peace Talks with Russia and Ukraine in October”
October 31news.kbs.co.kr94%match37¢-62%
Zelenskyy: “U.S. Proposes Holding Trilateral Peace Talks with Russia and Ukraine in October”
October 15news.kbs.co.kr94%match14¢-93%
Zelenskyy: “U.S. Proposes Holding Trilateral Peace Talks with Russia and Ukraine in October”
October 31yna.co.kr94%match37¢-62%
Zelenskyy: "U.S. Proposes Holding Trilateral Peace Talks with Russia and Ukraine in October"
FWD from Zelenskiy / Official: Yesterday I spoke with the American negotiating team. The American side is in contact with Ukraine and Russia today and offers to hold a meeting by the end of October at a technical level in a trilateral format. Yesterday I confirmed to them that our side is ready to support until the end of October. There is no new information here. We are open to the United Arab Emirates or another country proposed by the American side. I know that they will offer this to the Russian side as well - or have already offered it. We will wait for an answer. We react positively to the negotiations. From communication with media representatives together with Friedrich Merz. (3/3)
October 31Iranian Media92%match37¢-62%
Zelensky: America is preparing to hold trilateral talks Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky: America wants to hold trilateral talks with Russia and Ukraine by the end of October. nournews.ir @Nournews_IR
Zelensky: US is preparing to hold trilateral talks Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky: The US wants to hold trilateral talks with Russia and Ukraine by the end of October. @TasnimNews
Yesterday I spoke with the American negotiating team. The American side is currently in contact with Ukraine and Russia and is proposing to hold a meeting by the end of October at a technical level in a trilateral format. Yesterday I confirmed to them that our side is ready to support until the end of October. There is no new information here. We are open to the United Arab Emirates or another country proposed by the American side. I know that they will also offer this to the Russian side - or have already offered it. We will wait for an answer. We are reacting positively to the negotiations. From a conversation with media representatives together with Friedrich Merz. (3/3)
Yesterday, I spoke with the American negotiating team. Today, the American side is in contact with both Ukraine and Russia and is proposing a trilateral meeting at the technical level by the end of October. • • Yesterday, I confirmed to them that our side is ready to support holding such a meeting by the end of October. There is no new information here. We are open to the United Arab Emirates or another country proposed by the American side. • • I know they will propose this to the Russian side as well, or may have already done so. We will wait for the response. We respond positively to negotiations. • • From the press conference with Friedrich Merz. (3/3)
October 31afp.com95%match39¢-64%
Zelensky says US wants to hold talks with Russia, Ukraine by the end of October
October 31lefigaro.fr92%match40¢-65%
War in Ukraine: The United States wants to organize trilateral talks with Russia and Ukraine at the end of October, announces Volodymyr Zelensky
October 31franceinfo.fr93%match36¢-61%
Live: #UKRAINE Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky announces that the United States plans to hold trilateral talks with Russian and Ukrainian representatives at the end of October to find a solution to the conflict...
October 31Sky News Arabia92%match36¢-61%
Zelensky: The United States wants to hold trilateral talks with Russia and Ukraine by the end of October.
October 31bfmtv.com93%match34¢-59%
War in Ukraine: The United States wants to organize three-way talks with Russia and Ukraine at the end of October, according to Volodymyr Zelensky

What is this event about?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine aimed at discussing a ceasefire, peace agreement, or other substantive de-escalation of the ongoing conflict by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify. Meetings or talks limited to humanitarian issues will not qualify unless they also include substantive negotiation regarding broader Russia-Ukraine peace terms, such as a ceasefire, peace agreement, territorial issues, security guarantees, or similar. Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count. The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.