Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensiveJune 30
ResolvedOutcome: Yes$86Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .
YES100¢
NO0¢
as of
What moved the odds?
47 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
Netanyahu: We must take it upon ourselves to eliminate Hezbollah's missiles.
Netanyahu: We will remain where we are in southern Lebanon and will reinforce our presence with forces from the sea to the Syrian border.
Netanyahu: I agreed to a 10-day ceasefire with Lebanon
ISRAELI PM NETANYAHU: IDF TO MAINTAIN A 10 KM WIDE SECURITY ZONE IN LEBANON ...
ISRAELI PM NETANYAHU: IDF TO MAINTAIN A 10 KM WIDE SECURITY ZONE IN LEBANON
*NETANYAHU: I AGREED TO 10-DAY CEASEFIRE IN LEBANON
*NETANYAHU: I AGREED TO 10-DAY CEASEFIRE IN LEBANON
ISRAELI PM NETANYAHU: I ACCEPTED A TEMPORARY TEN-DAY TRUCE WITH LEBANON
Our correspondent reports: More than 60 Lebanese towns have been subjected to dozens of Israeli airstrikes and artillery bombardments in recent hours.
Israeli Army Radio: The army will not withdraw from the areas it has reached in Lebanon and will act against any threat.
IDF forces will remain on the "Red Line" and will NOT withdraw from the controlling areas they have captured so far in southern Lebanon.
Israeli Army Radio: The army will not withdraw from the areas it has reached in #Lebanon and will act against any emerging threat.
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu announced on Thursday that he has accepted a ceasefire in Lebanon Netanyahu indicated that he accepted a ceasefire at the request of US President Donald Trump, also noting that Israeli forces will remain in the occupied positions in southern Lebanon.
#Breaking | Israeli Army Radio: Our forces will remain stationed on the anti-tank lines in southern Lebanon and will not withdraw from the areas they control.
Israeli Army Radio: Our forces will remain stationed on the anti-tank lines in southern Lebanon and will not withdraw from the areas they control.
#Breaking | Israeli Army Radio: Our forces will remain stationed on the anti-tank lines in southern Lebanon and will not withdraw from the areas they control.
Al Jazeera correspondent: Israeli airstrike on the town of Adshit in southern Lebanon
An Israeli source told Hadashot 14: "A ten-day ceasefire began at midnight, during which our forces will remain deep in southern Lebanon." "As in Gaza and as in Lebanon before the 'Roar of Hari' - we will act not only in the face of danger, but also in the face of an emerging threat, and we will attack it immediately. If in the next ten days the Lebanese government does not take practical action to dismantle Hezbollah, we will do so with great force immediately afterwards."
Israeli Broadcasting Authority, citing a source: Netanyahu told his ministers that army forces will remain in southern Lebanon
#Breaking | Israeli Channel 12: Netanyahu informed his cabinet ministers of his agreement to Trump's request for a ceasefire in Lebanon
Israeli Broadcasting Authority, citing a source: Netanyahu told his ministers that Israeli army forces will remain in southern Lebanon
Netanyahu: Israeli forces will remain in southern Lebanon
Netanyahu informs his government that Israeli forces will remain in southern Lebanon.
As we reported last night: The ceasefire will focus on air strikes, ground forces at this stage will remain in Lebanon.
Netanyahu informs the cabinet of a ceasefire in Lebanon starting tonight; ministers express anger at not being briefed on the events of the last few hours.
Netanyahu informs the cabinet of a ceasefire in Lebanon starting tonight; ministers express anger at not being briefed on the events of the last few hours.
Israeli Channel 15: Netanyahu informs ministers that a ceasefire in Lebanon will begin tonight.
ISRAELI SECURITY OFFICIAL SAYS MILITARY HAS NO PLANS TO WITHDRAW FORCES FROM SOUTHERN LEBANON DURING ANY CEASEFIRE
Israeli Security Official: Military Has No Plans To Withdraw Forces From Southern Lebanon During Any Ceasefire - RTRS
Senior Israeli official says IDF forces to remain in southern Lebanon in parallel with ceasefire
A ceasefire agreement between Lebanon and Israel was reached at 21:00 GMT.
A ceasefire agreement has been reached between Lebanon and Israel, effective at midnight local time in both countries.
BREAKING: 10-Day CEASEFIRE in LEBANON
A ceasefire agreement between Lebanon and Israel was reached at midnight.
Trump says that Israel has agreed to a ceasefire in Lebanon.
At this moment, a conference call of the Israeli cabinet with the Prime Minister is taking place, updating on the ceasefire expected to start tonight in Lebanon.
Northern Command Of The Israeli Army: We Have Not Yet Received An Official Order To Cease Fire In #Lebanon And We Continue Fighting With Full Force
An Israeli source told Reuters that a ceasefire in Lebanon is likely to be announced on Thursday night, April 16.
ISRAELI SOURCE TO REUTERS: A CEASEFIRE IN LEBANON COULD BE ANNOUNCED AS SOON AS TONIGHT APRIL 16
IDF PREPARES FOR LEBANON CEASE-FIRE STARTING THURSDAY EVENING - HAAERTZ
Haaretz: The Israeli army has instructed its forces to prepare for the ceasefire in Lebanon to take effect after 7:00 PM. D9%8A%D8%B3%D8%AA%D8%B9%D8%AF-%D9%84%D9%88%D9%82%D9%81-%D8%A5%D8%B7%D9%84%D8%A7%D9%82-%D9%86%D8%A7%D8%B1-%D9%81%D9%8A-%D9%84%D8%A8%D9%86%D8%A7%D9%86-%D8%A7%D9%84%D9%8A%D9%88%D9%85
New details revealed on IDF’s Operation Eternal Darkness: 250 Hezbollah operatives and commanders killed across Lebanon
The facts of the fighting in Lebanon are not numbers, but rather a stark testament to our determination and resolve. We will continue fighting until we achieve our goals.
Netanyahu says fighting to continue in Lebanon
Breaking | Netanyahu: The fighting will continue in Lebanon, and the focus today is on the fighting in Bint Jbeil.
Netanyahu: The fighting will continue in Lebanon, and the focus today is on the fighting in Bint Jbeil.
NETANYAHU: ISRAEL SEEKS DEEPER SECURITY ZONE IN LEBANON
Where does the news lean?
7YES198NO11neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.
How did this market resolve?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu, the Israeli government, or the Israeli military publicly and definitively announces a halt to the Israeli military offensive in Lebanon by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Qualifying announcements must unambiguously indicate a halt to offensive ground operations as well as a halt to military strikes, such as airstrikes, artillery fire, or similar offensive strikes against targets in Lebanon. Statements that unambiguously imply both the cessation of offensive ground operations and strikes may suffice even if not stated explicitly (e.g, “The Israeli Defense Forces have concluded their operations in Lebanon”). An announcement of a total withdrawal of Israeli forces from Lebanese territory is not required.
Announcements that do not indicate a halt to the offensive military operations as a whole (e.g., referring only to a specific phase, type of operation, or geographic subset of operations) will not qualify.
Qualifying announcements must clearly indicate that the Israeli military offensive in Lebanon has concluded, is halted, or will conclude or be halted on a specific date, even if only for a defined, limited period. A temporary ceasefire agreement will qualify if it explicitly indicates that the Israeli military offensive in Lebanon is halted.
Informal announcements, statements that the offensive will halt at some undefined future time, or statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official statements from Benjamin Netanyahu, the Israeli government, and the Israeli military; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Note: this market will resolve solely based on whether a qualifying announcement is made within the specified timeframe. Whether Israeli military hostilities actually halt in practice or whether hostilities resume will not be considered.
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