Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14? Odds jumped to 23% on Sep 6, 2026

ResolvedOutcome: NoMove

Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14? On , the market’s odds jumped from 5.5¢ to 23¢ (+17.5 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from Asharq. The market has since resolved No.

How did the odds move?

At match5.5¢
+5m6¢
+30m7¢
+1h23¢
+24h15¢
1h move+17.5 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

Later moves the same day

This is the market’s single brief for Sep 6, 2026; further measured moves that day are folded in here as they are stamped.

  • 7¢ → 18¢+11 ptsafter a signal from aljazeera.com

What moved the odds?

YesAsharq96%match
Iran's Supreme National Security Council: The Hormuz Strait maps agreed upon with Oman will be signed in the coming days.

Where does this market stand now?

This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .

YES0¢
NO100¢

Vol$422K

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Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

See all outcomes for Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.