Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?
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Kazem Gharibabadi, the deputy foreign minister of the Islamic Republic, told the student news agency: “The Strait of Hormuz remains closed, and if a ship passes through this route, it will be with the coordination and permission of the Islamic Republic.” He added that the Islamic Republic is in no hurry to reopen the Strait of Hormuz and will continue to take defensive measures and confront threats. Gharibabadi said that the armed forces have “full control” over movements in the Strait of Hormuz and do not confirm the statements made about ships passing without coordination. According to him, the Islamic Republic and Oman have reached an understanding on the arrangements for passing through the Strait of Hormuz, but this understanding will not automatically enter the implementation stage and its implementation requires the fulfillment of US commitments. Gharibabadi added: "The Islamic Republic has indicated its readiness to return to diplomacy through this understanding, but the United States has suspended its commitments, and if the United States takes the necessary measures, the Islamic Republic will also take its own countermeasures."
Six months after the Iran-Iraq war, the International Maritime Organization warned that the Strait of Hormuz crisis remains unresolved, with some 400 ships carrying nearly 6,000 sailors unable to safely leave the region. Arsenio Dominguez, the organization's secretary-general, dismissed reports of freedom of movement and called for cooperation from countries and the shipping industry to restore freedom of navigation in the Strait of Hormuz. According to the organization, 70 incidents and the deaths of 19 sailors have been confirmed as of Wednesday. Tracking data also indicates limited and slow ship traffic, and many shipping companies are still reluctant to return their large ships to the Persian Gulf.
The International Maritime Organization report, citing tracking data, indicates limited and slow ship traffic and says that very few ships are returning to the Persian Gulf to receive new cargoes because many shipping companies are reluctant to return their large ships through the strait after removing them from the Persian Gulf.
Ship Attack Amidst Hormuz Traffic Stagnation… Reopening Has a Long Way to Go
Six months after the start of the war, trade in the Strait of Hormuz has declined by 85%, and an Iranian closure in response to US-Israeli strikes is strangling a waterway that once handled a fifth of the world's oil and gas exports.
Strait traffic trends lower • • #MarineTraffic data show vessel traffic declining across both the Strait of Hormuz and Bab el-Mandeb on 25 August. The Strait of Hormuz recorded five confirmed crossings, down 28.6% day on day from seven. Two vessels entered the Middle East Gulf and three exited, with all five using the Iranian Unilateral Scheme. • • Bab el-Mandeb recorded 36 confirmed crossings, down 7.7% from 39. Fifteen vessels entered the Red Sea and 21 exited. Two dark transits were also identified, adding to continued scrutiny of #vessel movements through the region’s key maritime chokepoints.
Six months since the closure of the Strait of Hormuz... Shipping traffic has declined by approximately 85%, from 95 to 15 ships daily, and thousands of sailors await safe passage through one of the world's most vital energy and trade arteries. #FromTheEvent
Gharibabadi: The Strait of Hormuz will not open tomorrow; the new route is like a round-trip highway The Deputy Foreign Minister explained the details of the understanding between Iran and Oman regarding the Strait of Hormuz and emphasized that this understanding does not mean the immediate opening of the strait tomorrow and that these are two separate issues. For the past 58 years, ships have been passing through Omani waters, and Iran has suffered severe damage. The Strait of Hormuz is now a matter of national security for Iran, and fundamental changes must be made to the entry and exit routes. According to this understanding, the entry route to the Persian Gulf will be through Iranian waters and the exit route through Omani territorial waters, and ships will pass through Iranian waters on both routes. The Deputy Foreign Minister explained that this route is “like a round-trip highway” with a total width of about 7 miles. The route is temporary, and Iran and Oman must negotiate a new permanent route within 30 to 60 days to replace the previous maritime traffic plan. [in reply to: Gharibabadi: Iran and Oman are the only coastal countries of the Strait of Hormuz We are still in a state of war Deputy Minister of Legal and International Affairs of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs: The Strait of Hormuz does not have more than two coastal countries, and these two countries are only the Islamic Republic of Iran and the Sultanate of Oman. Before the recent wars, there were no problems in the Strait of Hormuz, and Iran did not focus particularly on issues related to this waterway. After the 40-day war, Iran's strategic attention and focus was drawn to this issue, and we are still in a state of war. Mizan on social networks @mizanplus]
Gharibabadi: The Strait of Hormuz will not open tomorrow The new route is like a round-trip highway The Deputy Foreign Minister explained the details of the understanding between Iran and Oman regarding the Strait of Hormuz and emphasized that this understanding does not mean the immediate opening of the strait tomorrow and that these are two separate issues. Gharibabadi explained that for the past 58 years, ships have been passing through Omani waters, and Iran has suffered severe damage. He emphasized that the Strait of Hormuz is now a matter of Iran's national security and that fundamental changes must be made to the entry and exit routes. Based on this understanding, the entry route to the Persian Gulf will be through Iranian waters and the exit route through Omani territorial waters, and ships will pass through Iranian waters on both routes. The Deputy Foreign Minister explained that this route is "like a round-trip highway" with a total width of about 7 miles. Ghoribabadi noted that this route is temporary and that Iran and Oman must negotiate a new permanent route within 30 to 60 days to replace the previous maritime traffic plan. nournews.ir @Nournews_IR
Gharibabadi: The Strait of Hormuz will not open tomorrow The new route is like a round-trip highway The Deputy Foreign Minister explained the details of the understanding between Iran and Oman regarding the Strait of Hormuz and emphasized that this understanding does not mean the immediate opening of the strait tomorrow and that these are two separate issues. Gharibabadi explained that for the past 58 years, ships have been passing through Omani waters and Iran has suffered severe damage. He emphasized that the Strait of Hormuz is now a matter of Iran's national security and that fundamental changes must be made to the entry and exit routes. According to this understanding, the entry route to the Persian Gulf will be through Iranian waters and the exit route through Omani territorial waters, and ships will pass through Iranian waters on both routes. The Deputy Foreign Minister explained that this route is "like a round-trip highway" with a total width of about 7 miles. Ghoribabadi noted that this route is temporary and that Iran and Oman should negotiate a new permanent route within 30 to 60 days to replace the previous maritime traffic plan.
@TasnimNews
Oman and the Islamic Republic announced in a joint statement on Tuesday, September 23, that Omani Foreign Minister Badr al-Busaidy discussed the resumption of safe shipping in the Strait of Hormuz with Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araqchi during a visit to Iran. According to the statement, the two sides discussed a phased framework for the current situation in the Strait of Hormuz, which includes the establishment of a temporary joint shipping corridor in the Strait of Hormuz and the implementation of a joint project to clear mines from the strait. The statement said that technical talks between Tehran and Muscat will continue with the aim of reaching an agreement on a permanent shipping corridor and future arrangements for managing the Strait of Hormuz. The two sides will also discuss establishing a mechanism for exchanging information, managing ship traffic, and providing services related to shipping and security. Furthermore, the Islamic Republic and Oman emphasized the importance of joint dialogue with the coastal states of the Persian Gulf, as well as the necessity of adhering to international law and respecting the sovereign rights of coastal states.
Six months since the start of the Middle East war, the strategic Strait of Hormuz remains largely paralysed, with thousands of sailors still stranded in the Gulf and commodity carrier traffic way below its normal level. •
11:45/ September 2
The latest data shows that commercial cargo traffic in the Strait of Hormuz has dropped to its lowest level in three months over the past two days. Data from ship tracking company Kepler confirms that only one cargo ship passed through the Strait of Hormuz on Monday. This completely contradicts the media and American officials' propaganda and shows that the Iranian Navy completely dominates the Strait of Hormuz.
11:45/ September 2
The latest data shows that commercial cargo traffic in the Strait of Hormuz has decreased to its lowest level in three months over the past two days. Data from ship tracking company Kepler confirms that only one cargo ship passed through the Strait of Hormuz on Monday. This completely contradicts the media and American officials' propaganda and shows that the Iranian Navy completely dominates the Strait of Hormuz.
00:12/ September 1
Operational assessment: Contrary to claims by Western sources, ships violating and passing through the southern route of the Strait of Hormuz are being hit daily. In the past week, 13 ships have been targeted and all of them have been stopped. The US government's claims about ships passing through the Strait of Hormuz are completely false and a psychological operation to control the energy market. Parallel routes, including in the Red Sea, are also under pressure, and Saudi oil exports from the port of Yanbu have decreased by a third. Kuwait does not export any oil, and UAE exports are also under severe pressure. Iran is preparing to intensify operations in the straits. The resistance will have a unified strategy in this regard.
UK Maritime Trade Operations: We have recorded 18 transits out of the Gulf and 21 into it since February 28, which is about 4% of pre-conflict levels. Transit through the Strait of Hormuz is about 90% lower than pre-conflict levels. The southern route in the Strait of Hormuz is the most dangerous passage and saw 14 of the 16 incidents between July 6 and August 6. There is a continued decline in shipping traffic in the Strait of Hormuz, contrary to US claims.
Live: Ship traffic through Strait of Hormuz slides as peace talks remain in limbo
Tankertrackers, a tanker tracking company, announced on Thursday, August 10, that only five million barrels of oil a day are passing through the US Navy's blockade of the Strait of Hormuz. According to Tankertrackers, the location of the crude oil loading or transfer does not affect this amount, and the total oil passing through this line is five million barrels a day. The latest data from shipping data analysis company Kepler shows that cargo ship traffic through the Strait of Hormuz remains at a very low level, and on Wednesday, August 10, only nine cargo ships passed through this waterway.
Kpler data: No increase in shipping traffic through the Strait of Hormuz
Hormuz Shipping Traffic Shows No Uptick in US-Iran Geopolitical Stalemate, According to Data
Reuters reported on Wednesday, August 19, citing data from MarineTraffic, an international shipping tracking company, that ship traffic in the Strait of Hormuz has decreased and most ship owners are refusing to pass through the waterway. According to the report, the lack of clear signs of the Strait of Hormuz reopening after it was blocked during the Iran-Iran war is the reason why most ship owners are refusing to pass through this route.
UAE oil exports to Asia reduced following disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz Abu Dhabi National Oil Company (ADNOC) is reducing its oil export quota to Asian customers, including China, India, Japan and South Korea, for August and September following the suspension of tanker traffic in the Strait of Hormuz. This reduction is announced more than the usual summer trend and comes at a time when the UAE is facing serious restrictions on oil exports due to its dependence on the Strait of Hormuz. According to reports, UAE oil exports have decreased from about 3.5 to 4 million barrels per day before the crisis to about 1.5 million barrels per day. Get the latest news:
Site | ETA | Yes | Rubika | Soroush Plus @snntv
UAE reduces oil sales to Asia Abu Dhabi National Oil Company (ADNOC) is reducing its oil export quota to Asian customers, including China, India, Japan and South Korea, for August and September, following the suspension of tanker traffic in the Strait of Hormuz. This reduction is announced more than the usual summer trend and comes at a time when the UAE is facing serious restrictions on oil exports due to its dependence on Hormuz. According to reports, UAE oil exports have decreased from about 3.5 to 4 million barrels per day before the crisis to about 1.5 million barrels. The attack on several Emirati tankers and the increasing concerns of shipowners have also caused Abu Dhabi to review its export policy.
@Farsna - Link
UAE reduces oil sales to Asia Abu Dhabi National Oil Company (ADNOC) is reducing its oil export quota to Asian customers, including China, India, Japan and South Korea, for August and September, following the suspension of tanker traffic in the Strait of Hormuz. This reduction is announced more than the usual summer trend and comes at a time when the UAE is facing serious restrictions on oil exports due to its dependence on Hormuz. According to reports, UAE oil exports have decreased from about 3.5 to 4 million barrels per day before the crisis to about 1.5 million barrels. The attack on several Emirati tankers and the increasing concerns of shipowners have also caused Abu Dhabi to review its export policy.
@Farsna - Link
As tensions continue in the Strait of Hormuz, new Kepler data shows that only six commercial ships passed through the Strait of Hormuz on Monday, August 16, down from a 10-day average of 11. Kepler said no crude oil or LNG tankers were recorded among the vessels. Iran International's Marzieh Hosseini reports on the latest reports on ship traffic in the Strait of Hormuz.
Sixty days after the Tehran-Washington agreement, shipping through the Strait of Hormuz continues at a lower level of traffic and oil volume than before the war. Ship traffic increased for a while after the agreement, but then decreased again with the resumption of hostilities. Data from the US Energy Information Administration shows that oil volume passing through the Strait of Hormuz in the second quarter of 2026 was about 77 percent lower than pre-war levels.
The speaker of the Islamic Consultative Assembly and the main negotiator with the United States says Tehran will not reopen the Strait of Hormuz until the US lifts its blockade of Iranian ports and meets some other conditions. On Tuesday, August 16, in a speech before the parliament's order, Mohammad Baqer Qalibaf described Iran's other conditions for reopening the Strait of Hormuz as "the release of frozen assets, the lifting of the oil embargo, and the end of threats and military operations on all fronts, and other conditions" of the Islamabad memorandum of understanding.
@VahidHeadline @VahidOnline
FWD from KhabarGraphic: The Line of Invalidation of Statistics and Figures on Trump's Claims about Hormuz The Wall Street Journal, in a report examining ship traffic statistics, transit routes, attacks, insurance costs and the volume of oil that has left the market since the start of the war, presents a picture that is far from Donald Trump's claim about America's "complete control" over the Strait of Hormuz. The sum of these numbers presents a clear picture: maritime traffic has dropped from more than 130 ships per day to 14 ships, the average traffic in July was only 26 and in June 33 ships, out of 166 crossings in August, only two were made through the US-supported route, and insurance costs have also increased from 0.25% to 10%. In addition to removing more than 2.6 billion barrels of oil from the market, these figures show that control of the Strait of Hormuz is in the hands of Iran, not the US. @Khabar_Graphic
@TasnimNews
Mohammad Baqer Qalibaf, the speaker of the parliament, said in an online session on Tuesday, August 17, that the Strait of Hormuz will not open until the naval blockade of Iranian ports is lifted, frozen assets are released, the oil embargo is ended, and threats and military operations on all fronts are stopped. He said that the Islamic Republic's military forces, with "intelligent operational planning" and under the leadership of Mojtaba Khamenei, "slapped the enemy in the face so hard that the whole world acknowledged our victory." Qalibaf added that the opportunity created following the memorandum of understanding and ceasefire has helped increase the economic resilience and rebuild the Islamic Republic's defense capabilities. He emphasized: "The Islamic Republic of Iran is ready to inflict a heavier defeat on the enemy than before, commensurate with his actions and encroachments."
America: We will continue to transport oil and gas through the Strait of Hormuz "Chris Wright", the US Secretary of Energy of the terrorist government:
Transit through the Strait of Hormuz decreased by 19.5% to 95, while it was 118 before, and daily traffic fell from a peak of 19 crossings on August 11 to only 3 crossings on August 16. Of the total crossings, 51 crossings used the Iranian route and 44 were of unknown routes. The crossing through Bab al-Mandeb increased by 6.7% to 254.
@TasnimNews
What is this event about?
This market will resolve according to the next month for which IMF Portwatch publishes a daily 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60.
Daily transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
The qualifying month will be the calendar month containing the date associated with the first qualifying data point published by IMF PortWatch.
This market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls equal to or above the specified level, or once data has been published for the final date of the specified month, and no such value has been published.
If data is published for December 31, 2026 and a qualifying data point has not been published for any month, this market will resolve to “No Return to Normal Traffic in 2026.” If no data has been published for December 31, 2026 by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.
Revisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. However, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from qualifying. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for the final date in the specified month, however, will not be considered.
In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections. Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where IMF Portwatch differs from alternative sources.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.