Iran leadership change
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Market pricing makes June 30, 2027 the favorite at 25% across 14 tracked outcomes, as of .
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Iranian Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei makes his first move since taking office, appointing figures from the "old guard" to key security positions in a move seen as paving the way for a longer confrontation with the United States.
Iranian Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei makes his first move since taking office, appointing figures from the "old guard" to key security positions in a move seen as paving the way for a longer confrontation with the United States.
Former Mauritanian Information Minister Mohamed Amin: Iran is ruled by senior generals, and Mojtaba Khamenei doesn't even exist. Ali Larijani proposed this idea before his death to prevent a power struggle over the position of Supreme Leader among senior Shiite clerics. #Debatable Full episode:
The changes include the Revolutionary Guard, the Basij militia, and the National Security Council. Iranian Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei is making leadership changes amid reports of divisions within the power structure.
The changes include the Revolutionary Guard, the Basij militia, and the National Security Council. Iranian Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei is making leadership changes amid reports of divisions within the power structure.
The changes include the Revolutionary Guard, the Basij militia, and the National Security Council. Iranian Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei is making leadership changes amid reports of divisions within the power structure.
Mojtaba Khamenei, the new leader of the Islamic Republic, appointed seven senior military and security officials on August 10. These appointments have further enhanced the position of military and security figures in the Islamic Republic's power structure following the war with the United States and Israel.
Mojtaba Khamenei, the new leader of the Islamic Republic, appointed seven senior military and security officials on August 10. These appointments have further enhanced the position of military and security figures in the Islamic Republic's power structure following the war with the United States and Israel.
More than seven months after the assassinations of key figures in Iran's power structure, Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei has chosen his men to lead the military establishment, and reports indicate the formation of a six-member command center to expedite coordination between the army and the Revolutionary Guard.
More than seven months after the assassinations of key figures in Iran's power structure, Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei has chosen his men to lead the military establishment, and reports indicate the formation of a six-member command center to expedite coordination between the army and the Revolutionary Guard.
More than seven months after the assassinations of key figures in Iran's power structure, Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei has chosen his men to lead the military establishment, and reports indicate the formation of a six-member command center to expedite coordination between the army and the Revolutionary Guard.
More than seven months after the assassinations of key figures in Iran's power structure, Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei has chosen his men to lead the military establishment, and reports indicate the formation of a six-member command center to expedite coordination between the army and the Revolutionary Guard.
More than seven months after the assassinations of key figures in Iran's power structure, Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei has chosen his men to lead the military establishment, and reports indicate the formation of a six-member command center to expedite coordination between the army and the Revolutionary Guard.
More than seven months after the assassination of the Iranian Supreme Leader, Mojtaba Khamenei is choosing his men to lead the military establishment, and reports speak of a six-member command center to expedite coordination between the army and the Revolutionary Guard.
More than seven months after the assassination of the Iranian Supreme Leader, Mojtaba Khamenei is choosing his men to lead the military establishment, and reports speak of a six-member command center to expedite coordination between the army and the Revolutionary Guard.
More than seven months after the assassination of the Iranian Supreme Leader, Mojtaba Khamenei is choosing his men to lead the military establishment, and reports speak of a six-member command center to expedite coordination between the army and the Revolutionary Guard.
More than seven months after the assassination of the Iranian Supreme Leader, Mojtaba Khamenei is choosing his men to lead the military establishment, and reports speak of a six-member command center to expedite coordination between the army and the Revolutionary Guard.
Iran's Supreme Leader Mojtabah reportedly met with President Pezeshkian late last month amid rumors of his serious illness; he also appointed six new military leaders.
Iran's Supreme Leader Mojtabah reportedly met with President Pezeshkian late last month amid rumors of his serious illness; he also appointed six new military leaders.
Iran's Supreme Leader Mojtabah reportedly met with President Pezeshkian late last month amid rumors of his serious illness; he also appointed six new military leaders.
Iran's Supreme Leader Mojtabah reportedly met with President Pezeshkian late last month amid rumors of his serious illness; he also appointed six new military leaders.
Iran: Supreme Leader Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei has issued a decree appointing Mohsen Rezaei as his representative to the Supreme National Security Council of Iran.
Iran: Supreme Leader Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei has issued a decree appointing Mohsen Rezaei as his representative to the Supreme National Security Council of Iran.
Iran: Supreme Leader Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei has issued a decree appointing Mohsen Rezaei as his representative to the Supreme National Security Council of Iran.
Iran: Supreme Leader Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei has issued a decree appointing Mohsen Rezaei as his representative to the Supreme National Security Council.
Iran: Supreme Leader Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei has issued a decree appointing Mohsen Rezaei as his representative to the Supreme National Security Council.
Iran: Supreme Leader Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei has issued a decree appointing Mohsen Rezaei as his representative to the Supreme National Security Council.
Iran: Supreme Leader Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei has issued a decree appointing Mohsen Rezaei as his representative to the Supreme National Security Council.
Iran: Supreme Leader Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei has issued a decree appointing Mohsen Rezaei as his representative to the Supreme National Security Council.
Iran's New Supreme Leader Hasn't Been Seen Since The War Began. A Report Claims He Could Die At Any Moment. • Mojtaba Khamenei is in extremely critical condition and could die imminently, according to a new report.
What is this event about?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.