How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
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Market pricing makes Below 4.7% the favorite at 13% across 16 tracked outcomes, as of .
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NY bond market sees decline in long-term bonds; 10-year Treasury yield falls to 5.27% as expectations of higher interest rates prevent continued buying following the release of employment statistics.
NY bond market: Long-term bonds remain flat; 10-year Treasury yield at 5.23%; concerns about easing supply and demand weigh on the market.
NY bond market: Long-term bonds remain flat; 10-year Treasury yield at 5.23%; concerns about easing supply and demand weigh on the market.
NY bond market sees decline in long-term bonds; 10-year Treasury yield falls to 5.23% due to persistent concerns about inflation and further interest rate hikes.
NY bond market sees decline in long-term bonds; 10-year Treasury yield falls to 5.23% due to persistent concerns about inflation and further interest rate hikes.
NY bond market sees decline in long-term bonds; 10-year Treasury yield falls to 5.23% due to persistent concerns about inflation and further interest rate hikes.
NY bond market sees decline in long-term bonds; 10-year Treasury yield falls to 5.23% due to persistent concerns about inflation and further interest rate hikes.
#This Week's Hot Read: The 10-year US Treasury yield hit a new high, creating a drastically different environment for the market and the US economy compared to the beginning of this decade. At that time, yields had plummeted to well below 1%. This article traces the entire process of how we got to where we are today.
#This Week's Hot Read: The 10-year US Treasury yield hit a new high, creating a drastically different environment for the market and the US economy compared to the beginning of this decade. At that time, yields had plummeted to well below 1%. This article traces the entire process of how we got to where we are today.
#This Week's Hot Read: The 10-year US Treasury yield hit a new high, creating a drastically different environment for the market and the US economy compared to the beginning of this decade. At that time, yields had plummeted to well below 1%. This article traces the entire process of how we got to where we are today.
#This Week's Hot Read: The 10-year US Treasury yield hit a new high, creating a drastically different environment for the market and the US economy compared to the beginning of this decade. At that time, yields had plummeted to well below 1%. This article traces the entire process of how we got to where we are today.
#This Week's Hot Read: The 10-year US Treasury yield hit a new high, creating a drastically different environment for the market and the US economy compared to the beginning of this decade. At that time, yields had plummeted to well below 1%. This article traces the entire process of how we got to where we are today.
POLYMARKET ODDS OF THE 10-YEAR TREASURY YIELD HITTING 5.3% BEFORE 2027 ARE AT 68% • • The 10-year yield is currently at 5.221%, putting it just 7.9 basis points below 5.3%.
POLYMARKET ODDS OF THE 10-YEAR TREASURY YIELD HITTING 5.3% BEFORE 2027 ARE AT 68% • • The 10-year yield is currently at 5.221%, putting it just 7.9 basis points below 5.3%.
POLYMARKET ODDS OF THE 10-YEAR TREASURY YIELD HITTING 5.3% BEFORE 2027 ARE AT 68% • • The 10-year yield is currently at 5.221%, putting it just 7.9 basis points below 5.3%.
POLYMARKET ODDS OF THE 10-YEAR TREASURY YIELD HITTING 5.3% BEFORE 2027 ARE AT 68% • • The 10-year yield is currently at 5.221%, putting it just 7.9 basis points below 5.3%.
POLYMARKET ODDS OF THE 10-YEAR TREASURY YIELD HITTING 5.3% BEFORE 2027 ARE AT 68% • • The 10-year yield is currently at 5.221%, putting it just 7.9 basis points below 5.3%.
The 10-year US Treasury yield has hit a new high, creating a drastically different environment for the market and the US economy compared to the beginning of this decade. At that time, yields had plummeted to well below 1%. This article outlines the entire process that has led us to this point.
Despite Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent's plan to repurchase $6 billion in bonds, the yield on the 10-year US Treasury note has risen to its highest level since 2023. The yield on the 10-year Treasury note climbed more than 3 basis points to 4.839%. The yield on the 30-year Treasury note also rose 3 basis points to 5.292%. The yield on the 2-year note, which is typically more sensitive to short-term monetary policy expectations, rose to 4.415%. This is three times the normal rate. The US Treasury intends to repurchase $6 billion in long-term debt. #Arabic_Business
Cailian Press reported on September 9 that the yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury note rose to 4.8184%, the highest level since November 2023.
NY bond market sees rebound in long-term bonds; 10-year Treasury yield at 4.78% after Fed officials make cautious remarks about an early interest rate hike.
30-YEAR TREASURY YIELD BECOMES MARKET’S NEW FEAR GAUGE • • The US 30-year Treasury yield has become a key market focus as concerns over government debt and fiscal credibility intensify. • • A Bloomberg survey shows 66% expect the 10-year yield to exceed 5% this year. • • But KB Securities says investors are too pessimistic. • • It argues policymakers still have tools to contain yields, including Treasury buybacks, fiscal tightening, Operation Twist and bank deregulation.
30-YEAR TREASURY YIELD BECOMES MARKET’S NEW FEAR GAUGE • • The US 30-year Treasury yield has become a key market focus as concerns over government debt and fiscal credibility intensify. • • A Bloomberg survey shows 66% expect the 10-year yield to exceed 5% this year. • • But KB Securities says investors are too pessimistic. • • It argues policymakers still have tools to contain yields, including Treasury buybacks, fiscal tightening, Operation Twist and bank deregulation.
30-YEAR TREASURY YIELD BECOMES MARKET’S NEW FEAR GAUGE • • The US 30-year Treasury yield has become a key market focus as concerns over government debt and fiscal credibility intensify. • • A Bloomberg survey shows 66% expect the 10-year yield to exceed 5% this year. • • But KB Securities says investors are too pessimistic. • • It argues policymakers still have tools to contain yields, including Treasury buybacks, fiscal tightening, Operation Twist and bank deregulation.
U.S. TREASURY YIELDS SET TO EASE • • A Reuters poll sees Treasury yields declining over the next year. • • 10-Year Yield: • • 3 months: 4.50% • • 6 months: 4.50% • • 12 months: 4.34% • 2-Year Yield: • • 3 months: 4.07% • • 6 months: 3.92% • • 12 months: 3.80% • • However, 18 of 22 bond strategists say the 10-year yield is more likely to overshoot expectations than undershoot them over the next three months.
U.S. TREASURY YIELDS SET TO EASE • • A Reuters poll sees Treasury yields declining over the next year. • • 10-Year Yield: • • 3 months: 4.50% • • 6 months: 4.50% • • 12 months: 4.34% • 2-Year Yield: • • 3 months: 4.07% • • 6 months: 3.92% • • 12 months: 3.80% • • However, 18 of 22 bond strategists say the 10-year yield is more likely to overshoot expectations than undershoot them over the next three months.
U.S. TREASURY YIELDS SET TO EASE • • A Reuters poll sees Treasury yields declining over the next year. • • 10-Year Yield: • • 3 months: 4.50% • • 6 months: 4.50% • • 12 months: 4.34% • 2-Year Yield: • • 3 months: 4.07% • • 6 months: 3.92% • • 12 months: 3.80% • • However, 18 of 22 bond strategists say the 10-year yield is more likely to overshoot expectations than undershoot them over the next three months.
U.S. TREASURY YIELDS SET TO EASE • • A Reuters poll sees Treasury yields declining over the next year. • • 10-Year Yield: • • 3 months: 4.50% • • 6 months: 4.50% • • 12 months: 4.34% • 2-Year Yield: • • 3 months: 4.07% • • 6 months: 3.92% • • 12 months: 3.80% • • However, 18 of 22 bond strategists say the 10-year yield is more likely to overshoot expectations than undershoot them over the next three months.
U.S. TREASURY YIELDS SET TO EASE • • A Reuters poll sees Treasury yields declining over the next year. • • 10-Year Yield: • • 3 months: 4.50% • • 6 months: 4.50% • • 12 months: 4.34% • 2-Year Yield: • • 3 months: 4.07% • • 6 months: 3.92% • • 12 months: 3.80% • • However, 18 of 22 bond strategists say the 10-year yield is more likely to overshoot expectations than undershoot them over the next three months.
U.S. TREASURY YIELDS SET TO EASE • • A Reuters poll sees Treasury yields declining over the next year. • • 10-Year Yield: • • 3 months: 4.50% • • 6 months: 4.50% • • 12 months: 4.34% • 2-Year Yield: • • 3 months: 4.07% • • 6 months: 3.92% • • 12 months: 3.80% • • However, 18 of 22 bond strategists say the 10-year yield is more likely to overshoot expectations than undershoot them over the next three months.
What is this event about?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for all days in the specified period. If data is not available for all days in the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).