How low will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?40%
ResolvedOutcome: Yes$20Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .
YES100¢
NO0¢
as of
What moved the odds?
16 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
YESTIME98%match94¢+6%
When Trump last addressed Congress, his approval rating was near a career high. Now it's near record lows.
YESHuffPost Politics99%match94¢+6%
The CNN data chief spotted how Trump's polling numbers have hit record lows compared to his predecessors ahead of his address to Congress.
YESReuters98%match94¢+6%
Trump's immigration approval hits new low, according to Reuters/Ipsos poll
YES*Walter Bloomberg98%match94¢+6%
TRUMP OVERALL APPROVAL HOLDS AT PRESIDENCY LOW OF 38%, ACCORDING TO REUTERS/IPSOS POLL
YESCGTN America98%match94¢+6%
TRUMP OVERALL APPROVAL HOLDS AT PRESIDENCY LOW OF 38%, ACCORDING TO REUTERS/IPSOS POLL
YESTIME98%match94¢+6%
One year into President Donald Trump's second term, a key demographic that helped him win the White House is abandoning him in droves.
YESBenzinga98%match87¢+15%
Trump Approval Rating Moves Lower After Dow Jones Hits Record 50,000: Voters Aren't Happy About The Economy.
YESBenzinga98%match84¢+19%
Affordability Weighs On Trump's Approval Rating: 39% Say Finances Worse Off Than Year Ago.
YESWarMonitor🇺🇦🇬🇧99%match80¢+25%
Trump's approval is at the lowest its been so far clocking in at 37%
NOLeading Report99%match20¢-100%
92% of Americans who voted for Trump in 2024 give him a positive approval rating now, per WSJ poll.
YESCGTN Europe99%match84¢+19%
TRUMP'S APPROVAL RATING SLIPS TO 41% FROM 42% EARLIER IN JANUARY-POLL
NOTIME98%match13¢-100%
As his first year back in office ends, Trump is facing backlash on a number of fronts and his job approval is near its lowest-ever levels.
YESAl Jazeera English98%match83¢+20%
US President Trump will outline his 2026 agenda in a White House speech amid declining approval ratings and rising global tensions. Follow our LIVE coverage:
NOAl Jazeera English98%match17¢-100%
US President Trump will outline his 2026 agenda in a White House speech amid declining approval ratings and rising global tensions. Follow our LIVE coverage:
YESAl Jazeera English98%match83¢+20%
US President Trump will outline his 2026 agenda in a White House speech amid declining approval ratings and rising global tensions. Follow our LIVE coverage:
YESLeading Report98%match82¢+22%
BREAKING: President Trump’s approval rating on the economy falls to 31%, his lowest ever rating, per AP poll.
Where does the news lean?
13YES3NO0neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 98%.
How did this market resolve?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or below the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
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