How low will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?
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Market pricing makes 36% the favorite at 65% across 8 tracked outcomes, as of .
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Donald Trump's approval rating falls to 34% just three weeks before the midterms. • A new Financial Times poll shows voters souring on Trump’s economic record, putting Republican control of Congress, and the crypto industry’s agenda, at risk.
Despite a record low approval rating of 32%, Trump's "bedrock support base" of 30% of Americans, the MAGA faction, remains unshaken, expressing concern that "a defeat would mean losing Trump" just three weeks before the US midterm elections.
Trump's approval rating drops to 30 percent; 77 percent of Americans are dissatisfied with the state of the country The results of a Pew Research Center survey show that the popularity of US President Donald Trump has dropped to 30 percent, the lowest level of his presidency. According to the survey, 77 percent of Americans are dissatisfied with the state of the country. Also, the level of satisfaction of Republicans with Trump's performance has increased from 65 percent at the beginning of his second term to 39 percent. In another part of the survey about the Iran war, only about a third of Americans supported Trump's management of the war. @iribnews
Trump approval sinks to 30 percent in new survey President Trump’s approval rating dropped to 30 percent in a new Pew Research survey, amid growing dissatisfaction with his handling of foreign policy, the economy and immigration enforcement. Sixty-eight percent of respondents disapproved of the way Trump is handling his job, the survey, released Thursday, found. Trump’s approval rating has continually dropped since his return…
Hottest 2026 Midterm Races—Democrats Lead In Maine And New Hampshire Senate Races (Updated Daily). • Trump has a 37% average approval rating in Nate Silver’s Silver Bulletin.
Hottest 2026 Midterm Races—Democrats Lead In Texas, Ohio, Alaska Senate Races (Updated Daily). • Trump has a 37% average approval rating in Nate Silver’s Silver Bulletin.
Hottest 2026 Midterm Races—Democrats Lead In Texas, Iowa, Michigan Senate Races (Updated Daily). • Trump has a 37% average approval rating in Nate Silver’s Silver Bulletin.
Hottest 2026 Midterm Races—Democrat Sherrod Brown Up 8 Points In Ohio Senate Race (Updated Daily). • Trump has a 37% average approval rating in Nate Silver’s Silver Bulletin.
Hottest 2026 Midterm Races—Progressive El-Sayed Up 4 Points In Michigan Senate Race (Updated Daily). • Trump has a 37% average approval rating in Nate Silver’s Silver Bulletin.
Trump approval slips to historic low in Wall Street Journal survey President Trump’s approval rating has fallen to a record low in Wall Street Journal polling for a president only a few weeks out from the midterms. In the new poll from the Journal, Trump’s approval sat at 37 percent, the lowest of a president shortly prior to a midterm in the outlet’s polling going back…
Trump's popularity decline hits new record A new Wall Street Journal poll shows that satisfaction with US President Donald Trump's performance has dropped to 37 percent, with 61 percent of voters disapproving of his performance; a figure that, according to the newspaper, is the lowest satisfaction rate recorded for any US president on the eve of the midterm elections in the media's polls since 1990. The US economy was one of the main areas of dissatisfaction in the poll. 65 percent of participants assessed the country's economic situation negatively, while only 33 percent had a positive view of the economic situation. Get the latest news:
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Trump’s approval rating drops to 37% in a WSJ poll, the lowest of any president heading into a midterm election in Journal polls dating to 1990. #OOTT
30%President Trump’s approval rating has risen slightly after hitting a record low last month, according to a new Reuters/Ipsos poll released weeks before the midterm elections. Thirty-five percent of Americans approved of Trump’s job performance as the deeply unpopular Iran war reached its sixth month, up from 33 percent in a late August poll revealing…91%match94¢+2%
Trump approval ticks up from record low: Survey
TRUMP APPROVAL FALLS TO 33%, A SECOND-TERM LOW, PER REUTERS/IPSOS • • - Approve: 33%, down from 35% earlier this month • - Disapprove: 64% • - 80% expect US involvement in Iran to continue for an extended period, including 87% of Democrats and 71% of Republicans • - 16% expect the conflict to end in a few weeks • • The reading ties the lowest level of Trump's prior term, reached in December 2017. The four-day online survey gathered responses from 1,166 US adults with a margin of error of 3 percentage points.
Israeli media: Channel 12: President Trump's approval rating dropped from 37% last month to 35%, according to a Reuters poll.
Trump’s Presidential Job Approval Falls to 35% From 37% Last Month, According to Reuters/Ipsos Poll
The results of three independent polls by CNN, the Associated Press-Nork and Quinnipiac University show that US President Donald Trump's approval rating has fallen to 34, 33 and 32 percent, a level that has been described as the lowest since the end of his first term and the January 6, 2021 incident. In the CNN poll, 73 percent of respondents said that Trump has not paid enough attention to the country's most important problems. In a report reviewing these polls, the Rolling Stone website wrote that Trump's decline in popularity has coincided with the economic consequences of the war with the Iranian regime and increasing dissatisfaction with the performance of his administration. The report also points to another poll, according to which 23 percent of people who voted for Trump in the 2024 election now regret their choice.
The results of three independent polls by CNN, the Associated Press-Nork and Quinnipiac University show that US President Donald Trump's approval rating has fallen to 34, 33 and 32 percent, a level that has been described as the lowest since the end of his first term and the January 6, 2021 incident. In the CNN poll, 73 percent of respondents said that Trump has not paid enough attention to the country's most important problems. In a report reviewing these polls, the Rolling Stone website wrote that Trump's decline in popularity has coincided with the economic consequences of the war with the Iranian regime and increasing dissatisfaction with the performance of his administration. The report also points to another poll, according to which 23 percent of people who voted for Trump in the 2024 election now regret their choice.
Trump's approval rating at 34%... lowest level since the January 6 storming of Congress
President Trump's approval rating hits a record low of 34%; 74% say military action against Iran is "not worth the cost," according to a CNN poll.
Trump’s Approval Rating Still Below 40% As Half Of Republicans Blame Trump For High Gas Prices. • Trump had a 36% approval rating in the latest poll released Monday.
Trump’s Approval Rating Still Below 40% As Half Of Republicans Blame Trump For High Gas Prices. • Trump had a 36% approval rating in the latest poll released Monday.
Trump's popularity has reached an all-time low. The results of a Marist Institute poll published by Newsweek magazine showed that US President Donald Trump's approval rating was 22 points lower than expected, which is his lowest approval rating of any time during his presidency. nournews.ir @Nournews_IR
Trump's popularity has reached an all-time low. The results of a Marist Institute poll published by Newsweek magazine showed that US President Donald Trump's approval rating was 22 points lower than expected, which is his lowest approval rating of any time during his presidency. isna.ir/xdWmSG @isna94
Trump's approval rating fell to a record low of 33%.
Trump's approval rating fell to a record low of 33%.
President Donald Trump's approval rating has dropped to 34%, its lowest point this term, according to a Reuters/Ipsos poll. • • More Here →
President Donald Trump's approval rating has dropped to 34%, its lowest point this term, according to a Reuters/Ipsos poll. • • More Here →
President Donald Trump's approval rating has dropped to 34%, its lowest point this term, according to a Reuters/Ipsos poll. • • More Here →
What is this event about?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or below the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.