How low will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?25%
Open$4Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 5% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES5¢
NO96¢
as of
What moved the odds?
6 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
Trump’s Approval Rating Still Below 40% As Half Of Republicans Blame Trump For High Gas Prices. • Trump had a 36% approval rating in the latest poll released Monday.
Trump's approval rating fell to a record low of 33%.
President Donald Trump's approval rating has dropped to 34%, its lowest point this term, according to a Reuters/Ipsos poll. • • More Here →
Donald Trump's Approval Rating Hits New Low • • US President Donald Trump’s approval rating has hit a new low, according to The New York Times polling average this week, surging to 58 percent.
YESWarMonitor🇺🇦🇬🇧98%match9¢-44%
Trump's approval is at the lowest its been so far clocking in at 37%
YESTIME99%match10¢-50%
As his first year back in office ends, Trump is facing backlash on a number of fronts and his job approval is near its lowest-ever levels.
Where does the news lean?
2YES4NO5neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or below the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
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