What will Trump say during Pennsylvania events?Iran
ResolvedOutcome: Yes$979as of
Odds now
This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .
YES100¢
NO0¢
as of
What moved the odds?
7 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
Trump: We have completely destroyed Iran's military capabilities. Tehran no longer has a strong negotiating position and is at its weakest point in decades. Its money will go towards buying food and medicine from our farmers. Al-Hadath Channel
Trump: We have completely destroyed Iran's military capabilities. Tehran no longer has a strong negotiating position and is at its weakest point in decades. Its money will go towards buying food and medicine from our farmers.
"Did you have a good time? How good a speech was that?" • • President Trump talked to reporters as he departed Pennsylvania following a rally-style speech at Mack Trucks focused on the economy. • • Over roughly 90 minutes, Trump touted rising 401(k)s, lower gas prices and his plans to boost manufacturing jobs in Pennsylvania. He also declared victory in the conflict with Iran, praised the UFC event at the White House and took jabs at former Presidents Biden and Obama. • • After wrapping up his remarks, Trump boarded Air Force One for the flight back to Joint Base Andrews.
Al Arabiya correspondent Pierre Ghanem: Trump is keen to highlight the significant gains from the agreement with Iran and the possibility of allocating the released funds to purchase American agricultural products... and the date for the arrival of international inspectors at Iranian nuclear facilities has not yet been determined.
"Yesterday, 19 million barrels of oil gushed from the Strait of Hormuz, a magnificent place" Donald Trump pleased with the Iran deal and the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz #BFM2
Trump: We had to go to Iran and stop them from blowing up the Middle East.
Trump's speech in Pennsylvania
Iran-related sentences in machine personification: We reached a historic peace deal with Iran to end the conflict in the Strait of Hormuz.
By the way, yesterday 19 million barrels of oil passed through the Strait of Hormuz. It's a beautiful place. That's the most oil in the history of the Strait. You've never seen anything like it. It's called an oil spill. Most importantly, we're guaranteeing something very important, because that's why we did it. That's why I did it. 99 percent of it was: Iran will never have a nuclear weapon.
But remember, it wasn't easy. We had 47 years of presidents and other people; there were other countries. We're not the only ones who did nothing. They were the bullies of the Middle East. Now we're leaving Iran without a navy, without an air force, without air defense, without missile capability, without a nuclear program. We're leaving them without any nuclear capability, and they've agreed to that. And our relationship is going very well, although if you read the fake news, you'd never know. Think about it, fake news. They don't have an army, they don't have a navy, they don't have an air force, they don't have an air defense. We can fly over Tehran any time we want. Nobody's going to do anything to us. Then I read the fake news that says they're doing very well. They're not doing very well. But Iran's economy is shattered and their defense industrial base is so badly damaged that it's going to take many years to rebuild. Many, many years. Now we're trying to find a deal that's fair. Remember, we had to go down this detour. We had to go to Iran. You can't let them blow up the Middle East and us; if that's possible. We would have gotten there sooner, but they would have blown up Israel, they would have blown up the whole Middle East. If you want to see a bad economy, that's a bad economy. Remember, our oil, in the middle of this conflict, was cheaper than it was in the Biden sleepy Joe days. And we're putting out a fire. Biden, Clinton, Bush, all of them, Barack Hussein Obama - you've heard of him? Have you heard of Barack Hussein Obama? - none of them did anything. Obama gave them $1.7 billion in greenbacks, remember? On a 747. They flew a bunch of cash. $1.7 billion. They gave them hundreds of billions of dollars and thought they could bribe them into peace. The only thing they understand is what these gentlemen in the front row understand: a hammer. Because if you look at what they did - what we did with their nuclear capability with those B-2 bombers - it was a hammer. In fact, we called it a hammer. Operation Hammer. The Democrats voted for Iran to have nuclear weapons. And they voted against military spending. But I overrode it. Iran, we took them out. In a week, they were basically finished militarily. A much bigger country, with a very different ideology. The ideology of Muslims is a little different from the ideology of Catholics. We have Catholics and Muslims; They are a little different. ... Venezuela has been great and Iran has been/will be great, if they are smart. Otherwise we will have to finish the job, which will take less than a week. But I think they will have no problem. They will do what they have to do, because we have to see this job done. @VahidOnline
Where does the news lean?
9YES0NO0neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.
How did this market resolve?
Donald Trump is scheduled to visit Pennsylvania on June 23, 2026 (https://x.com/RepMeuser/status/2067728952404115773).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during remarks during events in Pennsylvania scheduled for June 23, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where Trump is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
This market is explicitly about remarks in Pennsylvania on June 23, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by June 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
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