Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?Switzerland

OpenVol$530KDeadlineas of

Odds now

The market prices a 7% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .

YES7¢
NO93¢

24has of

What moved the odds?

20 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .

YESlivesquawk99%match39¢-82%
Qatar Prefers Switzerland To Host Round Of Upcoming Talks – Al Arabiya
YESlivesquawk99%match39¢-82%
Arabic Sources: Qatar Prefers Hosting Switzerland Round of Upcoming Talks
YESNews99%match28¢-75%
(Al Arabiya) Al Arabiya sources: Qatar prefers Switzerland to host the next round of talks
YESAl Arabiya99%match28¢-75%
Al Arabiya sources: Qatar prefers Switzerland to host the next round of talks
YESalarabytv99%match26¢-73%
Leaks: US-Iranian negotiations expected in Switzerland next week
YESIranian Journalist99%match38¢-82%
Axios, citing a source familiar with the matter, wrote that a new round of talks between Washington and Tehran is likely to take place next week, possibly in Switzerland. Iranian officials have not yet commented on the matter. At the same time, US President Donald Trump wrote on Truth Social that he had agreed to Tehran's request to continue negotiations but told them that the ceasefire had ended. @VahidOOnLine @VahidOnline
YESentekhab_news99%match39¢-82%
Axios cites a source: New round of US-Iran talks to be held next week, likely in Switzerland Axios reported, citing a source, that a new round of US-Iran talks is expected to be held next week, likely to be hosted by Switzerland.
YESalarabiya99%match39¢-82%
Axios: US-Iranian negotiations expected in Switzerland next week
YESalhadath99%match39¢-82%
Axios: US-Iranian talks expected in Switzerland next week
YESiranintl99%match38¢-82%
Axios, citing a source familiar with the matter, wrote that a new round of talks between Washington and Tehran is likely to take place next week, possibly in Switzerland. Iranian officials have not yet commented on the matter. At the same time, US President Donald Trump wrote on Truth Social that he had agreed to Tehran's request to continue negotiations but told them that the ceasefire had ended.
YESalarabiya99%match38¢-82%
A source told Axios that a round of negotiations between the US and Iran is expected next week in Switzerland.
YESLebanese broadcaster Al-Jadeed99%match38¢-82%
Axios, citing a source: A new round of negotiations between the US and Iran is expected next week in Switzerland.
YESAl Arabiya99%match41¢-83%
A source told Axios that a round of negotiations between the US and Iran is expected next week in Switzerland.
YEScontent-static.cctvnews.cctv.com99%match41¢-83%
Sources say a new round of US-Iran talks may be held in Switzerland next week.
YESSky News Arabia99%match44¢-84%
Axios, citing informed sources: A new round of negotiations between the United States and Iran is expected next week and may be held in Switzerland.
YESIran Semi-Official ILNA99%match44¢-84%
Axios claims, citing an informed source: A new round of Iran-US talks is expected to be held next week, possibly hosted by Switzerland @ilnair
YESJordanian Media99%match44¢-84%
Axios, citing a source: A new round of US-Iranian negotiations is expected to take place next week, possibly hosted by Switzerland. #Breaking #Here_is_the_Kingdom
NOalarabiya99%match67¢+39%
Trump wrote in all caps on social media: Iran requested a meeting, and it will be held in Doha on Tuesday. The White House: Whitkopf and Kushner will attend the meeting. Trump wrote in all caps on social media: "Iran requested a meeting, and it will be held tomorrow in Doha." Trump reiterates: "Iran will not have a nuclear weapon." Reuters: US and Iranian technical teams will meet in Doha to implement the memorandum of understanding. Talks amid threats of mutual escalation that nearly undermined the agreement. Mediators are working to open communication channels and de-escalate tensions. Source: Technical talks will continue in Doha in the coming days. Iranian source: The focus is on managing the Strait of Hormuz and containing tensions, not the previous talks in Switzerland. The United States and Iran signed a memorandum of understanding from 14 points to end the war and cease hostilities on June 17 The White House said envoys Steve Wittkopf and Jared Kushner will attend the meeting with Iran on Tuesday in Doha
NORussian Media99%match67¢+39%
A meeting between Iranian and US representatives, at Tehran's request, will take place tomorrow, June 30, in the Qatari capital, Doha, Donald Trump announced. "Iran has requested a meeting. It will take place tomorrow in Doha!" — the US President wrote on the social network Thruth Social. Earlier, Reuters and The Hill, citing American officials, reported that the US and Iran will continue technical negotiations on all points of the memorandum of understanding. RBC channel on "Max" RBC app for iOS and Android [in reply to: The US and Iran will continue technical negotiations on all points of the memorandum of understanding, Reuters and The Hill report, citing an American official. "Both sides will refrain from active actions for now, and ships will be able to navigate freely [through the Strait of Hormuz]," the source said. Earlier, the Axios portal wrote that Washington and Tehran agreed to stop the strikes and will hold a meeting on Tuesday, June 30, in Doha. According to the publication, talks on the Iranian nuclear program were originally planned for that day in Switzerland, but due to new strikes, the location was changed, and the agenda shifted to the situation around the Strait of Hormuz. More news on the conflict in the Middle East - on our channel in "Max."
NOnytimes.com99%match67¢+39%
President Trump said that U.S. and Iranian officials would hold further talks on Tuesday in Qatar. The last round of negotiations between the two countries took place in Switzerland and included Vice President JD Vance. The United States and Iran signed an initial memorandum of understanding to cease hostilities this month, but the deal left many of the most important issues unresolved, including Iran’s nuclear program. American and Iranian officials are now working on a comprehensive agreement, but analysts are skeptical the two countries will reach a compromise easily.

Where does the news lean?

31YES6NO0neutraltrailing 24h

Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.

Past moves on this market

Material odds moves (8 points within an hour of a matched news signal), newest first — each links to a dated brief on what moved the price.

What would make this resolve YES?

On June 22, the first round of U.S.-Iran diplomatic talks in Switzerland concluded, with mediators reporting progress toward a roadmap for a final deal and follow-on technical talks expected to continue (see: https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/6/22/us-iran-agree-on-roadmap-towards-final-deal-in-switzerland-talks). This market will resolve according to the country in which the next formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran begins by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments. Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time. Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round. Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count. The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count. If a qualifying round occurs in more than one country, resolution will be based on the country where the first qualifying senior-level diplomatic session begins. If the next qualifying round begins in any country in the Middle East or North Africa other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Middle East/North Africa.” If the next qualifying round begins in any country in Europe other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Europe.” For purposes of this market, countries’ regions will be determined based on the U.S. State Department’s regional classifications in the “Countries and Areas List” (https://www.state.gov/countries-and-areas-list). Any country classified as part of “Europe and Eurasia” will be considered to be in Europe. Any country classified as part of “Near East (Middle East and North Africa)” will be considered to be in the Middle East/North Africa. If the next qualifying round begins in any unlisted country that is not classified in either specified region, this market will resolve to “Other.” If no qualifying round begins by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Meeting by September 30.” The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.

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