Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?No Meeting by September 30
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Odds now
The market prices a 86% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES86¢
NO14¢
as of
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20 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
Live: No sign of opportunity for renewed dialogue between US, Iran
A source close to the negotiating team denied the White House's claim Following the White House's claim that negotiations with Iran have been canceled until further notice, an informed source close to the negotiating team told Fars: "Basically, there have been no direct negotiations between Iran and the United States." Talks to exercise sovereignty over the Strait of Hormuz were held with Oman. After the US violated the Islamabad Memorandum of Understanding, talks with the American side were suspended, and the recent talks with the Omani side had no connection to the US. @Farsna - Link
Reuters - Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araqchi:
There are no ongoing talks between #Iran and the #UnitedStates, and Tehran will not begin any talks as long as Washington violates the interim agreement reached in June, while noting that messages are being exchanged through intermediaries. Araqchi reiterated Iran's position that an agreement concerning the #Strait_of_Hormuz between Tehran and Muscat is in its "final stages," but clarified that this agreement will not lead to the reopening of the strategic waterway at present. In statements carried by the Mehr News Agency, Araqchi said that the agreement will determine new shipping routes that will be used once the United States fulfills other conditions and the strait is reopened to navigation.
Live: Iran says no talks with US underway
Iran said on Monday that there were no ongoing negotiations or planned meetings with the United States. However, the Iranian Foreign Ministry acknowledged that it is continuing negotiations with Oman regarding the Strait of Hormuz.
CBS News reported, citing American officials, that contrary to Donald Trump's statements on Sunday night, no new or different round of talks with the Islamic Republic is planned. At the same time, the spokesman for the Islamic Republic's Foreign Ministry also said that Tehran has no plans to negotiate directly with Washington. Reported by Erdoğan Roozbeh, Iran International correspondent
Despite Trump's comments last night, US officials told CBS that no new round of talks is planned. They said it is a continuation of the talks that are already underway, through mediators, between the US and Iranian teams.
US officials: No new negotiations planned with Iran
CBS News reported, citing US officials, that despite US President Donald Trump's statement last night that talks with the Islamic Republic were set to begin on Monday afternoon, no "new" or different negotiations are planned. According to the report, only the ongoing talks between Steve Whitaker, Trump's special envoy for the Middle East, Jared Kushner and the US negotiating team with representatives of the Islamic Republic are continuing through mediators. Esmail Baghaei, spokesman for the Islamic Republic's Foreign Ministry, said in a press conference on Monday that Tehran has no plans to hold direct talks with Washington; a comment that angered Trump, who called the Islamic Republic's leadership "dishonorable" in a post on Truth Social.
Trump says the US and Iran will hold talks on the 3rd.
CNN, citing a US official: Diplomatic efforts are progressing slowly, and a resumption of direct negotiations with Iran does not appear imminent.
A new round of US strikes on Iran
Iran will not return to negotiations with the US until it changes its position - agency
Iran to US: "Negotiations on the final agreement will not begin if threats continue"
Trump wrote in all caps on social media: Iran requested a meeting, and it will be held in Doha on Tuesday. The White House: Whitkopf and Kushner will attend the meeting. Trump wrote in all caps on social media: "Iran requested a meeting, and it will be held tomorrow in Doha." Trump reiterates: "Iran will not have a nuclear weapon." Reuters: US and Iranian technical teams will meet in Doha to implement the memorandum of understanding. Talks amid threats of mutual escalation that nearly undermined the agreement. Mediators are working to open communication channels and de-escalate tensions. Source: Technical talks will continue in Doha in the coming days. Iranian source: The focus is on managing the Strait of Hormuz and containing tensions, not the previous talks in Switzerland. The United States and Iran signed a memorandum of understanding from 14 points to end the war and cease hostilities on June 17 The White House said envoys Steve Wittkopf and Jared Kushner will attend the meeting with Iran on Tuesday in Doha
Technical talks between the US and Iran will take place on the sidelines of high-level talks, the White House announced. A statement from the press service indicates that US President Donald Trump wants the peace process to progress. The US assumes that the ceasefire with Iran remains in effect and believes that it is fulfilling its obligations. The White House press service also added that Trump's special envoy Steve Witkoff and entrepreneur Jared Kushner will represent the US at the talks with Iran in Doha on Tuesday. More news from IZ RU in MAX [in reply to: Iran has requested a meeting; it will take place tomorrow in the capital of Qatar, Doha, US President Donald Trump said. More news from IZ RU in MAX]
Iranian Deputy Foreign Minister: No technical team meetings are scheduled for this week under the Memorandum of Understanding. The next round of technical team talks will be held after the necessary conditions are met and a date and location are determined.
Iranian Deputy Foreign Minister Kazem Gharibabadi denies holding technical meetings with the United States this week.
White House spokeswoman: Technical talks will be held on the sidelines of the high-level talks with Iran that will take place in Doha.
Trump: "Iran Requests Meeting... Will Be Held in Doha Tomorrow"
Where does the news lean?
75YES84NO5neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 95%.
What would make this resolve YES?
On June 22, the first round of U.S.-Iran diplomatic talks in Switzerland concluded, with mediators reporting progress toward a roadmap for a final deal and follow-on technical talks expected to continue (see: https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/6/22/us-iran-agree-on-roadmap-towards-final-deal-in-switzerland-talks).
This market will resolve according to the country in which the next formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran begins by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
If a qualifying round occurs in more than one country, resolution will be based on the country where the first qualifying senior-level diplomatic session begins.
If the next qualifying round begins in any country in the Middle East or North Africa other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Middle East/North Africa.”
If the next qualifying round begins in any country in Europe other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Europe.”
For purposes of this market, countries’ regions will be determined based on the U.S. State Department’s regional classifications in the “Countries and Areas List” (https://www.state.gov/countries-and-areas-list). Any country classified as part of “Europe and Eurasia” will be considered to be in Europe. Any country classified as part of “Near East (Middle East and North Africa)” will be considered to be in the Middle East/North Africa.
If the next qualifying round begins in any unlisted country that is not classified in either specified region, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If no qualifying round begins by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Meeting by September 30.”
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
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