Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?Oman
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The market prices a 1% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES1¢
NO99¢
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20 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
Trump digs in amid signs of stalled Iran-Oman talks
A source close to the negotiating team denied the White House's claim Following the White House's claim that negotiations with Iran have been canceled until further notice, an informed source close to the negotiating team told Fars: "Basically, there have been no direct negotiations between Iran and the United States." Talks to exercise sovereignty over the Strait of Hormuz were held with Oman. After the US violated the Islamabad Memorandum of Understanding, talks with the American side were suspended, and the recent talks with the Omani side had no connection to the US. @Farsna - Link
A source close to the negotiating team denied the White House's claim Following the White House's claim that negotiations with Iran have been canceled until further notice, an informed source close to the negotiating team emphasized in an interview with Fars that there were basically no direct negotiations between Iran and the United States. Referring to the claim made by the White House, this informed source close to the negotiating team stated: Negotiations were held with Oman to exercise sovereignty over the Strait of Hormuz. He emphasized that after the US violated the Islamabad Memorandum of Understanding, negotiations with the American side were suspended, and the recent negotiations with the Omani side had no connection to the US. @Farspolitics -link
Trump says US won't seek to extend Iran deal, threatens to bomb Oman
Trump says US won't seek to extend Iran deal, threatens to bomb Oman
UPDATE • • Trump threatens to bomb Oman (longtime US partner) • • Oman-Iran nearing Hormuz deal • • US-Iran MOU expired.. • • IRGC draws plans to escalate if hit: WSJ • • Kushner met Hamas, Netanyahu • • Clearfield in Lebanon • • King of Jordan #China
As U.S.-Iran deadline for broad peace deal expires, Trump threatens to ‘bomb’ Oman
Iranian Foreign Ministry: The length of the talks with Oman is due to the complexity of the issue. #WorkingLunch #AlArabiya_Business
Iranian Foreign Minister: Talks with Oman are separate from negotiations with the US
FWD from Jahan Tasnim: Araqchi: We have not yet made any decision to resume negotiations with the US Foreign Minister:
In the Islamabad Memorandum of Understanding, an "end of the war" was declared and there is no ceasefire that can be extended; what was proposed was a 60-day window of opportunity for negotiations for a final agreement, which the US violated and the fighting resumed. Qatar and Pakistan, as intermediaries, are only exchanging messages and are in contact, but this does not mean negotiations; we have not yet made a decision to resume negotiations with the US. Iran's negotiations with Oman are a completely separate and technical discussion to determine the maritime routes of the Strait of Hormuz and ship traffic; the previous routes are no longer functional and we are designing a temporary route that will later become the final route. Technical negotiations with Oman on the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz are two separate parts; Even after the path is set, the opening of the strait is subject to the fulfillment of other conditions that the US must adhere to.
@JahanTasnim
Qatari Foreign Ministry Spokesperson: Talks between Oman and Iran have reached an advanced stage and we have received positive responses from both sides.
Qatari Foreign Ministry Spokesperson: Negotiations between Oman and the Islamic Republic have reached an advanced stage and we have received positive feedback from both countries.
Qatari Foreign Ministry: Talks between Oman and Iran have reached an advanced stage and we have received positive responses from both sides
#Breaking | Qatari Foreign Ministry Spokesperson: Talks between Oman and Iran have reached an advanced stage and we have received positive responses from both sides
The Qatari Foreign Ministry spokesperson stated that talks between Oman and Iran have reached an advanced stage and that they have received positive responses from both sides.
Iranian Foreign Ministry Spokesperson: Talks with Oman are proceeding smoothly and constructively.
Live: Talks with Oman going ‘smoothly’, says Iran FM spokesperson
Iranian Foreign Ministry spokesman Esmail Baqaie says there are currently no talks with the United States. He says talks are underway with Oman regarding the Strait of Hormuz. Baqaie noted that they are working with Oman on a temporary safe passage through the strait, but stressed that an agreement with Oman is not enough to reopen it as long as "American aggression" continues.
Foreign Ministry Spokesperson: We are not negotiating with the US right now Begaei:
The negotiations with Oman are focused on a route that will ensure safe shipping through the Strait of Hormuz. We are trying to determine a temporary route at the earliest opportunity, in consultation and cooperation with Oman, that will ensure safe shipping in the Strait of Hormuz.
Therefore, the negotiations are bilateral and between the two coastal states. The presence of others in these negotiations can be constructive or destructive, but the issue is between Iran and Oman.
The Strait of Hormuz is closed due to US and Zionist aggression, not due to differences of opinion between Iran and Oman. As long as the US and Zionist military aggression and the violation of the memorandum of understanding continue, there will be no change in the situation in the Strait of Hormuz. @IRIBNEWS_COM
NOXinhua93%match84¢+18%
Flash: Iran's Foreign Ministry says no negotiations with U.S. currently, talks with Oman over Strait of Hormuz underway
Where does the news lean?
258YES80NO53neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 93%.
What would make this resolve YES?
On June 22, the first round of U.S.-Iran diplomatic talks in Switzerland concluded, with mediators reporting progress toward a roadmap for a final deal and follow-on technical talks expected to continue (see: https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/6/22/us-iran-agree-on-roadmap-towards-final-deal-in-switzerland-talks).
This market will resolve according to the country in which the next formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran begins by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
If a qualifying round occurs in more than one country, resolution will be based on the country where the first qualifying senior-level diplomatic session begins.
If the next qualifying round begins in any country in the Middle East or North Africa other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Middle East/North Africa.”
If the next qualifying round begins in any country in Europe other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Europe.”
For purposes of this market, countries’ regions will be determined based on the U.S. State Department’s regional classifications in the “Countries and Areas List” (https://www.state.gov/countries-and-areas-list). Any country classified as part of “Europe and Eurasia” will be considered to be in Europe. Any country classified as part of “Near East (Middle East and North Africa)” will be considered to be in the Middle East/North Africa.
If the next qualifying round begins in any unlisted country that is not classified in either specified region, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If no qualifying round begins by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Meeting by September 30.”
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
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