Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?Iran

OpenVol$197KDeadlineas of

Odds now

The market prices a 0% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .

YES0¢
NO100¢

24has of

What moved the odds?

20 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .

NOiranintl92%match100¢
White House Deputy Spokesperson Anna Kelly told Al-Sharq on Wednesday that no negotiations or talks with the Islamic Republic are underway or planned. She made the remarks in response to a question about the US government's message to Tehran conveyed by the Qatari Prime Minister. US President Donald Trump also announced an hour ago in an interview with Al Jazeera that there is no specific timetable for resuming talks with the Islamic Republic and that he is in no hurry to do so. Trump said: "Both US military strikes and economic pressure against the Islamic Republic are effective." He added that the US has achieved a great victory in the war and that Iran's economy is collapsing.
NOsharghdaily93%match100¢
White House: Talks with Iran canceled until further notice Semaphore reporter Shelby Talcott tweeted: A White House official said Trump's new post on Truth Social means talks with Iran are canceled until further notice. Trump says there are "no ongoing or planned talks or negotiations" with Iran.
NOcbsnews.com92%match100¢
U.S. and Iran locked in stalemate as 60-day window for talks expires
NOentekhab_news91%match100¢
Associated Press: The Trump administration currently has no strategy for resuming talks with Iran to end the conflict. A senior U.S. official said the administration is not actively pursuing diplomacy at this time, despite efforts by some mediators to revive the talks or create conditions for them to resume.
NOibtimes.com92%match100¢
The U.S. Said it Halted Attacks On Iran To Give Room For Diplomacy. Tehran Says It's Not Pursuing Talks. • Iranian Foreign Ministry spokesperson Esmaeil Baghaei said Iran is not seeking more talks with the U.S. even though the countries have halted attacks over the past days.
NOibtimes.com91%match100¢
US-Iran Strikes Now Target Power, Water Facilities. Peace Hopes Recede. • The US and Iran continued the relentless attacks and counterattacks on infrastructure and military targets on Saturday, as their battle over the Strait of Hormuz intensified, plunging the ceasefire to abysmal depths. A return to negotiations is not being talked about.
NOaljazeera.com92%match100¢
Live: US and Iran trading fires makes dialogue more difficult
NOtheguardian.com99%match100¢
Live: US begins new round of strikes on Iran
NOsharghdaily99%match99¢+1%
Al Jazeera reporter: There is a possibility of a meeting between Iran and the US, the location of which may be Geneva, Islamabad or Doha Al Jazeera reporter Noureddine Al-Dughir wrote: There is a possibility of a meeting between Iran and the US, the location of which has not yet been determined (Geneva, Islamabad or Doha). The holding of this meeting is subject to the success of the Qatari-Pakistani mediators at this stage, an agreement on the activation of the remaining provisions of the memorandum of understanding (including frozen assets and reconstruction), and the Strait of Hormuz case may also be postponed to this meeting.
NOentekhab_news99%match99¢+1%
Al Jazeera reporter: There is a possibility of a meeting between Iran and the US, the location of which may be Geneva, Islamabad or Doha This meeting is subject to the success of the mediators and an agreement on activating the remaining provisions of the memorandum of understanding; the Strait of Hormuz case may also be postponed to this meeting / Selection
NOsemafor.com99%match99¢+1%
US launches new strikes on Iran
NOft.com99%match99¢+1%
US says it has launched new strikes on Iran
NOcnn.com99%match99¢+1%
Live: US launches additional strikes against Iran
NOtelegraph.co.uk99%match99¢+1%
Live: US confirms strikes on Iran
NODC Examiner Reporter99%match99¢+1%
US launching new wave of strikes in Iran
NOBloomberg Reporter99%match99¢+1%
US strikes Iran
NOIran State News Agency99%match100¢
White House Spokesperson: Whitaker and Kushner to Participate in Doha Talks White House Spokesperson Caroline Leavitt claimed that technical talks will be held on the sidelines of the high-level talks and that Trump's representatives Steve Whitaker and Jared Kushner will participate in the Doha meeting. @IRNA_1313 [in reply to: Trump's Claim: A Meeting with Iran Will Be Held Tomorrow US President Donald Trump, continuing his contradictory statements, claimed that Iran has requested a meeting and that the meeting will be held tomorrow in Doha. @IRNA_1313]
NOentekhab_news99%match100¢
White House spokesman, in an interview with Fox News: Steve Whitaker and Kushner will travel to Doha this week for high-level meetings. At the same time as the high-level talks with Iran that will be held in Doha, technical talks will also be held on the sidelines of these talks. We are committed to our commitments to the ceasefire with Iran. Donald Trump wants the peace process to continue until a final result is reached. / Elected
YESalarabytv99%match0¢
#Breaking | Fox News, citing the White House: Technical talks with Iran will be held on the sidelines of the high-level talks. Witkopf and Kushner will attend a meeting on Iran in Doha.
NOAl Araby99%match100¢
Fox News, citing the White House: Technical talks with Iran will be held on the sidelines of the high-level talks. Witkopf and Kushner will attend a meeting on Iran in Doha.

Where does the news lean?

7YES157NO161neutraltrailing 24h

Average match confidence across the listed signals: 97%.

What would make this resolve YES?

On June 22, the first round of U.S.-Iran diplomatic talks in Switzerland concluded, with mediators reporting progress toward a roadmap for a final deal and follow-on technical talks expected to continue (see: https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/6/22/us-iran-agree-on-roadmap-towards-final-deal-in-switzerland-talks). This market will resolve according to the country in which the next formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran begins by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments. Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time. Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round. Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count. The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count. If a qualifying round occurs in more than one country, resolution will be based on the country where the first qualifying senior-level diplomatic session begins. If the next qualifying round begins in any country in the Middle East or North Africa other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Middle East/North Africa.” If the next qualifying round begins in any country in Europe other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Europe.” For purposes of this market, countries’ regions will be determined based on the U.S. State Department’s regional classifications in the “Countries and Areas List” (https://www.state.gov/countries-and-areas-list). Any country classified as part of “Europe and Eurasia” will be considered to be in Europe. Any country classified as part of “Near East (Middle East and North Africa)” will be considered to be in the Middle East/North Africa. If the next qualifying round begins in any unlisted country that is not classified in either specified region, this market will resolve to “Other.” If no qualifying round begins by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Meeting by September 30.” The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.

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