Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?Saudi Arabia
ResolvedOutcome: No$81Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
as of
What moved the odds?
2 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
US-Iran talks may take place in Pakistan: Islamabad has announced its readiness to host the parties in the coming days Pakistani Foreign Minister Ishaq Dar made the announcement after a meeting between the foreign ministers of Egypt, Turkey, Saudi Arabia and Pakistan. Dar said the talks were "very productive," CNN reports. The meeting participants discussed possible ways to end the war in the Middle East as soon as possible and expressed support for potential negotiations between Washington and Tehran. The parties also agreed that war is “not in the interests of any country” and leads only to human loss and destruction. The ministers stressed the importance of diplomacy as the only realistic path to de-escalation. Separately, the meeting participants expressed concern about the humanitarian consequences of the conflict and agreed to coordinate efforts to create conditions for structured negotiations between the parties.
Pakistani TV: Meeting in Islamabad on Monday with the participation of the foreign ministers of Turkey, Egypt and Saudi Arabia to reduce tensions between Tehran and Washington
Where does the news lean?
5YES6NO6neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.
How did this market resolve?
This market will resolve according to the country in which the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any country in the Middle East or North Africa other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Middle East/North Africa”.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any country in Europe other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Europe”.
For the purposes of this market, additional countries’ regions will be determined based on the US State Department’s regional classifications in the “Countries and Areas List” (https://www.state.gov/countries-and-areas-list). Any country classified as part of “Europe and Eurasia” will be considered to be in Europe. Any country classified as part of “Near East (Middle East and North Africa)” will be considered to be in the Middle East.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any unlisted country which is not classified in either of the specified regions, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If no qualifying meeting takes place by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Meeting by June 30”.
If a qualifying meeting occurs in more than one country, resolution will be based on where the first qualifying diplomatic session takes place.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
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