Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?Qatar
ResolvedOutcome: No$763Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
as of
What moved the odds?
35 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
US special envoys met with the Iranian delegation on the sidelines of the UN General Assembly, Donald Trump announced. Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araqchi spoke with Steve Witkoff and Trump's son-in-law Jared Kushner. The meeting took place with the mediation of Pakistan and Qatar, which have been persistently pressing Tehran and Washington to return to diplomacy and de-escalate the conflict, The New York Times reports. During the meeting, Araqchi outlined Tehran's conditions for opening the Strait of Hormuz. These include lifting the naval blockade, immediate payment of all frozen assets, and an end to the war on all resistance fronts. The US President also emphasized that he "doesn't understand why Iran doesn't want to make a deal." Trump believes the Islamic Republic faces two alternatives: "potential greatness or destruction." Today, it was reported that Iran could reopen the Strait of Hormuz within seven days if the US eases military pressure and lifts the blockade of the port.
Live: Iran’s foreign minister, Abbas Araghchi, met with the Steve Witkoff, U.S. special envoy, and Jared Kushner on the sidelines of the General Assembly at U.N headquarters in New York, according to two Iranian officials. The meeting was mediated by Pakistan and Qatar, which had been pushing hard for Tehran and Washington to return to diplomacy and de-escalate the confict, the sources said. The discussions focused on a pathway for a deal, they said.
Qatari Foreign Ministry Spokesperson: We have heard from American officials that Washington wants to reach an agreement Qatar Foreign Ministry Spokesperson:
We have been exchanging different views on resuming negotiations with Iran for about two weeks. We are working with Tehran and Washington through our mediation team to explore the possibility of resuming negotiations. We have heard confirmation from US government officials that Washington wants to reach an agreement. isna.ir/xdX6Ks
@isna94
“Guaranteeing Freedom in Hormuz Essential”… Qatar Mediates Resumption of US-Iran Negotiations with China
Qatar confirms it is working with its regional partners and China to resume talks between Washington and Iran.
#Breaking | Qatari Foreign Ministry: Qatar is working with its regional partners and China to resume talks between Washington and Iran
Qatar says it is working with China and other partners to resume talks between US and Iran
Qatar Mediates Resumption of U.S.-Iran Dialogue… ‘Normalization of Hormuz Top Priority’
Iranian Foreign Ministry: . The final announcement from Tehran and Muscat regarding Hormuz is in its final stages. . There are no plans for Araqchi or the Speaker of Parliament to travel to Qatar or Pakistan soon.
Live: Qatar mediating talks between US and Iran
Live from Al Arabiya | Iran rejects any proposals that do not guarantee "control over the Strait of Hormuz," and Qatar confirms: No direct talks are scheduled between Washington and Tehran.
US GOVTS – Treasuries bounce, oil flips lower as Qatar says US-Iran talks in advanced stage
*QATAR: NOTHING IN BOOKS WHEN IT COMES TO US-IRAN DIRECT TALKS • • oh
Exclusive | Sources clarify to Noor News: Rumors of restarted #negotiations in #Geneva, #Doha, or #Islamabad are untrue; Iran currently has no plans for a delegation to visit Pakistan or Qatar. The source also pointed out that recent actions by the #US Treasury Department have disrupted the previously smooth dialogue process between #Iran and Oman.
Noornews reported, citing an informed official, that the claims made about the Iranian delegation's travel plan to Pakistan or Qatar to continue negotiations are "pure lies." According to the official, there are no plans to send a negotiating delegation to these countries.
Exclusive: An informed official told Noornews: The claim of resuming #negotiations in #Geneva, #Doha or #Islamabad is not true, and there are no plans for the Iranian delegation to travel to Pakistan or Qatar. The recent action of the #US Treasury Department has challenged the relatively successful process of #Iran-Oman talks.
Informed official: The claim of the Iranian delegation's trip to continue the talks is not true An informed official, rejecting the atmosphere created by some regional media about the Iranian delegation's plan to travel to Pakistan or Qatar to continue the talks, emphasized: There are no plans for such trips. He also said: The process of talks between Iran and Oman, which had reached appropriate results, was exposed to destruction by the recent provocative action of the US Treasury Department. Read the full text in the link below... @Nournews_ir
Live: Gulf tensions rise as Iran strikes Qatar, disrupting mediation efforts
Live: Qatar mediator role in question after Iran strikes
Al Arabiya sources: Qatar prefers Switzerland to host the next round of talks
Technical talks between the US and Iran will take place on the sidelines of high-level talks, the White House announced. A statement from the press service indicates that US President Donald Trump wants the peace process to progress. The US assumes that the ceasefire with Iran remains in effect and believes that it is fulfilling its obligations. The White House press service also added that Trump's special envoy Steve Witkoff and entrepreneur Jared Kushner will represent the US at the talks with Iran in Doha on Tuesday. More news from IZ RU in MAX [in reply to: Iran has requested a meeting; it will take place tomorrow in the capital of Qatar, Doha, US President Donald Trump said. More news from IZ RU in MAX]
Trump's strange claim: We will meet with Iran in Doha tomorrow The US President claimed in a message on the Truth Social network that representatives of this country will meet with Iran in the capital of Qatar tomorrow, Tuesday. Read the full text in the link below... @Nournews_IR
APNewsAlert: WASHINGTON (AP) — President Trump says Iran has requested a meeting to happen Tuesday in Qatar. Iranian officials say no meeting scheduled.
Al Arabiya correspondent Abdullah Khalouf: Moving the negotiations between Washington and Tehran to Qatar aims to facilitate talks given its geographical location and its hosting of the vital waterway. The Doha talks will focus on developments in the Strait of Hormuz, while postponing the nuclear issue and the release of frozen funds.
YESAPws99%match53¢-100%
WASHINGTON (AP) — President Trump says Iran has requested a meeting to happen Tuesday in Qatar. Iranian officials say no meeting scheduled
Iran has requested a meeting with the United States, which will take place tomorrow in Doha, US President Donald Trump wrote in Truth Social. Earlier, the two sides exchanged blows. American authorities accused Iran of disrupting shipping in the Strait of Hormuz, stating that the republics' military continues to attack civilian vessels attempting to pass through there. Tehran also accused Washington of violating the peace agreement. Iran claimed it has every right to control shipping and struck American bases in retaliation. How the world's media reacted to the strikes is in Kommersant's selection. Subscribe to Kommersant in MAX | in Telegram [in reply to: The US and Iran have agreed to stop exchanging shelling, Axios reports, citing sources. On Tuesday, according to the portal, the parties plan to meet in the capital of Qatar to resolve the dispute over shipping in the Strait of Hormuz. Subscribe to Kommersant in MAX | in Telegram]
President Trump said that U.S. and Iranian officials would hold further talks on Tuesday in Qatar. The last round of negotiations between the two countries took place in Switzerland and included Vice President JD Vance. The United States and Iran signed an initial memorandum of understanding to cease hostilities this month, but the deal left many of the most important issues unresolved, including Iran’s nuclear program. American and Iranian officials are now working on a comprehensive agreement, but analysts are skeptical the two countries will reach a compromise easily.
Barak Ravid
Trump on the negotiations: "Iran has requested a meeting, it will take place tomorrow in Qatar"
NEW: President Trump says Iran has requested a meeting and it will take place tomorrow in Doha, Qatar.
Trump on the negotiations: Iran has requested a meeting. It will take place tomorrow in Qatar
Iran's chief negotiator denies holding a technical meeting with the US delegation this week and confirms ongoing consultations with Qatar... Has the implementation of the memorandum of understanding entered a dark tunnel?
@Hazem_Kallass
Iran's chief negotiator denies holding a technical meeting with the US delegation this week and confirms ongoing consultations with Qatar... Has the implementation of the memorandum of understanding entered a dark tunnel?
@Hazem_Kallass
Al-Mayadeen: Iran-US technical talks to be held in Qatar Al-Mayadeen Network announced that the Iran-US technical meeting, which was previously scheduled to be held in Switzerland, has been moved to Qatar. The New York Times, citing a senior American official, claimed that technical talks with Iran on how to implement the memorandum of understanding are still scheduled for the coming days. Referring to the recent exchanges of fire between Iran and the United States, the American official claimed that no talks have been canceled and that communications are still ongoing. dnws.ir/003Xfa @Defapress_ir
Gharibabadi: No technical meetings planned for this week Although consultations with Qatar, including on following up on the implementation of the other party's commitments, are ongoing as usual, some media reports that technical talks by working groups will be held in Doha cannot be confirmed.
FWD from Fars International and Foreign Policy: Gharibabadi: Technical meetings are not planned for this week Kazem Gharibabadi, the chief negotiator of the Islamic Republic of Iran and Deputy Minister of Legal and International Affairs of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, in response to reporters' questions about the working group negotiations within the framework of the Memorandum of Understanding to End the Imposed War, said: Technical meetings of the working groups are not planned for this week. Gharibabadi clarified: Although consultations with Qatar, including regarding the follow-up to the implementation of the other party's commitments, are ongoing as usual, the news from some media outlets that technical talks of the working groups will be held in Doha cannot be confirmed. Gharibabadi added: The first round of technical talks within the framework of the designated working groups will be held when the conditions are met and after an agreement is reached on its date and location, and consultations in this regard are continuing through intermediary countries. @FarsNewsInt - Link
Where does the news lean?
188YES39NO108neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 97%.
Past moves on this market
Material odds moves (≥8 points within an hour of a matched news signal), newest first — each links to a dated brief on what moved the price.
How did this market resolve?
On June 22, the first round of U.S.-Iran diplomatic talks in Switzerland concluded, with mediators reporting progress toward a roadmap for a final deal and follow-on technical talks expected to continue (see: https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/6/22/us-iran-agree-on-roadmap-towards-final-deal-in-switzerland-talks).
This market will resolve according to the country in which the next formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran begins by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
If a qualifying round occurs in more than one country, resolution will be based on the country where the first qualifying senior-level diplomatic session begins.
If the next qualifying round begins in any country in the Middle East or North Africa other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Middle East/North Africa.”
If the next qualifying round begins in any country in Europe other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Europe.”
For purposes of this market, countries’ regions will be determined based on the U.S. State Department’s regional classifications in the “Countries and Areas List” (https://www.state.gov/countries-and-areas-list). Any country classified as part of “Europe and Eurasia” will be considered to be in Europe. Any country classified as part of “Near East (Middle East and North Africa)” will be considered to be in the Middle East/North Africa.
If the next qualifying round begins in any unlisted country that is not classified in either specified region, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If no qualifying round begins by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Meeting by September 30.”
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Related markets
See all outcomes for Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...? — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.