Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?Steve Witkoff

ResolvedOutcome: YesVol$69KResolvedas of

Odds now

This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .

YES100¢
NO0¢

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What moved the odds?

31 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .

YESlivesquawk98%match
US special envoy Steve Witkoff said Tuesday that US and Iranian delegations held lengthy indirect talks on the sidelines of the UN General Assembly, with mediators shuttling between the two sides throughout the day. • • “They successfully completed a round of discussions that we hope will prove constructive and promising,” Witkoff wrote in a post on X. “The mediators will continue their work,” he said.
YESIran State News Agency98%match
Witkoff's claim about talks with the Iranian delegation through mediators Donald Trump's special envoy for the Middle East claimed that he had held lengthy talks with the Iranian delegation on the sidelines of the UN General Assembly in New York through mediators who were in and out between the two sides. "Steve Witkoff" claimed: "The mediators successfully concluded a round of talks that we hope will be constructive and promising, and they will continue their work." #UN_2026 #IRNA_World @IRNA_1313
YESiranintlbrk98%match100¢
Trump’s special envoy, Steve Witkoff, wrote in a post on X on Tuesday that he had extensive talks with the Iranian delegation through mediators on the sidelines of the United Nations General Assembly. He said the mediators had been back and forth between the two sides throughout the day and were able to successfully conclude a “constructive and promising” round of talks. Witkoff stressed that the mediators will continue their efforts.
YESiranintl98%match100¢
Steve Witkoff, the US President's special envoy, wrote on the social network X about his meeting with the Islamic Republic delegation in New York: "Today, on the sidelines of the United Nations General Assembly, we had detailed discussions with the Iranian delegation through mediators." He added: "The mediators were back and forth between the two sides throughout the day and were able to successfully conclude a round of talks; a round of talks that we hope will be constructive and promising." Witkoff wrote: "The mediators will continue their efforts."
YESIran Semi-Official SNN98%match100¢
New claim by Witkoff: Negotiations with the Iranian delegation will continue through mediators Steve Witkoff: Today, on the sidelines of the United Nations General Assembly, we participated in long talks with the Iranian delegation through mediators. These mediators were back and forth between the two sides throughout the day. They successfully completed a round of negotiations and we hope that these negotiations will be constructive and fruitful and that the mediators will continue their work. Get the latest news: Site | ETA | Yes | Rubika | Soroush Plus @snntv
YESNewsNation Reporter98%match100¢
Special Envoy Steve Witkoff just put out this statement on the meeting: “Today, on the sidelines of the United Nations General Assembly, we engaged in lengthy talks with the Iranian delegation through the mediators, who shuttled between the two sides throughout the day. They successfully completed a round of discussions that we hope will prove constructive and promising. The mediators will continue their work.”
YESN13 Reporter97%match100¢
Envoy Steve Witkoff, after the round of talks with the Iranians.
YESnytimes.com96%match99¢+1%
Live: Iran’s state television confirmed that the country’s foreign minister, Abbas Araghchi, had met with the U.S. special envoy Steve Witkoff on the sidelines of the General Assembly on Tuesday. The report said that Araghchi relayed Iran’s stern conditions for reaching a peace deal with the United States, and that those included the immediate lifting of the U.S. naval blockade on Iran’s southern shores, releasing Iran’s frozen funds and ending hostilities on all fronts as a condition for Iran to open the Strait of Hormuz. Araghchi himself has not yet publicly commented on the meeting.
YESRussian state TV98%match99¢+1%
A meeting between Steve Witkoff and Abbas Araghchi took place today at the UN General Assembly following repeated requests from the American side, the Tasnim news agency reports. Iran used the meeting to outline its conditions for resuming shipping in the Strait of Hormuz. Previously, Donald Trump stated that the meeting between US and Iranian representatives took place today and lasted three hours.
YESRussian Media94%match99¢+1%
US special envoys met with the Iranian delegation on the sidelines of the UN General Assembly, Donald Trump announced. Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araqchi spoke with Steve Witkoff and Trump's son-in-law Jared Kushner. The meeting took place with the mediation of Pakistan and Qatar, which have been persistently pressing Tehran and Washington to return to diplomacy and de-escalate the conflict, The New York Times reports. During the meeting, Araqchi outlined Tehran's conditions for opening the Strait of Hormuz. These include lifting the naval blockade, immediate payment of all frozen assets, and an end to the war on all resistance fronts. The US President also emphasized that he "doesn't understand why Iran doesn't want to make a deal." Trump believes the Islamic Republic faces two alternatives: "potential greatness or destruction." Today, it was reported that Iran could reopen the Strait of Hormuz within seven days if the US eases military pressure and lifts the blockade of the port.
YESRussian Media93%match99¢+1%
US special envoys met with the Iranian delegation on the sidelines of the UN General Assembly, Donald Trump announced. Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araqchi spoke with Steve Witkoff and Trump's son-in-law Jared Kushner. The meeting took place with the mediation of Pakistan and Qatar, which have been persistently pressing Tehran and Washington to return to diplomacy and de-escalate the conflict, The New York Times reports. During the meeting, Araqchi outlined Tehran's conditions for opening the Strait of Hormuz. These include lifting the naval blockade, immediate payment of all frozen assets, and an end to the war on all resistance fronts. The US President also emphasized that he "doesn't understand why Iran doesn't want to make a deal." According to Trump, the Islamic Republic faces two alternatives: "potential greatness or destruction." Today, it was reported that Iran could reopen the Strait of Hormuz within seven days if the US eases military pressure and lifts the blockade of the port. More IZ RU news in MAX
FM @araghchi meeting with U.S. envoy Steve Witkoff on the sidelines of the UN General Assembly was held at Witkoff’s insistence. • • Iran agreed to the meeting to convey its conditions for reopening the Strait of Hormuz, including the immediate lifting of the naval blockade, the immediate release of all Iranian frozen assets, and an end to the war on all resistance fronts.
YESIran Nuances93%match98¢+2%
#Iran FM Araghchi met US envoy Steve Witkoff on UNGA sidelines at US side request to deliver Tehran's terms to reopen Strait of Hormuz: including immediate end to naval blockade, release of all frozen assets, and ending the war across all resistance fronts: Source
YESCNN Reporter97%match98¢+2%
Pressed whether US envoy Steve Witkoff and Trump’s son-in-law Jared Kushner participated in the meeting with Iran today, President Trump didn’t dispute their participation. • • “Well, there’s nothing to say. They had a very good meeting, a very productive meeting. And they have another one scheduled in the very near future,” Trump said before asking if Witkoff and Kushner wanted to say anything. • • Witkoff, sitting on the couch next to White House chief of staff Susie Wiles and Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, widened his eyes and stared awkwardly ahead, answering only vaguely when someone asked how he felt after the meeting. • • “I feel very good right now,” Witkoff said. “It’s a blessing to work for President Trump.” • • Trump then argued that, ultimately, a deal would be beneficial for Iran.
YESaljazeera.com96%match97¢+3%
Live: Trump says Jared Kushner, Steve Witkoff met with mediators about possible Iran deal
YESn12news97%match95¢+5%
A senior American official and a regional source said that the meeting was attended by President Trump's envoys Jared Kushner and Steve Witkoff from the American side - and by Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araqchi from the Iranian side. @BarakRavid
YESChannel 12 (N12)97%match90¢+11%
Barak Ravid A senior American official and a regional source said that the meeting was attended by President Trump's envoys Jared Kushner and Steve Witkoff from the American side. Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araqchi participated from the Iranian side.
YESlivesquawk96%match90¢+11%
A U.S. official and a regional source said Trump's envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner attended the meeting from the U.S. side and foreign minister Abbas Araghchi from the Iranian side
YESAxios Reporter97%match90¢+11%
A senior American official and a regional source said that the meeting was attended by President Trump's envoys Jared Kushner and Steve Witkoff from the American side. Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araqchi participated from the Iranian side.
YESAxios Reporter96%match90¢+11%
A U.S. official and a regional source said Trump's envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner attended the meeting from the U.S. side and foreign minister Abbas Araghchi from the Iranian side
YESnytimes.com97%match94¢+6%
Live: Iran’s foreign minister, Abbas Araghchi, met with the Steve Witkoff, U.S. special envoy, and Jared Kushner on the sidelines of the General Assembly at U.N headquarters in New York, according to two Iranian officials. The meeting was mediated by Pakistan and Qatar, which had been pushing hard for Tehran and Washington to return to diplomacy and de-escalate the confict, the sources said. The discussions focused on a pathway for a deal, they said.
YESFrench Media94%match79¢+27%
"They had a very good meeting, a very productive meeting, and they have another one planned for the very near future." Donald Trump announces that discussions took place between envoy Steve Witkoff, Jared Kushner, and Iranian officials #BFM2
YESGuardian Reporter97%match90¢+11%
Iranian officials held three hours of talks with US special envoy Steve Witkoff on the sidelines of the Un general assembly Donald Trump disclosed on Tuesday • He said there would a further meeting in the very near future. Trump added his son in law Jared Kushner had attended asking why should the Iranians not hold a meeting. He said Iran faced a choice as a country between “potential greatness or obliteration”. • Witkoff added he felt “very good about the meeting” the first known personal contact since the vice President J D Vance met Iranian delegation to discuss the memorandum of understanding in Switzerland in June. It is not clear if the talks were through intermediaries.
YESCBS Reporter95%match87¢+15%
President Trump tells reporters U.S. officials including envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner met with Iranian leaders on the margins of UNGA - "It was a very good meeting," Trump said, adding they had "another one scheduled with them in the near future."
YESisraelhayomheb97%match78¢+28%
Trump described the meeting of American representatives (including Steve Witkoff) with the Iranians as "very good."
YESisraelhayomheb97%match78¢+28%
Trump described the meeting of American representatives (including Steve Witkoff) with the Iranians as "good."
YESi24 Reporter97%match78¢+28%
Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner are the US officials who met with the Iranian delegation today. Trump says “was a very good meeting”
YESIsrael Hayom97%match78¢+28%
Trump described the meeting of the American representatives (including Steve Witkoff) with the Iranians as "good" [in reply to: Trump: US representatives met with the Iranian delegation for 3 hours at the UN Assembly]
YESiranintlbrk97%match65¢+54%
Steve Witkoff, during Trump and Zelensky's meeting on the sidelines of the UN meeting, said about the meeting with Iranian officials: "We had a very good meeting and we will see what the outcome will be."
YESCNN Reporter94%match71¢+41%
The president said that US officials including Steve Witkoff & Jared Kushner met with Iranian officials here on the sidelines of the UN General Assembly. • • Trump called it a good meeting
YESBloomberg Reporter97%match62¢+61%
New: Trump says that American officials including Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner met Iranian officials here on the sidelines of the UN. Trump said they had a good meeting; Witkoff was reluctant to discuss it but said “I feel very good right now.”

Where does the news lean?

32YES0NO2neutraltrailing 24h

Average match confidence across the listed signals: 96%.

Past moves on this market

Material odds moves (≥8 points within an hour of a matched news signal), newest first — each links to a dated brief on what moved the price.

How did this market resolve?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments. Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time. Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round. Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count. The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count. Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating. If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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