Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?Stephen Miller
Open$3Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 8% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES8¢
NO92¢
as of
What moved the odds?
4 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
Live: Stephen Miller calls birthright citizenship ruling ‘one of the most destructive’ in SCOTUS history
Live: Ruling 'one of the most destructive' in court's history, Stephen Miller says
"The illegal alien Haitians are going back to Haiti." • • Stephen Miller says the Trump administration is ending what he called the Biden administration's misuse of Temporary Protected Status. • • On The Ingraham Angle, Miller said recent court rulings and changes to TPS will speed up immigration enforcement, while highlighting record ICE arrests and historically low illegal border crossings under President Trump. |@IngrahamAngle
NOAcyn99%match59¢+56%
Graham: To my colleagues who believe that you can convince Donald Trump that Stephen Miller is a liability for him, good luck with that. When this clock strikes 12 on the trump era, there will be a few people walking out the door with Donald Trump, Stephen Miller will be in that…
Where does the news lean?
1YES8NO11neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.
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