Will Stephen Miller leave the Trump administration before 2027? Odds fell to 6% on Nov 6, 2026

OpenMove

Will Stephen Miller leave the Trump administration before 2027? On , the market’s odds fell from 18¢ to 5.8¢ (-12.2 pts) within an hour of a news signal, one of a 2-source news cluster, from truthsocial.com.

How did the odds move?

At match18¢
+5m19¢
+30m5¢
+1h5.8¢
1h move-12.2 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

Later moves the same day

This is the market’s single brief for Nov 6, 2026; further measured moves that day are folded in here as they are stamped.

  • 19¢ → 5.7¢-13.3 ptsafter a signal from Reuters Reporter

What moved the odds?

Part of a 2-source news cluster, first seen . The triggering signal is listed first.

Notruthsocial.com97%match
I am pleased to announce that Mr. Stephen Miller, the current Deputy Chief of Staff of the Trump Administration, and one of my most trusted advisors, will become the Chief of Staff starting Monday, November 9, 2026. Susie Wiles, who has done an outstanding job, will be moving over to the Trump Political Operation. I want to thank her for her service as Chief of Staff — She has done a great job! President DONALD J. TRUMP
Nowhitehouse96%match
"I am pleased to announce that Mr. Stephen Miller, the current Deputy Chief of Staff of the Trump Administration, and one of my most trusted advisors, will become the Chief of Staff starting Monday, November 9, 2026. Susie Wiles, who has done an outstanding job, will be moving over to the Trump Political Operation. I want to thank her for her service as Chief of Staff — She has done a great job!" - President Donald J. Trump

Where does this market stand now?

The market prices a 5% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .

YES5¢
NO95¢

Vol$45K

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Will Stephen Miller leave the Trump administration before 2027? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

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