Which countries will sign the US x Iran deal by June 30?Saudi Arabia
ResolvedOutcome: No$8Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
as of
What moved the odds?
1 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
Assaf Rosenzweig
Report in the Wall Street Journal: The US and Saudi Arabia are in a state of tension unseen in their relationship for years. Washington is considering reducing the security presence in the kingdom after Saudi Arabia torpedoed President Trump's "Operation Freedom" after just one day, after imposing restrictions on the use of American bases on its territory. In response, the US is threatening to stop the shipment of interceptor missiles to Saudi Arabia.
Where does the news lean?
0YES1NO0neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.
How did this market resolve?
On June 14, 2026, the US and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement between the two countries, with an announced signing ceremony on June 19.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if an authorized representative of the listed country signs the agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14, 2026 by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The “agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14, 2026” includes any later-modified version that is publicly identified by credible reporting as a successor version of the same agreement.
The agreement must be signed by an authorized representative of the listed country, acting on behalf of the listed country, including by signing a copy of the agreement or another signature page that forms part of the agreement.
Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant governments and parties to the agreement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Related markets
See all outcomes for Which countries will sign the US x Iran deal by June 30? — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.