Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?No Meeting by June 30
ResolvedOutcome: No$2.6Mas of
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50 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
Al Jazeera correspondent Ali Hashem: Less than 24 hours after optimism about the possibility of an understanding between Iran and the United States emerged, negative signs have arrived. An informed Iranian source says that signs of the United States' retreat are visible on two main issues: the mechanism for releasing Iran's assets and the scope of the ceasefire in Lebanon. According to the source, the understanding includes a framework for a ceasefire in Lebanon, but the Israeli regime is apparently unhappy with this arrangement and is pressuring Washington to include text that would allow Israel to conduct military operations in Lebanon, justifying it as "a response to any threat." Iran rejects this mechanism and insists on a lasting and permanent ceasefire. Tehran has informed all mediators, including Pakistan, that it will not sign the understanding if all clauses are not fully agreed upon and guaranteed. Pakistan has suggested that the agreed clauses move forward and the disputed issues be postponed, but Iran has rejected this and emphasized that the disputed clauses are fundamental and non-negotiable. The overall picture shows that Tehran increasingly believes that Washington is backing down from previous understandings reached through mediators./Election
The process of forming an initial agreement between Iran and the US could fail Al Jazeera correspondent Ali Hashem: Less than 24 hours after optimism was expressed about the possibility of an understanding between Iran and the US, negative signs have arrived. An informed Iranian source says that signs of US retreat are seen on two main issues: the mechanism for releasing Iran's assets and the scope of the ceasefire in Lebanon. According to this source, the understanding includes a framework for a ceasefire in Lebanon, but the Israeli regime is apparently unhappy with this arrangement and is pressuring Washington to include text that would allow Israel to conduct military operations in Lebanon, justifying it as "a response to any threat." Iran rejects this mechanism and insists on a stable and permanent ceasefire. Tehran has informed all mediators, including Pakistan, that it will not sign the understanding if all clauses are not fully agreed upon and guaranteed. Pakistan has suggested that the agreed clauses move forward and the disputed issues be postponed, but Iran has rejected this and emphasized that the disputed clauses are fundamental and non-negotiable. The overall picture shows that Tehran increasingly believes that Washington is backing down from previous understandings reached through mediators. nournews.ir @Nournews_IR
Al Jazeera correspondent Ali Hashem: Less than 24 hours after optimism about the possibility of an understanding between Iran and the United States was raised, negative signs have arrived. An informed Iranian source says that signs of US retreat are seen on two main issues: the mechanism for releasing Iranian assets and the scope of the ceasefire in Lebanon. According to the source, the understanding includes a framework for a ceasefire in Lebanon, but the Israeli regime is apparently unhappy with this arrangement and is pressuring Washington to include text that would allow Israel to conduct military operations in Lebanon, justifying it as a "response to any threat." Iran rejects this mechanism and insists on a permanent and stable ceasefire. Tehran has informed all mediators, including Pakistan, that it will not sign the understanding unless all clauses are fully agreed upon and guaranteed. Pakistan has suggested that the agreed clauses go forward and the disputed issues be postponed, but Iran has rejected this and stressed that the disputed clauses are fundamental and non-negotiable. The overall picture shows that Tehran increasingly believes that Washington is backing down from previous understandings reached through mediators./Election
Less than 24 hours after optimism emerged around a possible Iran-US memorandum, negative vibes are already surfacing. • A well-informed Iranian source tells me there are signs of U.S. retreat on two central issues: the mechanism for unfreezing Iranian assets, and the scope of a ceasefire in Lebanon. • According to the source, the memorandum includes a Lebanon ceasefire framework, but Israel is reportedly uncomfortable with the arrangement and is pushing Washington to include language allowing it to carry out military operations in Lebanon under the justification of responding to “any threat.” Iran is rejecting that formulation and insisting on a sustainable and lasting ceasefire. • Tehran has informed all mediators, including Pakistan, that it will not sign the memorandum unless all clauses are fully agreed and guaranteed. Pakistan reportedly suggested moving forward with agreed sections while postponing contentious points, but Iran rejected that approach, insisting the disputed clauses are fundamental and non-negotiable. • The overall picture suggests Tehran increasingly views Washington as backing away from earlier understandings reached through mediators.
A US official told Fox News: Iran has offered serious concessions we haven't seen before on the nuclear issue. Our plan is to address all of Iran's stockpile of enriched uranium. If the Iranians make concessions on enrichment, we will ease sanctions. We don't believe imposing fees in the Strait of Hormuz is an acceptable outcome. We are making progress toward signing an agreement with Iran.
US, Iran agree in principle to deal on Hormuz, uranium: Reports
Iran is poised to 'agree in principle to dispose of the highly enriched uranium' but no resolution yet on how to do so and maintain 'national pride,' US official says • • 'We feel quite confident that the supreme leader has signed off on the broad template,' the official said, but 'even if we get this language in a good place, it is going to take days for it to filter through their system' •
BBG: Senior US officials told reporters during a separate briefing that no deal will be signed Sunday as the two sides negotiate on the precise language on key issues including the immediate reopening of the Strait of Hormuz. It may take several days for both sides to get final approval, they added. • @KateSullivanDC
Axios: US officials optimistic about signing the agreement with Iran within days
The United States and Iran have agreed in principle to a deal that would reopen the Strait of Hormuz with a commitment from Iran to dispose of their highly enriched uranium, a U.S. official told reporters on Sunday, the first time an American official has revealed details of the agreement.
Iranian semi-official media are now openly pointing to growing friction inside the MoU talks. According to Fars and Tasnim, one of the main disputes concerns the unfreezing of Iranian assets: Tehran expected at least part of the funds to be released upfront, while the US side is now reportedly resisting any immediate payment mechanism. • • -Tasnim adds that if what it describes as continued “US obstructionism” persists, no Memorandum of Understanding will be signed. • • #Iran #IranWar
Under the name "Islamabad Declaration," high-ranking sources told Al Arabiya that the initial agreement between the US and Iran is a memorandum of understanding that will be followed by negotiations on a final agreement.
Live from Al Arabiya | Al Arabiya sources reveal a preliminary agreement between the US and Iran... to be followed by negotiations on final issues
US Secretary of State Marco Rubio says an announcement is possible later in the day on a deal with Iran. • • #US #Iran
A report on the Saudi Al-Hadath channel: The framework agreement between Iran and the US is expected to be called the 'Islamabad Declaration.' This is a memorandum of understanding that will lead to negotiations on an agreement on the final issues. They claim that Pakistan is expected to announce the memorandum of understanding, without the need for the presence of the parties, with the next round of talks between Washington and Tehran likely to take place on June 5. They will send the heads of delegations when negotiations on the final agreement begin.
Disagreements between Iran and the United States over two clauses in the agreement • Informed sources to Iran's Tasnim: • Two clauses in the agreement have caused disagreement between Iran and the United States. • Iran has informed Pakistani mediators that the agreement will not be finalized if the United States continues its obstruction.
Tasnim News Agency, citing a source: The disagreement between Iran and the US regarding one or two clauses of the potential memorandum of understanding remains unresolved. We have informed Pakistan that if the US continues to obstruct negotiations, there is no possibility of concluding a memorandum of understanding.
Report in Iran: Dispute continues over one or two clauses in the memorandum of understanding. If the US continues to create difficulties, there will be no possibility of reaching an understanding.
Live from Al Arabiya | High-ranking sources tell Al Arabiya that the next round of talks between the US and Iran could take place on June 5th.
IRGC-linked Tasnim News reported on Sunday that differences between Iran and the United States over one or two clauses of a possible memorandum of understanding remained unresolved. • • The Pakistani mediators had been told that the MOU could not be finalized if Washington’s obstruction continued, the report said, citing an informed source.
BREAKING: Iran says contrary to what the US claims, the now fully leaked "Memorandum of Understanding" contains no Iranian commitments to hand over nuclear stockpiles, remove equipment, shut down nuclear facilities, or even commit to not build a nuclear bomb. Instead, all nuclear issues are deferred to a 60 day period of negotiations after signing, per Fars News. • • For this period to start, the US would need to accept no nuclear commitments from Iran, agree to release $100 billion of Iranian frozen assets, lift the naval blockade, lift all oil and petrochemical sanctions during the negotiation period, pay $270 billion in war reparations, and accept Hormuz under "full permanent sovereign Iranian management and authority" at pre-war traffic levels with no US presence.
The potential preliminary agreement between Iran and the US will be called the “Islamabad Declaration,” senior sources tell Al Arabiya • • The preliminary agreement is an MoU that will be followed by negotiations on a final deal covering outstanding issues, senior sources tell Al Arabiya • • The sources tell Al Arabiya that the next round of talks between the US and Iran could be held on June 5 • • Washington and Tehran will send the heads of their delegations once negotiations on the final agreement begin, Al Arabiya reports citing sources
Journalist Osama Altaf: Pakistan has succeeded in brokering a memorandum of understanding between Washington and Tehran that includes postponing outstanding issues to a later stage... and it is unlikely that the United States will back down from ending the Iranian nuclear program.
High-ranking sources told Al Arabiya: The potential preliminary agreement between Iran and the US will be called the Islamabad Declaration The preliminary agreement is a memorandum of understanding that will be followed by negotiations on a final agreement. Pakistan will announce the memorandum of understanding without the need for the negotiating parties to be present. The next round of talks between the US and Iran may be held on June 5. Washington and Tehran will send their respective chief negotiators when negotiations on the final agreement begin.
Breaking | Tasnim News Agency, citing a source: The disagreement between Iran and the US regarding one or two clauses of the potential memorandum of understanding remains unresolved. We have informed Pakistan that if the US continues to obstruct negotiations, there is no possibility of concluding a memorandum of understanding.
An informed source: Disagreement over one or two clauses of the memorandum of understanding continues An informed source said that the disagreement between Iran and the United States over one or two clauses of the possible memorandum of understanding continues and the matter has not yet been finalized due to American obstruction. He emphasized: Iran emphasizes the realization of the rights of its people and this issue has been conveyed to the Pakistani mediator that if American obstruction continues, there is no possibility of finalizing the memorandum of understanding. nournews.ir @Nournews_IR
NEW: Iranian source tells Tasnim News that disagreements over one or two clauses of a potential memorandum of understanding with the US remain unresolved, accusing Washington of "creating obstacles." • • Iran has informed Pakistani mediators that if the US continues blocking progress, the agreement cannot be finalized.
The Iranian Tasnim news agency claims: The dispute between Iran and the US over one or two clauses in the possible memorandum of understanding continues, and due to what they defined as obstacles posed by the US - the issue has not yet been finally agreed upon. The Iranian source claimed that Iran insists on realizing the rights of its people, and this message was conveyed to the Pakistani mediator. If the US continues to pose obstacles, it will not be possible to reach an agreement.
High-ranking sources told Al-Hadath that the next round of talks between Washington and Tehran may be held on June 5.
Rubio: Official announcement on peace deal with Iran may be made later today Al-Arabiya: The US Secretary of State said during a joint press conference with his Indian counterpart that an official announcement on a peace deal with Iran may be made later today. nournews.ir @Nournews_IR
Urgent | An informed source told Tasnim News Agency that the dispute between Iran and the US over one or two clauses of the possible memorandum of understanding continues and due to US obstruction, the matter has not yet been finalized.
Urgent/ An informed source: Disagreement over one or two clauses of the memorandum of understanding continues An informed source told Tasnim News Agency that the disagreement between Iran and the United States over one or two clauses of the possible memorandum of understanding continues and the matter has not yet been finalized due to US obstruction. He emphasized: Iran emphasizes the justice of its own people and this issue has been conveyed to the Pakistani mediator that if US obstruction continues, there is no possibility of finalizing the memorandum of understanding. @TasnimNews
US Secretary of State Marco Rubio said an announcement was possible later Sunday on a deal with Iran.
Basically, Iran has not accepted any action in the nuclear field at this stage, and the issue of nuclear negotiations has been postponed until after the possible end of the war and the implementation of some measures by the United States at this stage.
US Secretary of State: We are hours away from potentially announcing an agreement with Iran.
The U.S. and Iran are close to signing a temporary 60-day deal that would reopen the Strait of Hormuz, ease some sanctions on Iran, and restart negotiations over Iran’s nuclear program. • • In return, Iran would clear mines from the strait, allow free shipping, and commit to talks on limiting uranium enrichment and giving up highly enriched nuclear material. • • The agreement is meant to prevent a wider regional war and reduce pressure on global oil markets. During the talks, U.S. forces would remain in the region, and sanctions relief would depend on Iran making verifiable concessions. • • The draft also includes an understanding to end fighting between Israel and Hezbollah in Lebanon, though Israel has raised concerns about parts of the deal. • • Trump and regional mediators hope to announce the agreement Sunday, but officials say negotiations are still fragile and could collapse at the last minute. • • Source: Axios
No US-Iran talks after a week of speculation - how we got here
US negotiators to go to Islamabad, but Iran says no direct talks
BREAKING NEWS — IRAN: There are no planned meetings with the US.
Iran: Tasnim: Due to American ambitions, there is no Iranian decision to negotiate under the current circumstances, despite the Americans' urgent need to negotiate.
Iran is still refusing to negotiate with the US due to Washington's excessive demands, according to media reports.
Tasnim: Iran's decision not to participate in talks tomorrow is final
IRAN'S FOREIGN MINISTRY SPOKESPERSON STATED THAT THERE HAS BEEN NO DECISION MADE BY IRAN TO ATTEND THE TALKS, AS REPORTED BY STATE TV. ...
IRAN'S FOREIGN MINISTRY SPOKESPERSON STATED THAT THERE HAS BEEN NO DECISION MADE BY IRAN TO ATTEND THE TALKS, AS REPORTED BY STATE TV.
No Iranian delegation in Islamabad, says report as Tehran rejects talks under threats • •
YESXinhua99%match3¢-100%
Flash: No Iranian delegation sent to U.S. talks: IRIB
Reuters quotes Iran's chief negotiator: We will not negotiate with the United States under threat.
#Breaking | Reuters, quoting Iran's chief negotiator: We will not negotiate with the United States under threat.
Tasnim, citing a source: Iran's decision not to participate in the negotiations has not changed so far, and its participation is contingent on certain conditions being met.
Iran: Tasnim News Agency, citing sources: As of now, there has been no change in Iran's decision not to participate in the negotiations.
Where does the news lean?
146YES266NO13neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.
How did this market resolve?
This market will resolve according to the country in which the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any country in the Middle East or North Africa other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Middle East/North Africa”.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any country in Europe other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Europe”.
For the purposes of this market, additional countries’ regions will be determined based on the US State Department’s regional classifications in the “Countries and Areas List” (https://www.state.gov/countries-and-areas-list). Any country classified as part of “Europe and Eurasia” will be considered to be in Europe. Any country classified as part of “Near East (Middle East and North Africa)” will be considered to be in the Middle East.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any unlisted country which is not classified in either of the specified regions, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If no qualifying meeting takes place by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Meeting by June 30”.
If a qualifying meeting occurs in more than one country, resolution will be based on where the first qualifying diplomatic session takes place.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
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