Colombia Presidential ElectionIván Cepeda Castro
ResolvedOutcome: No$7.3Mas of
Odds now
This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
as of
What moved the odds?
5 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
Iván Cepeda, the candidate for the Historical Pact, is positioned as the favorite for the presidential elections in Colombia, obtaining 35% of the vote intention according to the latest polls from the National Consulting Center (CNC). The elections are scheduled for May 31. For a complete analysis of the results and the electoral landscape, visit our article on the website.
Iván Cepeda leads the presidential polls with 35% of the vote, although Senator Paloma Valencia is showing a notable rise. The possibility of a runoff election on June 21 is high. Learn the details and the full picture of the elections at:
YESBloomberg98%match39¢-100%
Colombia’s dollar bonds fell across the curve on Thursday and the peso led emerging-market losses after a new poll showed leftist Senator Iván Cepeda with a wide lead in the race for the presidency.
YESBloomberg99%match38¢-100%
Colombia’s two top presidential candidates — conservative lawyer Abelardo de la Espriella and leftist senator Iván Cepeda — are statistically tied in the latest poll ahead of Election Day on May 31.
YESBloomberg99%match37¢-100%
Colombian leftist candidate Iván Cepeda led voters’ preferences for May’s presidential election according to a poll published on Sunday, consolidating his status as a main contender.
Where does the news lean?
6YES0NO1neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.
How did this market resolve?
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
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See all outcomes for Colombia Presidential Election — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.