Colombia Presidential Election

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Market pricing makes Candidate M the favorite at 50% across 28 tracked outcomes, as of .

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Colombia: The National Intelligence Directorate describes as "false and unfounded" the accusations made by the lawyer and presidential candidate regarding an alleged plot against him. The National Intelligence Directorate (DNI) officially responded to accusations made by lawyer and presidential candidate Abelardo De La Espriella, who claimed to have received information about an alleged plot to assassinate him, involving officials of the national government and agents of the intelligence agency. Through a public statement, the entity categorically rejected the statements of the political leader and maintained that its functions are limited exclusively to strategic intelligence work and emphasized that it does not have operational or armed capabilities to carry out actions such as those denounced by De La Espriella.
Iván Cepeda, the candidate for the Historical Pact, is positioned as the favorite for the presidential elections in Colombia, obtaining 35% of the vote intention according to the latest polls from the National Consulting Center (CNC). The elections are scheduled for May 31. For a complete analysis of the results and the electoral landscape, visit our article on the website.
Iván Cepeda, the candidate for the Historical Pact, is positioned as the favorite for the presidential elections in Colombia, obtaining 35% of the vote intention according to the latest polls from the National Consulting Center (CNC). The elections are scheduled for May 31. For a complete analysis of the results and the electoral landscape, visit our article on the website.
Iván Cepeda leads the presidential polls with 35% of the vote, although Senator Paloma Valencia is showing a notable rise. The possibility of a runoff election on June 21 is high. Learn the details and the full picture of the elections at:
Iván Cepeda leads the presidential polls with 35% of the vote, although Senator Paloma Valencia is showing a notable rise. The possibility of a runoff election on June 21 is high. Learn the details and the full picture of the elections at:
El Pacto Histórico de Colombia formalizó oficialmente la inscripción de la candidatura presidencial de Iván Cepeda Castro y su fórmula vicepresidencial, Aída Quilcué.
Iván Cepeda CastroBloomberg98%match39¢-100%
Colombia’s dollar bonds fell across the curve on Thursday and the peso led emerging-market losses after a new poll showed leftist Senator Iván Cepeda with a wide lead in the race for the presidency.
Sergio Fajardo (DC)CGTN America98%match2¢-100%
Colombian president claims to have escaped assassination attempt
Abelardo de la EspriellaBloomberg99%match39¢+156%
Colombia’s two top presidential candidates — conservative lawyer Abelardo de la Espriella and leftist senator Iván Cepeda — are statistically tied in the latest poll ahead of Election Day on May 31.
Gustavo Bolívar (HC)Bloomberg98%match100¢
Colombia’s two top presidential candidates — conservative lawyer Abelardo de la Espriella and leftist senator Iván Cepeda — are statistically tied in the latest poll ahead of Election Day on May 31.
Iván Cepeda CastroBloomberg99%match38¢-100%
Colombia’s two top presidential candidates — conservative lawyer Abelardo de la Espriella and leftist senator Iván Cepeda — are statistically tied in the latest poll ahead of Election Day on May 31.
Iván Cepeda CastroBloomberg99%match37¢-100%
Colombian leftist candidate Iván Cepeda led voters’ preferences for May’s presidential election according to a poll published on Sunday, consolidating his status as a main contender.
Abelardo de la EspriellaFirst Squawk99%match40¢+150%
CONSERVATIVE LAWYER ABELARDO DE LA ESPRIELLA LEADS THE POLLS AHEAD OF COLOMBIA’S MAY PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION WITH 28% SUPPORT, ACCORDING TO AN ATLASINTEL POLL CONDUCTED FOR SEMANA AND PUBLISHED ON SATURDAY.
Abelardo de la EspriellaBloomberg99%match40¢+150%
Conservative lawyer Abelardo de la Espriella leads the polls ahead of Colombia’s May presidential election with 28% support, according to an AtlasIntel poll conducted for Semana and published on Saturday.
Sergio Fajardo (DC)Bloomberg98%match13¢-100%
The Colombian government is attempting to ram through a fiscal plan by decree after it was rejected by the legislature, pushing against constitutional limits even as investors show signs of discomfort
Daniel QuinteroBloomberg98%match97¢+3%
The Colombian government is attempting to ram through a fiscal plan by decree after it was rejected by the legislature, pushing against constitutional limits even as investors show signs of discomfort
Roy BarrerasBloomberg98%match91¢+10%
The Colombian government is attempting to ram through a fiscal plan by decree after it was rejected by the legislature, pushing against constitutional limits even as investors show signs of discomfort
Gustavo Bolívar (HC)Bloomberg98%match99¢+1%
Colombia’s powerful Centro Democrático party selected Senator Paloma Valencia as its candidate for next year’s presidential elections, signaling a shift toward a more moderate right
Sergio Fajardo (DC)Bloomberg98%match86¢+16%
Colombia’s powerful Centro Democrático party selected Senator Paloma Valencia as its candidate for next year’s presidential elections, signaling a shift toward a more moderate right
Roy BarrerasBloomberg98%match90¢+11%
Colombia’s powerful Centro Democrático party selected Senator Paloma Valencia as its candidate for next year’s presidential elections, signaling a shift toward a more moderate right

What is this event about?

Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).

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