Which candidates will advance to Brazil's presidential runoff?Fernando Haddad
ResolvedOutcome: No$69Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
as of
What moved the odds?
6 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
São Paulo is ready to move forward. The people know that to guarantee workers' rights, action is needed. And change begins at the ballot box: Fernando Haddad is 13 Marina Silva is 400 Simone Tebet is 180 And for president it's 13 for Lula and Alckmin
São Paulo has an important choice ahead, and I have no doubt: @Haddad_Fernando, @MarinaSilva and @simonetebetbr are the best team to take care of the people of São Paulo and defend the interests of Brazil. Haddad has already been by my side and helped to make a true revolution in education. Now, he is prepared to govern São Paulo and transform the lives of those who need it most. Marina and Tebet have the experience, courage and commitment to represent São Paulo in the Senate and defend the rights of the people. In São Paulo, it's Haddad, Marina and Tebet. It's work, it's commitment!
NOCGTN Europe98%match95¢+5%
LULA WOULD WIN BRAZIL'S PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION RUN-OFF WITH 43% OF VOTE VS FLAVIO BOLSONARO'S 38% - GENIAL/QUAEST POLL
NOCGTN America98%match95¢+5%
LULA WOULD WIN BRAZIL'S PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION RUN-OFF WITH 43% OF VOTE VS FLAVIO BOLSONARO'S 38% - GENIAL/QUAEST POLL
NOBloomberg98%match95¢+5%
BRASÍLIA EM OFF: O plano para que Haddad concorra em São Paulo Por @beckmartha
NOBloomberg98%match86¢+16%
Brazil’s Finance Minister, Fernando Haddad, said he will step down in February to help in President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva’s reelection campaign
Where does the news lean?
0YES6NO0neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 98%.
How did this market resolve?
General elections are scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. If no candidate wins outright in the first round, the top two candidates proceed to a runoff.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to Brazil's presidential runoff election or otherwise wins outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the president is decided in the first round of the election but the listed candidate is not the winner or the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
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