Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?Vietnam
Open$7Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 14% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES14¢
NO87¢
as of
What moved the odds?
4 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
YESReuters98%match23¢-39%
Trump meets Vietnam leader, vows to remove Hanoi from restricted lists
NOBloomberg98%match82¢+5%
Vietnam has replaced the trade minister who oversaw US tariff deal negotiations
YESBloomberg98%match14¢
The US is seeking to expand and deepen its defense relationship with Vietnam, according to Washington’s top envoy there, as the two sides continue to hammer out details of a trade deal
YESAcyn98%match13¢+8%
Trump: But we have made historic trade deals with the United Kingdom, China, Vietnam, Japan, the EU, Cambodia, El Salvador, Argentina, Ecuador, Guatemala, Liechtenstein
Where does the news lean?
4YES3NO3neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 98%.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Related markets
See all outcomes for Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027? — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.