Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?South Africa
Open$498as of
Odds now
The market prices a 12% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES12¢
NO88¢
as of
What moved the odds?
2 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
NOReuters Business99%match84¢+5%
President Trump signed a law extending a preferential trade program for Africa through December 31, effective retroactively from September 30, 2025, the chief US trade negotiator said. More here:
NOBloomberg99%match84¢+5%
South Africa risks losing preferential access to the US market under a key African trade pact that’s before Congress, though the economic impact would likely be limited even if the country is excluded
Where does the news lean?
2YES4NO6neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
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