Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?Pakistan
Open$105Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 9% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES9¢
NO92¢
as of
What moved the odds?
8 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
The US delegation leaves Pakistan after Vance announces no agreement has been reached
Pakistan's prime minister asks Trump to extend the deadline by two weeks
NONews99%match82¢+11%
*PAKISTAN: REQUEST TRUMP TO EXTEND DEADLINE BY TWO WEEKS
Axios, citing sources: Foreign ministers of Pakistan, Egypt, and Turkey are trying to extend Trump's deadline.
NOBloomberg99%match82¢+11%
Trump and Modi announced a trade deal, ending months of tense negotiations
NOunusual_whales99%match78¢+17%
BREAKING: Trump has said: Effective immediately, we agreed to a trade deal between the US and India.
NOzerohedge99%match78¢+17%
Trump says US agreed to a Trade Deal between the United States and India "whereby the United States will charge a reduced Reciprocal Tariff, lowering it from 25% to 18%. They will likewise move forward to reduce their Tariffs and Non Tariff Barriers against the United States, to…
NOCGTN America99%match78¢+17%
TRUMP: EFFECTIVE IMMEDIATELY, WE AGREED TO A TRADE DEAL BETWEEN UNITED STATES AND INDIA
Where does the news lean?
2YES10NO2neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
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