Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?Japan
Open$17Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 9% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES9¢
NO92¢
as of
What moved the odds?
15 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
Senior Administration Official: Pharmaceutical Tariff reduced to 15% on Europe, Japan, South Korea, and Switzerland due to trade deals.
NOFirst Squawk99%match84¢+8%
JAPAN PM TAKAICHI: US NEEDS TO HONOR ITS COMMITMENTS ON TARIFFS
NOFirst Squawk98%match79¢+15%
Japan Trade Minister Akazawa: Additional tariff costs possible on some items if U.S. imposes new 10% tariffs, beyond prior 15% rate
YESSolid Intel 📡98%match20¢-55%
INTEL: President Trump announces launch of a “MASSIVE” U.S.–Japan trade deal. Highlights include:
– $550B Japanese investment in the U.S.
– LNG project in Texas
– Gas power plant in Ohio
– Critical minerals plant in Georgia More details expected.
YESThe Spectator Index99%match20¢-55%
BREAKING: Trump announces launch of Japan trade deal
YESPolymarket99%match20¢-55%
[Replying to @KobeissiLetter] @KobeissiLetter 19% chance Trump reaches a trade deal with Russia this year. > BREAKING: President Trump announces that US-Japan trade deal has officially launched, which includes: 1. $550 billion investment by Japan in the US
2. Funding an LNG facility in Texas
3. Funding a gas power plant in Ohio
4. Funding a critical minerals plant in Georgia
YESBreaking91199%match20¢-55%
TRUMP: Our MASSIVE Trade Deal with Japan has just launched!
YESThe White House99%match20¢-55%
Our MASSIVE Trade Deal with Japan has just launched!
YES*Walter Bloomberg99%match20¢-55%
TRUMP: JAPAN TRADE DEAL KICKS OFF Japan has begun investing under its $550B U.S. trade deal, funding an LNG facility in Texas, a gas power plant in Ohio, and a critical minerals plant in Georgia. The projects aim to boost jobs, energy exports, and reduce reliance on foreign…
YESCGTN America98%match20¢-55%
Trump: Massive trade deal with Japan just launched — Truth Social Post
YESCGTN Europe99%match20¢-55%
Trump: ‘Our MASSIVE Trade Deal with Japan has just launched! Japan is now officially, and financially, moving forward with the FIRST set of Investments under its $550 BILLION Dollar Commitment to invest in the United States of America — part of our Historic Trade Deal to…
YEStradfi news98%match20¢-55%
*TRUMP: MASSIVE TRADE DEAL WITH JAPAN HAS JUST LAUNCHED *TRUMP: JAPAN COMMITTING $550 BILLION DOLLARS TO INVEST IN UNITED STATES *TRUMP: ANNOUNCING PROJECTS IN TEXAS OIL & GAS, OHIO POWER GENERATION, GEORGIA CRITICAL MINERALS
YESRapid Response 4798%match20¢-55%
President Trump has now secured trade agreements with major U.S. trading partners covering more than half of global GDP: Argentina Bangladesh Cambodia China Ecuador El Salvador European Union Guatemala India Indonesia Israel Japan
…
YESCGTN Europe98%match14¢-36%
Trump: European Nations, Japan and South Korea have got into massive deals with us, they are our partners
NOBenzinga98%match84¢+8%
Experts Doubt If Trump's $550 Billion Japan Trade Deal Would 'Ever Be Implemented' As Promised: Report
Where does the news lean?
27YES4NO3neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
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See all outcomes for Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027? — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.