Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by ...?June 30
ResolvedOutcome: Yes$3.7Mas of
Odds now
This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .
YES100¢
NO0¢
as of
What moved the odds?
32 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
TRUMP: THINK IRAN WAR WILL COME TO END VERY SOON AND WE WILL BE VICTORIOUS
TRUMP: THINK IRAN WAR WILL COME TO END VERY SOON AND WE WILL BE VICTORIOUS
Trump told Fox News: If we had to continue military operations in Iran, we would have completely destroyed them very quickly.
Trump to Fox News: If we had to continue military operations in #Iran, we would have completely destroyed them very quickly.
YESNews99%match59¢+69%
*TRUMP ON IRAN: IT WILL COME TO AN END VERY SOON
YESReuters98%match59¢+69%
Trump: Think Iran War Will Come to End Very Soon and We Will Be Victorious -Fox News
Trump's war against Iran is now stuck in a state of endless stalemate. 3/5
#Breaking | Trump: The Iranians are divided amongst themselves and we don't know who is in charge
#Breaking | Trump: The Iranians are divided among themselves and we don't know who is in charge
Trump: I cancelled the envoys' trip to Islamabad to meet with the Iranians.
Telegraph: Pentagon is collapsing under pressure from Trump's war with Iran The removal of the head of the US Navy reflects the president's dissatisfaction with the institution's inability to end the current stalemate. Reports indicate that these dismissals occurred amid dissatisfaction with the progress of the war and tension among senior defense officials, reflecting instability in the military command structure during the conflict. Get the latest news: Site | Ita | Yes | Rubika | Soroush Plus @snntv
Trump cancels aides’ trip for Iran talks, saying, ‘We have all the cards.’
Trump cancels trip by US negotiators for peace talks with Iran
US Joint Chiefs of Staff Chairman: Our forces are ready to resume fighting against Iran at any time.
Trump: There is currently "no timetable" for ending the conflict with Iran.
Trump: Extracting Iran's "nuclear dust" after our June strikes will be a long and arduous process.
Trump: Extracting Iran's "nuclear dust" after our June strikes will be a long and arduous process.
BREAKING: The US and Iran are weighing extending their ceasefire by two more weeks. • • President Trump also says the Iran War is "very close to over."
White House Touts Exceeding Core Objective, Ending Operation Epic Fury Within Initially Projected Time Frame • •
All military operations in relation to Iran have been stopped-Al Jazeera
US President Donald Trump announces a “double‑sided ceasefire” with Iran.
War with Iran: Trump agrees to two-week ceasefire
Trump: We achieved and exceeded all military objectives in Iran.
BREAKING: President Trump says the US will leave Iran in “2 to 3 weeks.”
Trump on Iran: • • "Will be leaving Iran very soon" - says US will leave within two to three weeks. • • "We have had regime change already." • • Says a deal is possible before then, but "Iran does not have to make a deal for the US to end its war."
BREAKING: Trump: US to end Iran campaign in 'two to three weeks' • • LIVE updates:
Trump: We will leave Iran in two to three weeks and may reach an agreement before then.
Trump says US will be done with the war with Iran in "two or three weeks."
TRUMP SAYS U.S. WILL EXIT IRAN WITHIN TWO TO THREE WEEKS ...
*US WILL LEAVE IRAN WITHIN TWO TO THREE WEEKS, TRUMP SAYS
Trump to New York Post: My mission was to prevent Iran from possessing a nuclear weapon, and I succeeded.
Donald Trump is prepared to end the war with Iran without opening the Strait of Hormuz. He reportedly told his aides this, according to The Wall Street Journal, citing administration officials. In recent days, the US president and his associates have concluded that the military operation will drag on for another four to six weeks. Trump has decided that the US must weaken Iran's navy and missile stockpiles and curtail current military operations. At the same time, the White House is attempting to exert diplomatic pressure on Tehran to restore free trade. If this fails, Washington will insist that its allies in Europe and the Persian Gulf take the initiative. Tehran's control over the waterway will likely be strengthened, and the complex operation to open it will be postponed until a later date. More IZ RU news in MAX
Where does the news lean?
105YES288NO107neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.
How did this market resolve?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the military publicly and officially announce that their military operations against Iran, initiated on February 28, 2026, have concluded by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify.
Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g. posts from his personal Truth Social account), will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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