Tariff increase on Canada in effectDecember 31, 2026
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The market prices a 13% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES13¢
NO88¢
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38 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
The United States imposes a 50% surcharge on Canadian products
Economy / The United States imposes an additional 50% tariff on Canadian products
Trump's latest round of 50% tariffs on Canadian goods now in effect
Washington escalates trade war from tariffs to import bans The trade war between the US and Canada enters a new phase: The Trump administration moves to ban imports of some Canadian products and imposes new tariffs on others. Canada has not backed down but has begun retaliatory tariffs on hundreds of American goods and raised tariffs on many American steel products to 50%. When the two largest trading partners begin to penalize each other "dollar for dollar," who will ultimately pay the higher price: Canadian companies or the American consumer? #Arabic_Business
Washington escalates trade war from tariffs to import bans The trade war between the US and Canada enters a new phase: The Trump administration moves to ban imports of some Canadian products and imposes new tariffs on others. Canada has not backed down but has begun retaliatory tariffs on hundreds of American goods and raised tariffs on many American steel products to 50%. When the two largest trading partners start penalizing each other "dollar for dollar," who will ultimately pay the higher price: Canadian companies or the American consumer? #Arabic_Business
In response to Canadian tariffs, US President Donald Trump signed orders banning imports from Canada starting September 29 and revising tariffs to 50% on Canadian products.
In response to Canadian tariffs, US President Donald Trump signed orders banning imports from Canada starting September 29 and revising tariffs to 50% on Canadian products.
The Canadian government responded to the new tariffs signed by US President Donald Trump, leaving the door open to renegotiation with Washington. What stance will Ottawa take in the face of this trade escalation? Find out more at the link #Canada #UnitedStates #Tariffs
On Tuesday, Trump signed an executive order banning imports of several dairy products, alcoholic beverages, and motorcycles from Canada in three weeks. Trump also adjusted the scope of some existing 50% tariffs on Canadian goods. According to a statement released on the White House website, the tariff adjustments will take effect on September 15, while the trade ban is scheduled to begin on September 29.
Canada’s tariffs hit Tuesday — but their effect on the midterms is just beginning
The United States has imposed new tariffs of 50% on $20 billion worth of Canadian goods, representing approximately 5% of Canada's total exports to the US. While the Canadian economy as a whole is expected to withstand the impact, many small and medium-sized business owners will be the first to be affected, with some fearing bankruptcy if the trade dispute remains unresolved.
"I don’t want Canadian cars, I don’t want Canadian parts, I don’t want Canadian anything." • • President Trump unloads on Canada as the trade fight between the longtime allies intensifies, accusing the country of "ripping us off for decades." • • Then he turns up the pressure, telling Canadian companies that do business with America to move to the U.S. "immediately," arguing they can avoid tariffs by bringing operations south of the border. • • The warning comes after 50% U.S. tariffs on roughly $20 billion in Canadian goods took effect Aug. 22, with Canada preparing retaliatory tariffs on U.S. imports.
The Trump administration escalated economic pressure Monday, seeking to isolate Iran from its trade partners and imposing 50% tariffs on Canada.
The comments came after Trump announced new 50% tariffs on Canadian cars, auto parts and steel starting next year, and 50% tariffs on $20 billion worth of Canadian goods starting Saturday.
Trump announces tariffs on Canadian vehicles, steel in escalation of trade war
The Canadian dollar fell 0.58% against the US dollar after trade talks between Ottawa and Washington collapsed. The United States imposed tariffs of 50% on nearly $20 billion worth of Canadian imports on Saturday, targeting the US's second-largest trading partner after Mexico. Affected goods include dairy products, lumber, furniture, cement, ceramics, and a wide range of other products. President Donald Trump also announced that US tariffs on all Canadian cars, trucks, auto parts, and steel would be doubled to 50% starting January 1, 2027. #Arabic_Business
Trump says US to increase tariffs on Canadian cars and steel to 50%
Live: What to know about Trump’s 50% tariffs on Canadian goods
Trump And Canada In Trade ‘War’: How Hockey Sticks, Puzzles And Wigs Played A Role. • A large amount of Canadian imports will now be subject to 50% tariffs.
Canadian Prime Minister Carney threatens to retaliate against the Trump administration's 50% additional tariffs, retaliating with 3.2 trillion yen in tariffs.
US imposes 50% tariffs; Canada responds with equivalent measures.
US-Canada trade negotiations have been suspended as President Trump’s 50% tariffs on roughly $28 billion in Canadian goods take effect. • • Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney blames the breakdown on "unfair" last-minute changes to Washington's proposed terms and vows dollar-for-dollar retaliatory tariffs against the U.S.
The United States imposed new 50% tariffs on some Canadian goods today after the two longstanding allies failed to reach a trade deal - CNBC
The Trump administration has imposed a 50% additional tariff on Canada; the Canadian Prime Minister has hinted at retaliation.
The latest: U.S.-Canada trade talks are going to the wire but sounding positive. Sources say things are headed towards a deal, and Trump struck an upbeat tone. • • Topline: U.S. applies 15% auto tariff (25 now), 25% steel and aluminum tariffs, each to a certain quota (50% now). Pauses the 10% softwood lumber 232. Canada is, among other things, backing away from a booze boycott. • • Talks are ongoing and last minute issues include fine print such as the definition of US content in automobiles, per sources.
U.S., Canada near final trade deal as Trump tariff deadline looms
Donald Trump said the United States and Canada have reached a preliminary trade deal on the eve of imposing 50 percent tariffs on $20 billion in Canadian exports. He added that the implementation of the tariffs has been suspended for three days to give both sides a chance to finalize the agreement. Reported by Mahsa Mortazavi, Iran International correspondent
Live: Trump says US and Canada have reached last-minute deal to delay 50% US tariffs on Canadian imports
A 50% tariff on $20 billion worth of goods: Donald Trump suspends the implementation of new tariffs on Canada "for three days" pending a trade agreement.
The US is set to impose a 50% tariff on approximately $20 billion worth of Canadian goods, marking the first application of the law established in 1996.
Canada braces for 50% US tariffs, with negotiators still far apart
Canada, I'm told, is working on options for retaliation if Trump goes ahead with the new tariffs on Wednesday
Less than 48 hours from Trump's latest tariffs on Canada, sources point to two holdups in talks: autos, with disagreement over tariff level and whether only U.S. or all USMCA content is exempted; and lumber, which the U.S. wants excluded from this deal •
Before Trump's deadline expires, the US and Canada are nearing an agreement to avoid 50% tariffs on Canadian goods.
Before Trump's deadline expires, the US and Canada are nearing an agreement to avoid 50% tariffs on Canadian goods.
CBC: Canada and the United States have not yet reached an agreement on tariffs; Washington's new proposal did not satisfy Ottawa According to CBC, Canada and the United States have still not reached an agreement in trade talks on tariffs, and Canadian officials are not satisfied with Washington's latest proposal. The United States presented a new proposal on Tuesday that includes tariff reductions in some sectors, but the amount of the reduction is less than Canada's request. Washington has also demanded preferential access to Canada's vital minerals as part of a broader agreement in the areas of trade, security and energy. In recent weeks, negotiators from both sides have exchanged several proposals; These negotiations continue as Donald Trump's deadline to impose a 50% tariff on hundreds of Canadian goods has been announced as August 19. Get the latest news:
Site | ETA | Yes | Rubika | Soroush Plus @snntv
The U.S. trade representative announced a wave of tariffs on dozens of economies Thursday to replace President Donald Trump’s temporary 10% tariff, which expires at midnight ET. • • Sixty trading partners, including all of America’s most important ones, will face tariffs of 10% to 12.5%, according to a fact sheet. The new duties will take effect at 12:01 a.m. ET Friday. • • Some of the trading partners facing a 10% tariff include Canada, Mexico, India and the United Kingdom. • • The U.K. tariff closely mirrors a deal that Trump and then-Prime Minister Keir Starmer reached last year to lower tariffs on U.K. imports to the U.S. to 10%. • • Taiwan and the European Union, which is the largest single U.S. trading partner, will face up to a 12.5% tariff rate. The new rate announced Thursday appears to lower the 15% cap Trump and European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen agreed upon last year.
The U.S. Trade Representative announced new tariffs on approximately 60 countries after the Supreme Court struck down the previous tariffs on constitutional grounds. Representative Jamieson Greer explained that the measures stem from investigations into forced labor in imported goods and impose a 12.5% tariff on countries without strict labor regulations, while the European Union, Mexico, Canada, and Ecuador will face a reduced rate of 10%.
Where does the news lean?
356YES90NO54neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 94%.
Past moves on this market
Material odds moves (≥8 points within an hour of a matched news signal), newest first — each links to a dated brief on what moved the price.
What would make this resolve YES?
On January 24, President Trump announced that the United States would apply a 100% tariff to all imports from Canada if a trade deal with China goes through. (see: https://www.reuters.com/world/china/trump-threatens-canada-with-100-tariff-over-possible-deal-with-china-2026-01-24/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if an increase in the general tariff rate on imports into the United States from Canada goes into effect for any amount of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purpose of this market, "goes into effect" means the start date of the tariffs (as set by legislation or executive action) must have passed without being further delayed or suspended. Only tariffs which are in effect will qualify. Tariffs which are paused, or which have been announced but not yet gone into effect will not be considered.
Only tariffs specifically targeting Canada will qualify. For example, a new global tariff (tariffs on all imports into the U.S.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
The general tariff rate refers to the base tariff rate paid on imports, including any general tariff the U.S. imposes on all imports (e.g. a 10% tariff on all U.S. imports and a 50% tariff on top of that on Canadian imports would equal a 60% tariff). Item specific exceptions will not be considered (i.e. this market does not refer to the effective tariff rate). For the purpose of this market, an increase in the general tariff rate is defined as a rate greater than the rate in effect at the time of this market's creation.
A general tariff that includes item specific exceptions will still qualify, as long as a policy of a general tariff on all imports into the United States from Canada is in effect which is greater than the policy in effect at the time of this market's creation.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible information will also be used.
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