Tariff increase on Canada in effect by December 31, 2026? Odds jumped to 63% on Jul 20, 2026
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Tariff increase on Canada in effect by December 31, 2026? On , the market’s odds jumped from 52.5¢ to 63¢ (+10.5 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from chinesewsj.
How did the odds move?
52.5¢
45¢
54¢
63¢
72¢
+10.5 pts
Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.
What moved the odds?
Neutralchinesewsj97%match
The White House announced on Monday that US President Trump has imposed an additional 50% tariff on some goods from Canada, including wine, hockey sticks, and cement.
Where does this market stand now?
The market prices a 9% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES9¢
NO91¢
$11K
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Tariff increase on Canada in effect by December 31, 2026? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.
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