What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of June?↑ $8,000
ResolvedOutcome: No$52Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
as of
What moved the odds?
6 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
The U.S. stock market is getting close to dot-com bubble peak valuations. • The Shiller cyclically adjusted price-to-earnings ratio for U.S. stocks is nearing the 1999 peak seen during the dot-com bubble.
S&P 500 SET TO TOP 8,000, SAYS YARDENI AS RALLY ACCELERATES • • WALL STREET VETERAN ED YARDENI EXPECTS THE S&P 500 TO SURPASS 8,000 BY END-2026, RAISING HIS TARGET TO 8,250 AFTER STRONG EARNINGS AND A SHARP MARKET RALLY. • • HE LIFTED PROFIT FORECASTS, SAYING FASTER-THAN-EXPECTED EARNINGS UPGRADES ARE DRIVING AN “EARNINGS-LED MELT-UP.” YARDENI ALSO MAINTAINED A LONG-TERM BULLISH OUTLOOK, TARGETING 10,000 BY 2029. • • OTHER STRATEGISTS HAVE ALSO RAISED FORECASTS, CITING TECH STRENGTH AND AI ADOPTION, THOUGH THEY WARN THE RALLY IS NARROW AND SENTIMENT FRAGILE. • • SOME ANALYSTS SEE NEAR-TERM OVERHEATING, WITH TECHNICAL INDICATORS FLASHING OVERBOUGHT SIGNALS, SUGGESTING A POSSIBLE PULLBACK BEFORE FURTHER GAINS. • • DESPITE GEOPOLITICAL RISKS IN THE MIDDLE EAST, YARDENI REMAINS CONFIDENT THE BULL MARKET TREND WILL CONTINUE. ...
S&P 500 SET TO TOP 8,000, SAYS YARDENI AS RALLY ACCELERATES • • Wall Street veteran Ed Yardeni expects the S&P 500 to surpass 8,000 by end-2026, raising his target to 8,250 after strong earnings and a sharp market rally. • • He lifted profit forecasts, saying faster-than-expected earnings upgrades are driving an “earnings-led melt-up.” Yardeni also maintained a long-term bullish outlook, targeting 10,000 by 2029. • • Other strategists have also raised forecasts, citing tech strength and AI adoption, though they warn the rally is narrow and sentiment fragile. • • Some analysts see near-term overheating, with technical indicators flashing overbought signals, suggesting a possible pullback before further gains. • • Despite geopolitical risks in the Middle East, Yardeni remains confident the bull market trend will continue.
JPMorgan just hiked its S&P 500 target for end-2026 to 7,600 from 7,200. • • AI remains the key growth engine. • • In the bull scenario: if the US and Iran strike a deal, the index could climb all the way to 8,000 by year-end.
Why the S&P 500 could drop to 6,000 before it reaches a fresh record high
YESunusual_whales99%match5¢-100%
S&P500 to hit 8,000 in 2026, per Capital Economics
Where does the news lean?
1YES5NO0neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.
How did this market resolve?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for June 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
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