Gold (GC) above ___ end of June?$8,000
ResolvedOutcome: No$4Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
as of
What moved the odds?
7 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
YESFirst Squawk99%match27¢-100%
Gold rises 4%, last trading at $4,850.99/oz
NOFirst Squawk99%match73¢+37%
Gold surges 3%, spot price hits $4,806.68/oz.
NOunusual_whales98%match96¢+4%
Societe Generale sees gold reaching $6,000/oz by year-end
NOunusual_whales99%match96¢+4%
Gold could reach $5,000, per UBS.
YESunusual_whales99%match4¢-100%
Gold has risen above $5,000.
YESFirst Squawk98%match4¢-100%
Gold surges to a fresh record at $5,080.60/oz, up 2%.
NOReuters Business99%match98¢+2%
Gold could hit $5,000 an ounce in first half of 2026, says HSBC
Where does the news lean?
3YES4NO0neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.
How did this market resolve?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Related markets
See all outcomes for Gold (GC) above ___ end of June? — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.