Gold (GC) above ___ end of June?

ResolvedOutcomes12as of

This hub tracks 12 outcomes of this event, with the news signals that move them.

What are the odds right now?

Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.

What moved the odds?

30 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s final price as of .

$6,200Iranian Media98%match93¢+8%
Global gold prices rose The price of gold rose in global market trading on Wednesday, reaching above $5,200, following a drop in oil prices. isna.ir/xdW5Cg @isna94
$5,200Iranian Media98%match47¢-100%
Global gold prices rose The price of gold rose in global market trading on Wednesday, reaching above $5,200, following a drop in oil prices. isna.ir/xdW5Cg @isna94
$7,000unusual_whales98%match83¢+20%
S&P500 to hit 8,000 in 2026, per Capital Economics
$6,000unusual_whales98%match83¢+20%
S&P500 to hit 8,000 in 2026, per Capital Economics
$6,000Leading Report98%match17¢-100%
BREAKING: Bank of America predicts Gold will reach $6,000 within the next 12 months.
$6,200Reuters Business98%match30¢-100%
JP Morgan sees year-end 2026 gold price at $6,300 per ounce
$6,000Reuters Business98%match18¢-100%
JP Morgan sees year-end 2026 gold price at $6,300 per ounce
$5,600Reuters Business98%match57¢-100%
JP Morgan sees year-end 2026 gold price at $6,300 per ounce
$6,200Reuters Business98%match30¢-100%
JP Morgan sees year-end 2026 gold price at $6,300 per ounce
$6,000Reuters Business98%match21¢-100%
JP Morgan sees year-end 2026 gold price at $6,300 per ounce
$5,600Reuters Business98%match57¢-100%
JP Morgan sees year-end 2026 gold price at $6,300 per ounce
$5,400Reuters98%match48¢+108%
Gold declines on thin trading, stronger dollar
$4,600Reuters98%match26¢+285%
Gold declines on thin trading, stronger dollar
$7,000Reuters98%match92¢+9%
Gold drops more than 1% as thin trade, profit‑taking weigh
$6,500Reuters98%match59¢+69%
Gold drops more than 1% as thin trade, profit‑taking weigh
$4,800First Squawk98%match56¢-100%
Gold Prices Fall Close to 1%, Trading at $4,994.09 per Ounce
$4,600First Squawk98%match74¢-100%
Gold Prices Fall Close to 1%, Trading at $4,994.09 per Ounce
$5,400Bloomberg98%match48¢+108%
Gold slipped, as traders took profits after mild US inflation data pushed the metal back above $5,000 an ounce
$5,000Bloomberg98%match55¢-100%
Gold slipped, as traders took profits after mild US inflation data pushed the metal back above $5,000 an ounce
$5,000Benzinga98%match64¢-100%
Gold Touches $5,000 As Inflation Drops To 2.4%, Polymarket Traders Expect $5,500 By Q3.
$4,800The Wall Street Journal99%match56¢-100%
Gold and other precious metals have room to run over the long term, but may face some volatility in the short term
$4,600The Wall Street Journal99%match76¢-100%
Gold and other precious metals have room to run over the long term, but may face some volatility in the short term
$6,500*Walter Bloomberg98%match52¢+92%
SPOT GOLD FALLS OVER 1% TO $4,985.99/OZ
$5,800*Walter Bloomberg98%match63¢+59%
SPOT GOLD FALLS OVER 1% TO $4,985.99/OZ
$5,600*Walter Bloomberg98%match44¢+127%
SPOT GOLD FALLS OVER 1% TO $4,985.99/OZ
$5,400*Walter Bloomberg98%match37¢+170%
SPOT GOLD FALLS OVER 1% TO $4,985.99/OZ
$4,800*Walter Bloomberg98%match52¢-100%
SPOT GOLD FALLS OVER 1% TO $4,985.99/OZ
$4,600*Walter Bloomberg98%match82¢-100%
SPOT GOLD FALLS OVER 1% TO $4,985.99/OZ
$6,500zerohedge98%match52¢+92%
Gold Consolidates — Premium Pays.
$6,000zerohedge98%match67¢+49%
Gold Consolidates — Premium Pays.

What is this event about?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month. Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count. Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract. Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored. This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.

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