Which hedge fund blew up?Avenir Tech LTD
Open$19Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 17% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES17¢
NO83¢
as of
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed fund shows $IBIT (https://www.blackrock.com/us/individual/products/333011/ishares-bitcoin-trust-etf) holdings of below $10,000,000 US in either Q1 2026 on their 13F filing (https://www.sec.gov/submit-filings/forms-index) when that information is made public. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If a relevant 13F is unavailable for a listed company by May 15, 2026, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be information from the 13F for a specified company.
Related markets
See all outcomes for Which hedge fund blew up? — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.