Which hedge fund blew up?

OpenOutcomes4as of

Market pricing makes Avenir Tech LTD the favorite at 17% across 4 tracked outcomes, as of .

What are the odds right now?

Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.

What moved the odds?

No directional matched news signals are available across this event yet.

What is this event about?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed fund shows $IBIT (https://www.blackrock.com/us/individual/products/333011/ishares-bitcoin-trust-etf) holdings of below $10,000,000 US in either Q1 2026 on their 13F filing (https://www.sec.gov/submit-filings/forms-index) when that information is made public. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If a relevant 13F is unavailable for a listed company by May 15, 2026, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be information from the 13F for a specified company.

Related events