Pete Hegseth impeachedDecember 31, 2026
Open$872as of
Odds now
The market prices a 4% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES4¢
NO96¢
as of
What moved the odds?
6 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
Live: GOP Rep Thomas Massie introduces 8 articles of impeachment against War Secretary Pete Hegseth
Congress moves to impeach Hegseth over Iran war
Rep. Thomas Massie moves to impeach Pete Hegseth over Iran war, will force House vote on resolution
Massie forcing House to vote on impeachment of Hegseth. will put GOP on record defending Hegseth ahead of midterms
It's Impeachment Week. Thomas Massie, R-Ky., now on the floor introducing articles of impeachment against Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth
Massie on the floor is introducing articles of impeachment against Pete Hegseth.
Where does the news lean?
39YES4NO4neutraltrailing 24h
Signal flow leans YES at 61% — signal sentiment, not the market price. Average match confidence across the listed signals: 94%.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of United States Secretary of War Pete Hegseth, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
If the named individual permanently vacates the specified office prior to the satisfaction of the criteria for a "Yes" resolution, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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