Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?

OpenOutcomes72as of

Market pricing makes Rahm Emanuel the favorite at 15% across 72 tracked outcomes, as of .

What are the odds right now?

Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.

What moved the odds?

30 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .

Kamala HarrisNewswire92%match7¢
Kamala Harris Lays Groundwork for Third Presidential Run — WSJ
The husband of former US Vice President Kamala Harris has privately opposed her running for the 2028 US presidential election, The Wall Street Journal reports. Kamala Harris herself has not yet announced her intention to run for the White House. According to the WSJ, she has not yet made a decision, and wants to focus as much as possible on the midterm elections, which will be held in November of this year. According to the newspaper, many donors to the Democratic Party also oppose Ms. Harris's potential participation in the elections, considering her candidacy controversial. Subscribe to Kommersant on MAX | on Telegram
Kamala Harrisalhadath95%match93¢
Amid her husband's reservations and Democratic skepticism, Kamala Harris's participation in the 2028 elections remains uncertain. Some Democrats believe the party needs a new candidate in the upcoming elections.
Kamala Harrisalarabiya95%match93¢
Amid her husband's reticence and Democratic skepticism, uncertainty surrounds Kamala Harris's participation in the 2028 elections. Some Democrats believe the party needs a new candidate in the upcoming elections.
Kamala Harris running for the White House in 2028? Her own husband is reportedly against it.
Live: Cory Booker plans 2026 campaign travel to South Carolina and Nevada
Jon Ossoffnytimes.com91%match93¢-1%
Live: Don’t let Senator Jon Ossoff’s huge fund-raising hauls make you think differently — he’s still aggressively raising money for his re-election run in Georgia. The Democratic incumbent will be in Chicago for an event on Oct. 20, per an invitation I’ve seen. He’s very much up in the polls in Georgia, and very much ahead of his Republican challenger, Mike Collins, in fund-raising. Why not raise a little more?
Exclusive: Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez on 2028: ‘Life Doesn’t Wait for You to Be Ready’
Kamala Harrisfoxnews95%match93¢
WOULDN'T BET ON IT KAMALA HARRIS' FORMER AIDES SAY 2028 RUN OFF THE TABLE
Gavin Newsomalarabiya98%match87¢-1%
California Governor Makes Clear on 2028: He Won't Run Against Harris if She Decides to Run for President ======== California Governor Gavin Newsom confirmed that he will not run for president in 2028 if Kamala Harris decides to run. Newsom's stance came during an interview with CNN, where he described competing with Harris for the Democratic nomination as a waste of time. Newsom had previously hinted at the possibility of running for president, but said he was not ready for the 2024 election and was evaluating his position regarding 2028. Kamala Harris has said she is considering running in the 2028 election, but has not yet officially confirmed her entry into the race. Newsom's statements reshape the landscape of the Democratic Party's 2028 nomination race.
Gavin Newsomalhadath98%match87¢-1%
California Governor Makes His Stance on 2028: He Won't Run Against Harris if She Decides to Run for President ======== California Governor Gavin Newsom confirmed that he will not run for president in 2028 if Kamala Harris decides to run. Newsom's stance came during an interview with CNN, where he considered competing with Harris for the Democratic nomination a waste of time. Newsom had previously hinted at the possibility of running for president, but said he was not ready for the 2024 election and was evaluating his position regarding 2028. Kamala Harris said she is considering running in the 2028 election, but has not yet officially confirmed her entry into the race. Newsom's statements reshape the landscape of the Democratic Party's competition for the 2028 nomination.
Gavin Newsomrtl.fr97%match87¢-1%
"I won't run if she does": Governor Gavin Newsom, a Democratic hopeful for 2028, assures that he will step aside if Kamala Harris is a candidate.
Gavin Newsomspiegel.de96%match87¢-1%
USA: Gavin Newsom will not run if Kamala Harris is a candidate
Gavin Newsomlefigaro.fr95%match87¢-1%
“I won’t run if she does”: Gavin Newsom rules out running if Kamala Harris is a candidate
Gavin Newsomtheguardian.com98%match87¢-1%
Gavin Newsom says he will not run for president in 2028 if Kamala Harris does
Gavin Newsomnbcnews.com98%match87¢-1%
Live: Gavin Newsom says he won’t run for president in 2028 if Kamala Harris does
Gavin Newsomfoxnews97%match87¢-1%
"I wouldn't run if she ran." • • California Gov. Gavin Newsom says he would stay out of the 2028 presidential race if former Vice President Kamala Harris launches another White House bid. • • Newsom pointed to their overlapping political support in California, saying, "The Venn diagram on that is just pure crossover. I wouldn't do that." • • Harris currently leads Newsom 24.5% to 13.5% in the RealClearPolitics average of polls among potential Democratic contenders.
Gavin Newsomtheguardian.com97%match87¢-1%
Live: Gavin Newsom tells CNN he won't run in 2028 if Kamala Harris does because 'the zen diagram on that is just pure crossover'
Gavin Newsomnbcnews.com98%match87¢-1%
Gavin Newsom says he won’t run for president in 2028 if Kamala Harris does
Gavin Newsomnytimes.com97%match87¢-1%
Gavin Newsom Says He Won’t Run in 2028 if Kamala Harris Does
Andy BeshearCBS Reporter98%match94¢-4%
Kentucky Gov. Andy Beshear tells me he will wait until at least December, when his term as @DemGovs chair is over, to make a decision about a 2028 presidential run. @CBSNews
Gavin Newsomalarabiya98%match13¢+8%
California Governor Gavin Newsom Launches Early Campaign for 2028 by Distributing "Gavin 2028" Buttons and Banners California's Democratic Governor Gavin Newsom is seeking a run in the 2028 US presidential election. According to a report published by ABC News, Gavin's campaign launched early, coinciding with the midterm elections in America, by distributing "Gavin 2028" buttons and banners. The network indicated that California represents a political burden for Gavin, especially since it has produced a long list of candidates who have failed to reach the White House since the victory of its former governor, Ronald Reagan. Newsom does not rule out the possibility of announcing his decision to run for the US presidential election before the end of this year.
Kamala Harris overtakes Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez in the 2028 Democratic primary race.
Ocasio-Cortez and Rubio top 2028 presidential candidate polls Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-New York) and current Secretary of State Marco Rubio came out on top in a new National Atlas poll of American voters' preferred candidates for the 2028 presidential election. Mean on social networks @mizanplus
Kamala Harrispolitico99%match17¢-59%
.@GovPritzker told our @jmart he'd be "surprised” if Kamala Harris didn’t run for president again. • • While noting her continued popularity, Pritzker suggested a 2028 bid would be hard to resist, even as Dems historically favor fresh faces after defeat. • •
Mark Cubannypost.com99%match91¢+9%
Mark Cuban brutally snubs another Kamala Harris presidential run: ‘I don’t care’
Mark Cubanpolitico98%match90¢+10%
Does Mark Cuban want Kamala Harris to run for president in 2028? • • “No,” he tells our @alexanderburns. • • “Don’t remember, don’t care,” he said when asked to recall her health care message during her 2024 campaign. • • “Those days are gone.”
Kamala HarrisIranian Media99%match82¢+13%
Kamala Harris likely to run again in the 2028 election ‌ Kamala Harris, the Democratic Party's candidate for the 2024 presidential election, said in response to reporter Beck's question about running again, "I haven't decided yet, but I'll think about it." ‌ nournews.ir @Nournews_IR
Kamala Harrispolitico.com98%match18¢-61%
Kamala Harris gets the warmest welcome at Dems’ first big 2028 cattle call
Kamala Harristelegraph.co.uk99%match21¢-67%
Kamala Harris risks repeating herself with a disastrous 2028 run

What is this event about?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Related events