Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?Tim Walz
Open$6Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 2% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES2¢
NO98¢
as of
What moved the odds?
9 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
NOBreaking91199%match94¢+4%
Tim Walz: “I will never run for an elected office again”.
NOReuters99%match94¢+4%
Minnesota Governor Tim Walz, describing himself as a political ‘lightning rod,’ said he would never run for elective office again
NOPolymarket99%match93¢+5%
[Replying to @LeadingReport] @LeadingReport 7% chance he announces a run for president. > BREAKING: Tim Walz says he will never run for an elected office again.
NOLeading Report99%match93¢+5%
BREAKING: Tim Walz says he will never run for an elected office again.
NOAxios99%match95¢+3%
"Put up or shut up now": Walz unleashes after announcing political exit
YESBreaking91199%match5¢-60%
Tim Walz officially announces he will not seek reelection in 2026.
NOBloomberg98%match95¢+3%
Minnesota Governor Tim Walz said he won’t see re-election after a scandal involving alleged fraud in state programs
YESCGTN Europe99%match5¢-60%
Minnesota Governor Tim Walz officially announces that he will not seek re-election in 2026. He will complete his term. - reports
YESAxios99%match5¢-60%
BREAKING: Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz drops reelection bid
Where does the news lean?
8YES7NO23neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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