Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?J.D. Vance
Open$32Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 6% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES6¢
NO95¢
as of
What moved the odds?
10 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
US Vice President JD Vance responds to a question about running for president in 2028: There are many more topics I'd rather talk about than what position I might run for years from now. Right now, I enjoy what I do and strive to do my best in the job the American people elected me to do. The event
US Vice President JD Vance responds to a question about running for president in 2028: There are many more things I'd rather talk about than what office I might run for in a few years... Right now, I'm enjoying what I'm doing and striving to do my best in the job the American people elected me to do.
US Vice President JD Vance brushes aside questions about his plans for the 2028 election and the possibility of running on a joint presidential ticket with Secretary of State Marco Rubio after US President Trump teased the idea of the two cabinet officials running together.
Assaf Rosenzweig A New York Times report: US Vice President J.D. Vance has raised more than $60 million ahead of the midterm elections in his role as the Republican Party's finance chairman. At the same time, he and his team are working to cultivate relationships with many donors in preparation for the 2028 presidential campaign. According to the report, Vance and his team are careful not to appear to be planning the 2028 elections or dealing with President Donald Trump's successor.
WaPo: Vance has not decided on a 2028 run, citing a fourth child due this summer and a focus on family before making any call to run.
YESBreaking91199%match17¢-65%
JD Vance receives an early state-level endorsement from Gov. Youngkin for a potential 2028 White House run.
YESLeading Report99%match17¢-65%
BREAKING: Gov. Glenn Youngkin backs JD Vance for president in 2028.
YESAxios99%match22¢-73%
JD Vance delicately plots 2028 run
YESBreaking91199%match22¢-73%
Marco Rubio said that if JD Vance runs for president in 2028, “he’ll be our nominee… and I’ll be one of the first people to support him.
YESFirst Squawk98%match22¢-73%
Erika Kirk endorses JD Vance for president- POLITICO.
Where does the news lean?
10YES7NO36neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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